Croatia vs Italy: prediction & betting odds 24 June 2024

Matchday 3 in Group B of Euro 2024. Croatia vs Italy. The game kicks off on June 24 at 20:00 (BST) at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig. Croatia – Italy: Prediction and betting odds, statistics for the Euro 2024 match.

Potential line-ups for Croatia vs Italy

Croatia (4-3-3): Dominik Livaković – Josip Juranović, Josip Šutalo, Joško Gvardiol, Ivan Perišić – Luka Modrić, Mateo Kovačić, Mario Pašalić – Ante Budimir, Andrej Kramarić, Luka Sučić.

Italy (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Riccardo Calafiori, Federico Dimarco, Andrea Cambiaso, Alessandro Bastoni – Mattia Zaccagni, Nicolò Barella, Bryan Cristante – Federico Chiesa, Giacomo Raspadori, Mateo Retegui. 

Croatia

Croatia and Albania were tied (2:2) in the second round. The Croatian European Championship performance has been pretty poor recently, they haven’t won in regular time 6 out of their last 7 games (4 draws, 2 defeats). Yet they have scored quite a lot of goals. Croatia have scored at least 2 goals in 3 out of their last 4 UEFA Euro games. The side needs to win to hope to advance to the knockout stage. Otherwise, they will have little chance to continue their continental performance.

• At least one team hasn’t scored in regular time in 7 out of the last 9 official games Croatia have played. Both teams to score – no – 1/1
• Croatia haven’t lost in regular time 10 out of their last 13 official games (6 wins, 4 draws). Croatia to win or a Draw – 3/5
• The last 3 head-to-head games between the sides have ended in a draw (1:1). Correct score 1:1 – 5/1

Italy

Italy suffered a defeat in the game versus Spain (0:1). Italy set an individual anti-record in the European Championship matches, with only 4 shots. However, it was their first defeat in the last 11 UEFA Euro games (6 wins, 4 draws). Italy are second in their group. To secure this position, Italy shouldn’t lose the game. Italy can’t top the group, Spain will keep this position in any case. 

• At least 3 goals have been scored in 5 out of the last 7 official games Italy have played. Over 2.5 – 17/20
• Both teams have scored in 4 out of the last 5 European Championship games. Both teams to score – 7/10
• Italy haven’t lost 7 out of their last 9 official games (5 wins, 2 draws). Italy to win or a Draw – 7/20

Croatia – Italy Prediction

The attacking games of Italy was very poor in the match against Spain. The side made only 1 shot on goal with 0.2 xG. Italy has rarely performed well, attacking. A maximum of 1 goals has been scored in 5 out of the last 7 European Championship games Italy have played. The sides are unlikely to play brightly in this game.

Croatia have a solid defensive line. The side has conceded a maximum of 1 goal in 13 out of their last 17 European Championship games. Croatia kept the clean sheet in 5 out of their last 8 UEFA Euro qualifying games.

The head-to-head games statistics prove the same. Italy have never managed to score over 1 goal in the last 6 official matches versus Croatia. 

Our prediction is Italy Under 1.5 at 13/20 .