Kazakhstan vs Wales: prediction & betting odds 4 September 2025

The Matchday 5 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Kazakhstan and Wales will take place on September 4 at the Astana Arena. Kazakhstan vs. Wales: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Kazakhstan

In the previous round, Ali Aliyev's team suffered a 0-1 home defeat to North Macedonia. This loss marked Kazakhstan's fifth defeat in their last six World Cup qualifiers, with the team failing to score in four of those matches. With three points from three games, the team is currently fourth in the group.

• The team has not won in regular time in their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers (4 draws, 7 losses).
• Kazakhstan has failed to score in 90 minutes in 4 of their last 5 home games in this qualifier.
• Kazakhstan has conceded at least two goals in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Kazakhstan (5-4-1)

Temirlan Anarbekov – Erkin Tapalov, Nuraly Alip, Sultanbek Astanov, Sergey Maly, Yan Vorogovsky – Islam Chesnokov, Serikzhan Muzhikov, Maxim Samorodov, Ramazan Orazov – Dastan Satpayev.

The team's main goalkeeper, Alexander Zarutskiy, is not called up due to injury. Midfielder Baktiyor Zainutdinov is also out due to injury.

Wales

In the previous round, Craig Bellamy's squad suffered a 3-4 away defeat to Belgium. This result ended Wales' 12-match unbeaten run in World Cup qualifiers (8 wins, 4 draws). It was also the first time since 2012 that the team conceded more than three goals in a World Cup qualifier. However, Wales scored three goals for the third time in four previous matches in this qualifier. Wales is currently second in the standings with seven points from four games.

• The team has not lost in regular time in 10 of their last 12 away World Cup qualifying matches (4 wins, 6 draws).
• Both teams scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Wales' last 6 away matches in this qualifier.
• Wales scored in the first half in 5 of their last 6 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Wales (4-5-1)

Karl Darlow – Ben Davies, Joe Rodon, Chris Mepham, Neco Williams – David Brooks, Sorba Thomas, Jordan James, Harry Wilson – Brennan Johnson.

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez (Spain)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 27%.

Kazakhstan vs. Wales: Match Prediction

In World Cup qualifiers, Kazakhstan rarely contends for top spots and has not won at home for a long time. Over their last 11 home games in this qualifier, the team has not won a single match, suffering seven defeats. Additionally, Kazakhstan struggles with scoring: in 4 of their last 5 home World Cup qualifiers, they failed to score.

Wales, on the other hand, performs well away from home in World Cup qualifiers: in their last 12 away matches, they have lost only twice, both times to Belgium (4 wins, 6 draws). However, Wales does not always score heavily in away World Cup qualifiers: in their last 16 matches, they have only scored more than one goal in six games.

I believe Wales will not lose this match, and I expect a low-scoring game. My prediction: X2 and Total under 2.5 goals