Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: betting odds 4 Dec 2024

Rescheduled La Liga Matchday 19 between Athletic and Real Madrid will take place on December 4 at San Mames Stadium in Bilbao. Athletic vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.


Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez (Spain)


Matches – 9 (La Liga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 50;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.6;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 56%.

Predicted lineups for Athletic vs. Real Madrid

Athletic (4-2-3-1): Julen Agirrezabala – Yuri Berchiche, Yeray Alvarez, Aitor Paredes, Lekue – Mikel Haurregisar, Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta – Alex Berenguer, Inaki Williams, Nico Williams – Gorka Guruzeta.


Real Madrid (4-3-3): Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asensio, Fran Garcia, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos, Jude Bellingham – Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappe, Brahim Diaz.


Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.

Athletic

The Basques come into this match with two consecutive league victories. They first defeated Real Sociedad at home (1-0), followed by an away win against Rayo Vallecano (2-1). The team remains unbeaten in six consecutive La Liga matches (3 wins and 3 draws). With these results, Athletic has climbed to fourth place, surpassing Villarreal on tiebreakers. However, the Valencians have a game in hand.


  • Ernesto Valverde's side has not lost in 10 of their last 11 league matches (6 wins and 4 draws).
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Athletic's last 9 La Liga encounters.
  • The number "1" appeared in the final score in 8 of Athletic's last 9 La Liga matches.

Real Madrid

After their sole defeat in the current championship against Barcelona (0-4), the capital club has secured three consecutive victories. They defeated Osasuna (4-0) and Getafe (2-0) at home, and Leganes away (3-0). Thanks to this winning streak and Barcelona's three consecutive slip-ups, Real has reduced the gap to just one point. Carlo Ancelotti's side also has a game in hand.


Defenders David Alaba, Dani Carvajal, and Eder Militao, as well as forward Vinicius Junior and midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, will miss this match due to injuries.


  • No more than three goals were scored in 11 of Real Madrid's last 15 La Liga matches.
  • Real Madrid has won 9 of their last 11 league matches.
  • The team has not conceded more than one goal in six previous away La Liga encounters.

Athletic vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction

I am confident that Madrid will put in every effort to secure victory in the upcoming match. The team is already ahead of Barcelona on points lost and does not intend to let their arch-rival slip away. Despite Athletic's recent successes, Real Madrid has had no issues against the Basques in La Liga. In the last 18 encounters, Madrid has won 13 times, with five draws.


Moreover, in their last five visits to San Mames, Madrid has only won, conceding just one goal in these matches. Additionally, it's worth noting that while Real's long unbeaten run in the league was interrupted (in the match against Barcelona), their away streak continues – the club has not lost away in La Liga for 21 matches (13 wins and 8 draws). With a safety net, I suggest a handicap on Real, as Athletic has not lost at home in 7 of 8 matches this season.


My prediction – Real Madrid with a handicap (0)

Athletic Bilbao — Real Madrid betting tips 4 Dec 2024

Athletic Bilbao have always been a formidable team, and their six-game unbeaten streak further underscores this. Real Madrid, their visitors, are recovering from a string of losses. The Madrid side have a fondness for San Mamés and often trouble the hosts. It’s possible that Real Madrid will once again take points from the Basques and close in on Barcelona.

Athletic Bilbao have avoided defeat in 10 of their last 11 matches, propelling themselves into the top four of La Liga. They are particularly strong at home, losing just once in eight games. At Nuevo San Mamés, Athletic Bilbao play cautiously—six of their eight matches saw fewer than 2.5 goals. However, meetings with Real Madrid are less promising, with no victories in the last 18 encounters.

Following a humiliating 0:4 defeat to Barcelona, Real Madrid are gradually regaining form. The return of Thibaut Courtois from injury has been pivotal, as the Madrid side have kept clean sheets in their last three matches. While they remain unbeaten away, performances have been heavy-going, with the total staying under three goals in six matches. Nevertheless, Real Madrid have historically fared well at San Mamés, going nine matches without defeat there. Thanks to Athletic's solid defence, the total has consistently been under 3.5 goals.

Head-to-head fixtures between these teams are traditionally low-scoring. Athletic Bilbao defend superbly at home, posing challenges even for top clubs. Real Madrid also avoid an open game against such organised opponents. Moreover, with Kylian Mbappé not particularly impressive and Vinícius Junior sidelined due to injury, the visitors will have few opportunities to shine. At the same time, they are on an unbeaten run against Athletic Bilbao, and we believe it will continue.  

Betting prediction
Real Madrid to win or draw + Total Under 3.5
Cf
Odds
77/100
Bet now

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS

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Current season

Logo Athletic Bilbao Logo Real Madrid
7 Wins 10
3 Lost 1
5 Draws 3
1.47 GF per game 2.14
0.93 GA per game 0.79
5.13 Corners per game 5.93
2 Yellow cards per game 1.43

La Liga: previous matches in the tournament

Athletic Bilbao
01.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao
W
24.11.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Sociedad
W
10.11.24
Valladolid
Athletic Bilbao
D
03.11.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Betis
D
28.10.24
Mallorca
Athletic Bilbao
D
19.10.24
Athletic Bilbao
Espanyol
W
06.10.24
Girona
Athletic Bilbao
L
29.09.24
Athletic Bilbao
Sevilla
D
22.09.24
Athletic Bilbao
Celta
W
19.09.24
Leganés
Athletic Bilbao
W
15.09.24
Las Palmas
Athletic Bilbao
W
31.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Atlético Madrid
L
28.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Valencia
W
24.08.24
Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
L
15.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Getafe
D
More matches
Real Madrid
01.12.24
Real Madrid
Getafe
W
24.11.24
Leganés
Real Madrid
W
09.11.24
Real Madrid
Osasuna
W
02.11.24
Valencia
Real Madrid
MATCH POSTPONED
D
26.10.24
Real Madrid
Barcelona
L
19.10.24
Celta
Real Madrid
W
05.10.24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
W
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
24.09.24
Real Madrid
Alavés
W
21.09.24
Real Madrid
Espanyol
W
14.09.24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
W
01.09.24
Real Madrid
Real Betis
W
29.08.24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
D
25.08.24
Real Madrid
Valladolid
W
18.08.24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
D
More matches

H2H: Athletic Bilbao — Real Madrid

La Liga 2023-2024
31.03.24
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
12.08.23
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2022-2023
04.06.23
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
22.01.23
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Copa del Rey 2021-2022
03.02.22
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Super Cup Spain 2022
16.01.22
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2021-2022
22.12.21
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
01.12.21
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2020-2021
16.05.21
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Super Cup Spain 2021
14.01.21
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2020-2021
15.12.20
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2019-2020
05.07.20
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
22.12.19
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2018-2019
21.04.19
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
15.09.18
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2017-2018
18.04.18
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
02.12.17
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2016-2017
18.03.17
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
23.10.16
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2015-2016
13.02.16
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
23.09.15
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2014-2015
07.03.15
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
05.10.14
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2013-2014
01.02.14
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
1
:
1
31.08.13
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
3
:
1
La Liga 2012-2013
13.04.13
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
3
16.11.12
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
5
:
1
La Liga 2011-2012
01.05.12
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
3
21.01.12
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
4
:
1
La Liga 2010-2011
08.04.11
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
3
19.11.10
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
5
:
1
La Liga 2009-2010
07.05.10
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
5
:
1
15.01.10
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
1
:
0
La Liga 2008-2009
13.03.09
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
2
:
5
25.10.08
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
3
:
2
La Liga 2007-2008
26.04.08
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
3
:
0
07.12.07
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
1
La Liga 2006-2007
28.04.07
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
1
:
4
02.12.06
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
2
:
1
La Liga 2005-2006
10.02.06
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
2
Copa del Rey 2005-2006
12.01.06
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
4
:
0
03.01.06
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
1
La Liga 2005-2006
21.09.05
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
3
:
1
La Liga 2004-2005
18.02.05
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
0
:
2
24.09.04
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
2
:
1
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
16 12 1 3 48:17 37
2
Real Madrid
14 10 3 1 30:11 33
3
Atlético Madrid
15 9 5 1 26:8 32
4
Athletic Bilbao
15 7 5 3 22:14 26
5
Villarreal
14 7 5 2 27:23 26
6
Mallorca
16 7 3 6 16:18 24
7
Osasuna
15 6 5 4 20:23 23
8
Girona
15 6 4 5 22:20 22
9
Real Sociedad
15 6 3 6 13:11 21
10
Real Betis
15 5 5 5 16:18 20
11
Sevilla
15 5 4 6 14:19 19
12
Celta
15 5 3 7 23:27 18
13
Rayo Vallecano
14 4 4 6 14:16 16
14
Las Palmas
15 4 3 8 20:26 15
15
Leganés
15 3 6 6 14:20 15
16
Alavés
15 4 2 9 16:25 14
17
Getafe
15 2 7 6 10:13 13
18
Espanyol
14 4 1 9 15:27 13
19
Valencia
13 2 4 7 13:21 10
20
Valladolid
15 2 3 10 10:32 9
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Real Madrid
8 7 0 1 20:7 21
2
Atlético Madrid
7 5 2 0 14:3 17
3
Osasuna
8 5 2 1 15:10 17
4
Barcelona
6 5 0 1 19:5 15
5
Athletic Bilbao
8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6
Celta
8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7
Real Betis
7 4 2 1 10:6 14
8
Girona
7 4 1 2 15:10 13
9
Sevilla
8 4 1 3 7:8 13
10
Villarreal
7 3 3 1 16:14 12
11
Espanyol
7 4 0 3 11:10 12
12
Mallorca
9 3 3 3 7:10 12
13
Getafe
8 2 5 1 7:4 11
14
Alavés
7 3 2 2 8:8 11
15
Real Sociedad
8 3 1 4 9:9 10
16
Leganés
7 3 1 3 6:7 10
17
Valencia
6 2 2 2 10:8 8
18
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 9:10 8
19
Las Palmas
7 1 3 3 9:11 6
20
Valladolid
8 1 3 4 5:12 6
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
10 7 1 2 29:12 22
2
Atlético Madrid
8 4 3 1 12:5 15
3
Villarreal
7 4 2 1 11:9 14
4
Real Madrid
6 3 3 0 10:4 12
5
Mallorca
7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6
Athletic Bilbao
7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7
Real Sociedad
7 3 2 2 4:2 11
8
Girona
8 2 3 3 7:10 9
9
Las Palmas
8 3 0 5 11:15 9
10
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 5:6 8
11
Sevilla
7 1 3 3 7:11 6
12
Real Betis
8 1 3 4 6:12 6
13
Osasuna
7 1 3 3 5:13 6
14
Leganés
8 0 5 3 8:13 5
15
Celta
7 1 1 5 10:18 4
16
Alavés
8 1 0 7 8:17 3
17
Valladolid
7 1 0 6 5:20 3
18
Getafe
7 0 2 5 3:9 2
19
Valencia
7 0 2 5 3:13 2
20
Espanyol
7 0 1 6 4:17 1

Team lineups

The lineups will be known a few days before the match
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