The Women's Euro 2025 final between England and Spain will take place on July 27 at St. Jakob-Park in Basel. England vs. Spain: prediction and betting odds, Euro 2025 match statistics.
England Women's Team
The England team started the tournament with a 1-2 defeat to France but then confidently won the next two matches to advance to the playoffs. In the quarter-finals, the English showed character by coming back from a 0-2 deficit against Sweden, equalizing in three minutes, and eventually winning on penalties. In the semi-finals, the team saved themselves again by scoring in the last minute of regular time and snatching victory from Italy in extra time (2-1). Notably, England has kept a clean sheet in only one match throughout the tournament, but this did not prevent the reigning European champions from reaching the final once more.
Forward Alessia Russo and midfielder Ella Toone have each recorded four points in this tournament through goals and assists.
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The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 matches at the European Championships.
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In 5 of England's last 6 Euro games, there has been an exchange of goals in regular time.
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The team has conceded at least one goal in regular time in 5 of their last 6 official matches.
Predicted England Women's Lineup (4-3-3)
Hannah Hampton – Lucy Bronze, Leah Williamson, Esme Morgan, Alex Greenwood – Georgia Stanway, Keira Walsh, Ella Toone – Lauren James, Alessia Russo, Lauren Hemp.
Spain Women's Team
Tome Montserrat's side confidently passed the group stage, defeating all opponents by at least a two-goal margin. In the quarter-finals, the Spanish easily handled the tournament hosts – Switzerland (2-0). However, the semi-final was much tougher, decided by a single goal in extra time that gave Spain their first-ever victory over Germany (1-0). Additionally, Spain is the reigning World Cup champion, having defeated England in the final of that tournament (1-0). The upcoming European Championship final will be the team's first in history.
The tournament's top scorer is forward Esther Gonzalez with four goals. Additionally, midfielder Alexia Putellas has accumulated 7 points through goals and assists (3+4) at Euro 2025.
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In 15 of their last 21 Euro games, Spain has not won by more than one goal in regular time.
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The team has won in regular time in 8 of their last 9 official matches.
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At least three goals have been scored in regular time in 8 of Spain's last 10 matches.
Predicted Spain Women's Lineup (4-3-3)
Cata Coll – Olga Carmona, Maria Mendes, Irene Paredes, Ona Batlle – Alexia Putellas, Patricia Guijarro, Aitana Bonmati – Mariona Caldentey, Claudia Pina, Esther Gonzalez.
Referee
Stephanie Frappart (France)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 30%.
Match Prediction: England Women vs. Spain Women
In official matches against England, Spain has not scored more than two goals in the last five encounters. Additionally, Spain has managed to score more than two goals only once in their four European Championship meetings. Meanwhile, England consistently avoids heavy defeats – the team has not conceded more than two goals in their last 11 Euro matches and in their last eight games across all competitions. Spain, on the other hand, has not scored more than two goals in 16 of their last 21 European Championship matches.
It is worth recalling the final of the last World Cup, where these teams met – Spain secured a narrow 1-0 victory. Considering the status of the upcoming match and the high stakes, an open game is not expected. Even if Spain takes the lead, they are unlikely to push for a larger advantage and will likely focus on controlling the game and maintaining their lead.
My prediction: Spain Individual Total Under 2
