Athletic Bilbao have unexpectedly entered the race for a top-three finish in La Liga. With 10 rounds to go, they sit fourth on 52 points, just four adrift of Atlético Madrid. Given the stakes, they must take maximum advantage against struggling opponents like Osasuna.
Athletic have lost just once in their last 19 league matches — and those defeats have only come against the top sides (Barcelona, Atlético Madrid, and a slip-up against Girona). They boast the fourth-best attack in the division (46 goals) and the third-best defence with just 24 conceded, trailing only Atlético and Getafe. At home, they’ve been outstanding, going 11 matches unbeaten at San Mamés while recording the fewest defensive errors (9) in the league on home soil.
Osasuna, on the other hand, have won just once in their last 16 La Liga fixtures. They have defensive issues, conceding in 11 consecutive rounds and shipping 42 goals overall — the third-worst record in the division. That said, they do have a scoring threat in veteran forward Ante Budimir, who has netted 15 of Osasuna’s 33 goals this season. The visitors have scored in 8 of their last 11 matches and found the net in both games against Athletic this season — losing 1:2 in the league and winning 3:2 in the Copa del Rey.
Athletic Bilbao are dominant at home, efficient in attack, and solid at the back. Osasuna’s poor defensive record suggests they’ll struggle to hold out, though Ante Budimir's form means they’re always capable of grabbing a goal. A cautious combination bet offers good value here.