The Matchday 5 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between PSV (Netherlands) and Shakhtar Donetsk (Ukraine) will take place on November 27 at the Philips Stadium in Eindhoven. PSV vs. Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Urs Schnyder (Switzerland)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 61;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 23%.
Predicted lineups for PSV vs. Shakhtar Donetsk
PSV (4-3-3): Walter Benítez – Matteo Dams, Ryan Flamingo, Olivier Boscagli, Mauro Júnior – Guus Til, Malik Tillman, Ismael Saibari – Johan Bakayoko, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Shakhtar Donetsk (4-3-3): Dmytro Riznyk – Yukhym Konoplya, Valerii Bondar, Mykola Matviyenko, Pedro Henrique Azevedo – Dmytro Kryskiv, Artem Bondarenko, Heorhii Sudakov – Oleksandr Zubkov, Eginaldo, Danylo Sikan.
PSV
PSV has suffered only one defeat in the main stage of the 2024/25 Champions League. In the first round, they lost 1-3 away to Juventus. In the next three matches, the team remained unbeaten, drawing with Sporting and PSG (both 1-1) and securing their first victory in the last match with a commanding 4-0 win at home against Girona. With five points, PSV is in 24th place, trailing the top eight by four points.
- The Dutch team had a six-match winless streak in the Champions League (4 draws and 2 losses) before defeating the Catalans.
- Both teams scored in 6 of PSV's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 7 of the club's last 10 Champions League games.
Shakhtar Donetsk
The Ukrainians also achieved their first victory in the current Champions League campaign in the last round. On neutral ground, they defeated Young Boys 2-1. Prior to that, the Miners failed to score, losing to Atalanta (0-3) and Arsenal (0-1), and drawing with Bologna (0-0). The club is in 28th place, trailing PSV by just one point.
- No more than three goals were scored in 7 of Shakhtar's last 8 Champions League games.
- In their last 11 Champions League matches, Shakhtar only drew once (4 wins and 6 losses).
- The Miners have not won the first half in seven consecutive away matches in this tournament (1 draw and 6 losses).
PSV vs. Shakhtar Donetsk: Match Prediction
It is unlikely that these opponents will qualify for the Round of 16. Both clubs will likely be fighting for a spot among the top 24 to reach the Round of 32 in the Champions League. PSV has a better chance of advancing. The Dutch side has shown decent form in this tournament and remains unbeaten in eight consecutive home matches (4 wins and 4 draws). The Ukrainians have won only once in their last seven away matches in the Champions League (2 draws and 4 losses).
Besides expecting a home win, I anticipate that both teams will score. PSV has conceded in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the Champions League but has also scored in their last eight home games in this tournament. Shakhtar needs to push forward and score, taking risks and opening up. With upcoming matches against Bayern, Borussia, and Brest, the encounter with the Dutch may be their last chance to earn points in the group stage. Notably, the Ukrainians have scored in 6 of their last 8 away games in this tournament.
My prediction – Home win and both teams to score – yes
