DFB-Pokal
Quarter-finals
Holstein Kiel
MATCH FINISHED
4 February
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Stuttgart
1
6/1
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2
9/20
Under 2.5
3/2
Over 2.5
29/50
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Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart: prediction & betting odds 4 February 2026

The quarter-final match of the German Cup between Holstein Kiel and VfB Stuttgart will take place on February 4 at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction, betting odds and statistics.

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel beat Hamburg in the previous round (0:0, extra time 1:1, on penalties 4:2). Notably, the club failed to win in regular time for the first time in the current edition of the competition, but the club kept a clean sheet in all of those matches. At the same time, the club scored in 6 of its 7 most recent German Cup games. The last time the club reached the quarter-finals was in 2020/21, when it overcame this round.

  • At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of Holstein Kiel’s previous 8 German Cup matches.
  • At home in this competition the club has been unbeaten in 5 of its last 6 matches (in regular time 2 wins and 3 draws).
  • The club scored in 7 of its 8 previous home German Cup matches.

Potential Holstein Kiel Lineup (3-4-3)*

Timon Weiner – David Zec, Marco Ivezic, Marco Komenda – Lasse Rosenböm, Magnus Knudsen, Kasper Davidsen, John Tolkin – Jonas Terkelsen, Adrian Kapralik, Phil Harres.

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart beat Bochum 2:0 away in the previous round. The team is unbeaten in the German Cup for 9 matches (in regular time 8 wins and 1 draw). During this period the team scored at least twice in 8 matches and kept clean sheets in 5 of those games. The current German Cup holder reached the quarter-finals for the fourth consecutive time, and in three of those seasons the club progressed past this stage.

  • There were goals in both halves in VfB Stuttgart’s previous 5 matches in this competition.
  • Away in the German Cup the team won in regular time in 4 of its last 5 matches (1 draw).
  • The club opened the scoring in 14 of its previous 15 German Cup matches.

Potential VfB Stuttgart Lineup (4-3-3)*

Fabian Bredlow – Ramon Hendrix, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Julian Chabot, Finn Elch – Angelo Stiller, Atakan Karazor, Lorenz Assignon – Bilal El Hannus, Deniz Undav, Jamie Leweling.

Referee

Tobias Welz (Germany)

Matches – 5 (the German Cup, 2021/22 - 2025/26);

Yellow Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 19;

Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 3.8;

Red Cards Shown – 0;

Average Fouls Per Match – 20;

Penalties – 0%.

Holstein Kiel Vs VfB Stuttgart: Match Prediction

Holstein Kiel fans will finally see their club play a cup match at home. So far all three matches in the current edition of the competition were away for the club, but given the results at home, it is tempting to wonder whether the players prefer to play their next game away from the stands of Holstein-Stadion. At home the club has not won in 7 of its last 9 German Cup matches (3 draws, 4 defeats), including a 1:2 loss to VfB Stuttgart. In addition, the club conceded even in the matches it won during that period.

VfB Stuttgart look impressive in the German Cup. The team won in regular time in 8 of its last 9 matches in this competition. Moreover, this season the team has already beaten two 2. Bundesliga representatives and now faces a third. We should add that the club scored at least twice in 5 consecutive national Cup matches. This will be an additional factor in favor of the visitors given that Holstein Kiel have conceded in 9 consecutive home German Cup games.

Prediction: VfB Stuttgart To Win And Over 1.5 Goals

* For each team, the starting lineup is shown from its previous match in this competition.

Betting tips 4 February 2026

Over the last six years Holstein Kiel have beaten Stuttgart twice in four head-to-head meetings, losing to them in only one match. However, the gap between the clubs at the moment is huge: the hosts are stuck in the lower half of the 2. Bundesliga standings, while Stuttgart have established themselves in the top four of the Bundesliga. 

On Saturday Holstein Kiel failed to beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home (1:2) – this opponent are bottom of the 2. Bundesliga. Since being relegated from the Bundesliga, they have had major problems in terms of performances, collecting only 14 points from 10 matches in their division (only three teams have fewer). In the DFB-Pokal, the hosts have got past an inconsistent Wolfsburg (1:0) and Hamburger (2:1 after penalties). 

Stuttgart are an opponent of a completely different level. Since the beginning of December, they have recorded four wins in five away matches, losing only to AS Roma at the Stadio Olimpico (0:2). The Swabians are currently on a three-match winning run: last week, after a physically demanding match against Young Boys (3:2), they edged Freiburg in a difficult game (1:0), generating 1.79 xG over 90 minutes with 69% possession. 

Last season Holstein Kiel took points off Stuttgart at home (2:2) and were competitive away (1:2). But now the visitors are far too strong, and this should be evident from the opening stages. 

Betting prediction
Stuttgart Over 1.5
Cf
Odds
11/20
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Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Odds

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DFB-Pokal: previous matches in the tournament

Holstein Kiel
03.12.25
Hamburger
Holstein Kiel
0
:
0
1
:
1
OT
2
:
4
P
D
28.10.25
Wolfsburg
Holstein Kiel
W
17.08.25
08 Homburg
Holstein Kiel
W
More matches
Stuttgart
03.12.25
Bochum
Stuttgart
W
29.10.25
Mainz 05
Stuttgart
W
26.08.25
Eintracht Braunschweig
Stuttgart
3
:
3
4
:
4
OT
7
:
8
P
D
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H2H: Holstein Kiel — Stuttgart

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08.03.25
Holstein Kiel
Stuttgart
26.10.24
Stuttgart
Holstein Kiel

Team lineups

Holstein Kiel

Marcel Rapp
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Timon Moritz Weiner
gk. 0 0
David Zec
df. 0 0
Ivan Nekić
df. 0 0
John Michael Tolkin
df. 0 0
Marko Ivezić
df. 0 0
Andu Yobel Kelati
mf. 0 0
Jonas Meffert
mf. 0 0
Kasper Stie Davidsen
mf. 0 0
Umut Deger Tohumcu
mf. 0 0
Adrián Kaprálik
fw. 0 0
Phil Harres
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Jonas Krumrey
gk. 0 0
Frederik Roslyng Christiansen
df. 0 0
Lasse Rosenboom
df. 0 0
Leon Parduzi
df. 0 0
Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen
mf. 0 0
Niklas Niehoff
mf. 0 0
Stefan Schwab
mf. 0 0
Aldin Jakupović
fw. 0 0
Marcus Müller
fw. 0 0
Stuttgart

Sebastian Hoeness
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Alexander Nübel
gk. 0 0
Josha Mamadou Karaboue Vagnoman
df. 0 0
Julian Jeffrey Gaston Chabot
df. 0 0
Maximilian Mittelstädt
df. 0 0
Ramon Hendriks
df. 0 0
Angelo Stiller
mf. 0 0
Atakan Karazor
mf. 0 0
Bilal El Khannouss
mf. 0 0
Chris Jan Führich
mf. 0 0
Jamie Leweling
mf. 0 0
Deniz Undav
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Fabian Bredlow
gk. 0 0
Ameen Al Dakhil
df. 0 0
Finn Jeltsch
df. 0 0
Lorenz Assignon
df. 0 0
Pascal Stenzel
df. 0 0
Badredine Bouanani
mf. 0 0
José María Andrés
mf. 0 0
Ermedin Demirović
fw. 0 0
Jeremy Arévalo
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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