France vs Iceland: prediction & betting odds 9 September 2025

The Matchday 6 clash in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers between France and Iceland will take place on September 9 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. France vs. Iceland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

France

The French team has confidently started their qualifying campaign for the 2026 World Cup, defeating their main rival for the top spot in Group D. They visited Ukraine and secured a 2-0 victory. This marked their fourth consecutive win in World Cup qualifiers, with each victory achieved by at least a two-goal margin and a clean sheet.

• France's unbeaten streak in this tournament has extended to 13 matches – 9 wins and 4 draws.
• No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of France's last 9 World Cup qualifying games.
• At home in European World Cup qualifiers, the team has won 8 of their last 11 matches (3 draws).

Predicted lineup for France (4-2-3-1)

Mike Maignan – Lucas Digne, Jules Kounde, Ibrahima Konate, Dayot Upamecano – Manu Kone, Aurelien Tchouameni – Bradley Barcola, Michael Olise, Desire Doue – Kylian Mbappe.

Midfielder Desire Doue and forward Ousmane Dembele will miss the match due to injuries. Kingsley Coman has been called up to the squad.

Iceland

Arnar Gunnlaugsson's side unexpectedly found themselves at the top of the group after the initial matches. Playing at home, Iceland thrashed Azerbaijan 5-0. Before this, the team had a streak of three defeats at the official level (in the Nations League). It's also worth noting that Iceland has avoided defeat in 4 of their last 5 World Cup qualifying matches (2 wins and 2 draws).

• At least 3 goals have been scored in 5 of Iceland's last 7 World Cup qualifying games.
• Away in this tournament, Iceland has only 3 wins in their last 13 matches (4 draws and 6 losses).
• The team has not conceded more than two goals in 10 of their last 12 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Iceland (4-3-3)

Elias Rafn Olafsson – Sverrir Ingi Ingason, Victor Palsson, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Daniel Leo Gretarsson – Stefan Thordarson, Isak Johannesson, Hakon Haraldsson – Albert Gudmundsson, Jon Thorsteinsson, Andri Gudjohnsen.

Defender Aron Gunnarsson and forward Orri Oskarsson will miss the match due to injuries.

Referee

Antonio Nobre (Portugal)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 37;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 45%.

France vs. Iceland: Match Prediction

The teams have met three times at the official level in the last 10 years. The French have been victorious in all these encounters, twice winning by a large margin. However, I believe Iceland will avoid a heavy defeat this time, as they currently have a decent squad capable of challenging the group favorites for the top spot.

In their last 16 away World Cup qualifying matches, Iceland has suffered only one heavy defeat – against Germany. Meanwhile, France has not won by a margin of 3 or more goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches in this tournament. Therefore, I recommend betting on Iceland with a +2.5 goal handicap.

My prediction – Iceland with a +2.5 handicap