Estonia vs Azerbaijan: prediction & betting odds 13 Oct 2023

Matchday 7 of the Euro 2024 qualifying tournament between Estonia and Azerbaijan in Group F will take place on October 13 at the A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn. Kick-off is at 19:00 (Moscow time). Estonia vs. Azerbaijan: prediction and betting odds, Euro 2024 qualification match statistics.


Referee: Robert Schröder (Germany)


Matches – 6 (International matches and Bundesliga, 2023/24);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 17%.

Predicted lineups for Estonia vs. Azerbaijan

Estonia (3-5-2): Karl Hein – Märten Kuusk, Ken Kallaste, Maksim Paskotsi – Vlasi Sinjavski, Mattias Käit, Martin Miller, Henrik Ojamaa, Markus Poom – Konstantin Vassiljev, Henri Anier.


Azerbaijan (5-3-2): Shakhroodin Magomedaliyev – Hojjat Hagverdi, Rahil Mammadov, Anton Krivotsyuk, Toral Bayramov, Elvin Jafarguliyev – Aleksey Isaev, Joshgun Diniyev, Emin Mahmudov – Ramil Sheydaev, Renat Dadashov.

Estonia

Estonia lost both of their September qualifiers by the same scoreline, 0-5, against Sweden and Belgium. The team is at the bottom of Group F with just one point. They trail their upcoming opponent only on tiebreakers. Notably, Estonia has the worst goal difference in Group F (2:16).


  • Estonia's winless streak in European Championship qualifying is 16 matches (2 draws, 14 losses).
  • The team has conceded at least 2 goals in 11 of their last 13 qualifiers.
  • At home, Estonia has lost 7 consecutive European Championship qualifiers, including the last 4 with a combined scoreline of 0-15.

Azerbaijan

In September, Azerbaijan played one qualifying match, losing 0-1 to Belgium, and missed Matchday 6, playing a friendly against Jordan (2-1). The team has just one point from a draw against Estonia in the first round. Interestingly, Azerbaijan has also scored only 2 goals in this qualifying campaign but has conceded 5 fewer goals than their upcoming opponent.


  • Azerbaijan has not won in 17 consecutive European Championship qualifiers (5 draws, 12 losses).
  • The team failed to score in 5 of their last 7 Euro qualifiers.
  • Azerbaijan has never won an away match in European Championship qualifying history (4 draws, 32 losses).

Estonia vs. Azerbaijan: Match Prediction

This upcoming match holds only local significance as both teams will fight to avoid finishing last in the group. However, this motivation is enough to strive for a win, so don't expect a friendly match atmosphere. Both teams are on long winless streaks in European Championship qualifiers and will be eager to break these runs.


Bookmakers favor the hosts, but I believe the visitors have at least an equal chance of success. Azerbaijan narrowly lost to Belgium in their last qualifier, whereas Estonia was soundly defeated by Belgium 0-5 in Matchday 6. Another point in favor of the visitors is their more reliable defense, conceding just one goal in each of their last two Euro 2024 qualifiers.


Estonia has struggled in attack, scoring only 2 goals in 5 qualifiers, failing to score in their last 4 home Euro qualifiers. Therefore, I believe the hosts are unlikely to score more than once. My prediction: Estonia Individual Total Under 1.5

Estonia vs Azerbaijan Odds

EURO 2024: previous matches in the tournament

Estonia
12.09.23
Belgium
Estonia
L
09.09.23
Estonia
Sweden
L
20.06.23
Estonia
Belgium
L
17.06.23
Azerbaijan
Estonia
D
27.03.23
Austria
Estonia
L
More matches
Azerbaijan
09.09.23
Azerbaijan
Belgium
L
17.06.23
Azerbaijan
Estonia
D
27.03.23
Sweden
Azerbaijan
L
24.03.23
Austria
Azerbaijan
L
More matches

H2H: Estonia — Azerbaijan

EURO 2024 2024 Qualifiers
17.06.23
Azerbaijan
Estonia
Friendlies 2013-2014
14.11.13
Estonia
Azerbaijan
2
:
1

Group stage

Group F
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Belgium
  3:2 1:1 5:0 5:0 8 6 2 0
22:4
20
2
Austria
2:3   3:1 1:0 2:0 8 6 1 1
17:7
19
3
Sweden
1:1 1:3   0:3 2:0 8 3 1 4
14:12
10
4
Azerbaijan
0:5 0:1 3:0   2:0 8 2 1 5
7:17
7
5
Estonia
0:5 0:2 0:2 0:2   8 0 1 7
2:22
1

Team lineups

Estonia

coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Karl Jakob Hein
gk. 24 -36
Matvei Igonen
gk. 14 -23
Karl Andre Vallner
gk. 1 -1
Ken Kallaste
df. 57 0
Joonas Tamm
df. 55 4
Artur Pikk
df. 52 1
Märten Kuusk
df. 26 0
Maksim Paskotsi
df. 20 0
Michael Lilander
df. 15 0
Rasmus Peetson
df. 9 1
Marco Lukka
df. 5 0
Konstantin Vasilev
mf. 154 28
Sergei Zenjov
mf. 108 17
Mattias Käit
mf. 51 8
Martin Miller
mf. 28 2
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
mf. 28 0
Markus Poom
mf. 18 0
Georgi Tunjov
mf. 12 0
Bogdan Vastsuk
mf. 11 0
Rocco Robert Shein
mf. 7 0
Martin Vetkal
mf. 0 0
Henri Anier
fw. 88 21
Khenrik Oyamaa
fw. 62 1
Erik Sorga
fw. 27 4
Alex Tamm
fw. 1 0
Azerbaijan

Giovanni De Biasi
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
gk. 22 -27
Salahat Agayev
gk. 21 -26
Rashad Azizli
gk. 0 0
Anton Krivotsyuk
df. 32 1
Höccat Haqverdi
df. 20 1
Toral Bayramov
df. 15 0
Elvin Cəfərquliyev
df. 13 1
Rakhil Mammadov
df. 11 0
Calal Hüseynov
df. 5 0
Bakhtiyar Hasanalyzade
df. 3 0
Yusif Nabiyev
df. 1 0
Emin Mahmudov
mf. 42 11
Aleksey Isaev
mf. 16 1
Dzhoshgun Diniyev
mf. 16 0
Elvin Camalov
mf. 12 0
Filip Ozobić
mf. 12 1
Qismat Aliyev
mf. 4 0
Emil Safarov
mf. 2 0
Ramil Sheydayev
fw. 56 9
Mahir Emreli
fw. 42 5
Renat Dadashov
fw. 24 2
Musa Qurbanlı
fw. 9 1
Rustam Ahmadzada
fw. 7 0
Ozan Can Kökçü
fw. 6 0
Nəriman Axundzadə
fw. 0 0
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