EFL Cup
3rd Round
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Burnley
MATCH FINISHED
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:
2
23 September 2025, 19:45
Cardiff
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1 X 2
Under Over
7 October
1 1/100
X 25/1
2 66/1
Under 2.5 9/1
2.5
Over 2.5 3/50
7 October
1 4/5
X 27/10
2 29/10
Under 2.5 7/5
2.5
Over 2.5 53/100
7 October
1 3/5
X 13/5
2 19/4
Under 2.5 17/20
2.5
Over 2.5 19/20
9 October
1 36/25
X 11/4
2 2/1
Under 2.5 3/2
2.5
Over 2.5 53/100
9 October
1 2/5
X 4/1
2 6/1
Under 2.5 47/25
2.5
Over 2.5 2/5
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Burnley vs Cardiff: prediction & betting odds 23 September 2025

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These two sides last met in the Championship, but now their paths cross only in the cup. Cardiff City face a difficult task at Turf Moor.

Cardiff City

Both clubs fell at the second-round stage of last season’s EFL Cup, but the draw has been kinder this time. Cardiff City had it easiest, dispatching bottom-of-League-Two Cheltenham Town (3:0). However, the team themselves are now a League One outfit for the first time in 22 years. Their start has been steady rather than spectacular – one defeat in eight matches and currently sitting fourth in the table.

Burnley

Burnley played a major role in Cardiff City’s relegation from the Championship, thrashing them 5:0 in the second round of last season and sending them into a spiral. Now Burnley are fighting at the other end – just above the Premier League drop zone. They are competing hard, as shown in their 1:1 draw with Nottingham Forest, a side who were chasing Champions League last term. That result was fair given the balance of chances (0.85 vs 1.10 xG).

Burnley vs Cardiff City Prediction

Burnley face a daunting trip to Manchester City in the league at the weekend, but they cannot afford to treat the EFL Cup lightly – it represents their best chance of reaching European competition. With greater quality and home advantage, they should have too much for Cardiff City.

Betting prediction
Burnley to win
Cf
Odds
3/5

Previous matches in the tournament

Burnley
26 August, 2025
EFL Cup
Burnley
Derby County
2
1
W
Cardiff
26 August, 2025
EFL Cup
Cardiff
Cheltenham
3
0
W
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H2H: Burnley — Cardiff

Premier League 2018-2019
13 April, 2019
Burnley
Cardiff
2
0
30 September, 2018
Cardiff
Burnley
1
2
championship 2015-2016
5 April, 2016
Burnley
Cardiff
0
0
28 November, 2015
Cardiff
Burnley
2
2
championship 2012-2013
20 April, 2013
Burnley
Cardiff
1
1
27 October, 2012
Cardiff
Burnley
4
0
championship 2011-2012
18 March, 2012
Cardiff
Burnley
0
0
20 August, 2011
Burnley
Cardiff
1
1
championship 2010-2011
7 May, 2011
Burnley
Cardiff
1
1
15 February, 2011
Cardiff
Burnley
1
1
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Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
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