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28 August 2025, 19:00
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KRC Genk vs Lech: prediction & betting odds 28 August 2025

Author: Simon Dalton Simon Dalton
Fact checked by: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
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This is one of two ties in the UEFA Europa League play-off round that are effectively decided before the second leg on 28 August 2025. In the first meeting in Poznań, Genk thrashed Lech Poznań (5:1).

KRC Genk

As a result, Genk can even afford to lose, but will the squad ease off? Judging by their performance in the first leg — and, more specifically, Lech Poznań’s lack of threat — that seems unlikely. The team dominated the hosts, and it was 4:1 by half-time, not including Oh Hyeon-gyu’s saved penalty and rebound; he scored two minutes later.

Lech Poznań

Just as KRC Genk’s league fixture against Royal Charleroi was postponed, Lech Poznań’s meeting with Raków Częstochowa last Saturday was also called off. Both teams have therefore had a week’s rest. But what can Lech’s coaching staff realistically expect, given this mirrors the Champions League third qualifying round, where the squad was eliminated? First came a 1:3 home defeat to Crvena Zvezda, then only a 1:1 draw in the second leg, with the equaliser arriving in the 91st minute.

KRC Genk vs Lech Poznań Prediction

Even with the tie all but settled, KRC Genk are unlikely to ease up, given how disorganised Lech Poznań’s defence looked. At the very least, the hosts should win, and possibly by a wider margin.

Betting prediction
KRC Genk (-1)
Cf
Odds
49/100

Forecast author

Simon Dalton
Simon Dalton
Expert
About author:

I have had an interest in sports since I was just a child, football being my main passion. These days I follow all the main sports and most of the minor ones too! I have been betting for a little over 10 years and have taught myself how to analyse the various tournaments, games and teams. I think there is a good chance that I can identify betting value and make my long run performance a positive one.

Interests:
Football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey
5 yrs. 1 mo.
Time on site
57,6 %
Win rate
-4,1 %
ROI
1.68
Avg. Odds
402
Forecasts made
10
Winning streak
Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

KRC Genk

Nicky Hayen
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Tobias Okikiola Lawal
gk. 11 0
Matte Smets
df. 14 1
Yaimar Abel Medina Ortiz
df. 14 1
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
df. 12 0
Ken Nkuba Tshiend
df. 12 0
Konstantinos Karetsas
mf. 0 0
Nikolas Sattlberger
mf. 0 0
Patrik Hrošovský
mf. 0 0
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
fw. 11 0
Junya Ito
fw. 10 1
Hyeon-Gyu Oh
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Brent Stevens
gk. 8 0
Lucca Brughmans
gk. 7 0
Mujaid Sadick Aliu
df. 14 0
Joris Kayembe Ditu
df. 11 0
Zakaria El Ouahdi
df. 11 4
Adrián José Palacios Hernández
df. 0 0
Bryan Heynen
mf. 14 2
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
mf. 13 0
Robin Mirisola
fw. 14 0
Jarne Steuckers
fw. 13 0
Yira Collins Sor
fw. 13 2
Aaron Le Forestier Banind Bibout
fw. 0 0
Lech

Niels Frederiksen
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Bartosz Mrozek
gk. 5 0
João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho
df. 5 0
Mateusz Skrzypczak
df. 5 0
Wojciech Mońka
df. 5 0
Michał Gurgul
df. 0 0
Antoni Kozubal
mf. 5 0
Luis Palma
mf. 4 0
Timothy Noor Ouma
mf. 5 0
Kornel Lisman
mf. 0 0
Pablo Rodríguez
fw. 2 0
Bryan Benjamin Solhaug Fiabema
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Mateusz Pruchniewski
gk. 4 0
Krzysztof Maciej Bąkowski
gk. 0 0
Alex Raymond Douglas
df. 4 0
Filip Jagiełło
mf. 4 1
Gísli Gottskálk Þórðarson
mf. 5 0
Leo Bengtsson
mf. 4 1
Sammy Dudek
mf. 2 0
Bartłomiej Paweł Barański
mf. 0 0
Filip Szymczak
fw. 0 0

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H2H: KRC Genk — Lech

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Braga
20 12 5 3 36:16 41
2
Aston Villa
15 13 0 2 31:8 39
3
Midtjylland
16 11 3 2 32:12 36
4
Freiburg
15 9 2 4 25:13 29
5
Nottingham Forest
16 8 3 5 24:16 27
6
Genk
14 8 1 5 23:19 25
7
Porto
12 7 3 2 18:10 24
8
Celta
14 7 2 5 22:19 23
9
Bologna
14 6 5 3 21:18 23
10
Panathinaikos
16 5 8 3 17:17 23
11
Lyon
10 7 1 2 19:8 22
12
Real Betis
12 6 3 3 20:13 21
13
Ferencvárosi
12 6 3 3 17:17 21
14
Brann
14 5 3 6 17:15 18
15
Roma
10 5 3 2 17:10 18
16
Stuttgart
12 6 0 6 20:15 18
17
FCSB
12 5 2 5 20:21 17
18
Crvena Zvezda
10 5 2 3 8:7 17
19
PAOK
14 4 5 5 23:18 17
20
Utrecht
14 5 2 7 19:19 17
21
Plzen
10 3 7 0 11:6 16
22
Ludogorets Razgrad
12 5 1 6 17:21 16
23
Fenerbahce
10 4 3 3 12:11 15
24
Lille
12 5 0 7 13:13 15
25
BSC Young Boys
10 5 0 5 14:18 15
26
Celtic
10 4 2 4 15:19 14
27
Dinamo Zagreb
10 4 1 5 16:20 13
28
Legia
6 4 1 1 9:8 13
29
Shakhtar
6 3 3 0 12:2 12
30
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
12 3 1 8 10:26 10
31
AEK Larnaca
8 3 1 4 10:12 10
32
BK Häcken
6 3 1 2 6:6 10
33
Go Ahead Eagles
8 2 1 5 6:14 7
34
Malmö
10 2 1 7 9:15 7
35
Sturm Graz
8 2 1 5 5:11 7
36
Red Bull Salzburg
8 2 0 6 10:15 6
37
Feyenoord
8 2 0 6 11:15 6
38
FC Basel
8 2 0 6 9:13 6
39
Rijeka
4 2 0 2 5:8 6
40
KuPS
4 2 0 2 3:7 6
41
CFR
6 1 3 2 4:4 6
42
Zrinjski
4 1 2 1 3:4 5
43
Rangers
8 1 1 6 5:14 4
44
Levski
4 0 4 0 0:0 4
45
NK Celje
4 1 1 2 7:8 4
46
Nice
8 1 0 7 7:15 3
47
Lech
2 1 0 1 3:6 3
48
Dynamo Kyiv
2 1 0 1 2:3 3
49
Shkendija
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
50
Shelbourne
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
51
Sheriff
4 1 0 3 7:9 3
52
Anderlecht
2 1 0 1 2:2 3
53
Partizan
2 1 0 1 1:1 3
54
Prishtina
2 1 0 1 2:5 3
55
FK Sabah
2 1 0 1 5:5 3
56
Lincoln Red Imps
4 0 2 2 2:10 2
57
Wolfsberger AC
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
58
FC Noah
2 0 2 0 1:1 2
59
Hibernian
2 0 2 0 1:1 2
60
Lugano
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
61
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
62
Aberdeen
2 0 1 1 2:5 1
63
Samsunspor
2 0 1 1 1:2 1
64
Breidablik
2 0 1 1 2:3 1
65
Banik
2 0 1 1 3:4 1
66
Paksi
2 0 1 1 0:3 1
67
Spartak Trnava
2 0 1 1 2:3 1
68
Ilves
2 0 1 1 0:6 1
69
Slovan Bratislava
2 0 0 2 2:4 0
70
Sigma
2 0 0 2 0:5 0
71
Hamrun Spartans
2 0 0 2 2:5 0
72
Drita
2 0 0 2 3:6 0
73
Servette
2 0 0 2 2:5 0
74
Fredrikstad
2 0 0 2 1:5 0
75
RFS
2 0 0 2 1:3 0
76
Beşiktaş JK
2 0 0 2 2:6 0
77
Aktobe
2 0 0 2 0:2 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Aston Villa
5 4 0 1 14:2 12
2
Lyon
5 3 1 1 8:6 10
3
Porto
5 3 1 1 8:4 10
4
Crvena Zvezda
5 3 1 1 4:2 10
5
Braga
5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6
Nottingham Forest
5 3 1 1 5:6 10
7
Midtjylland
5 3 1 1 8:5 10
8
Legia
5 3 1 1 8:8 10
9
Freiburg
5 3 0 2 10:7 9
10
Roma
5 2 3 0 10:5 9
11
Genk
5 3 0 2 8:10 9
12
Shakhtar
5 2 3 0 6:2 9
13
Fenerbahce
5 2 1 2 7:6 7
14
Celta
5 2 1 2 5:7 7
15
Plzen
5 1 4 0 5:4 7
16
Celtic
5 2 1 2 8:11 7
17
Ludogorets Razgrad
5 2 1 2 6:7 7
18
Real Betis
5 2 1 2 9:7 7
19
BK Häcken
5 2 1 2 5:6 7
20
Red Bull Salzburg
5 2 0 3 8:9 6
21
Panathinaikos
5 1 3 1 5:8 6
22
Stuttgart
5 2 0 3 8:8 6
23
Dinamo Zagreb
5 2 0 3 9:10 6
24
Ferencvárosi
5 2 0 3 5:10 6
25
Lille
5 2 0 3 2:4 6
26
Rijeka
4 2 0 2 5:8 6
27
KuPS
4 2 0 2 3:7 6
28
AEK Larnaca
5 2 0 3 8:10 6
29
Bologna
5 1 2 2 6:11 5
30
Zrinjski
4 1 2 1 3:4 5
31
CFR
5 1 2 2 4:4 5
32
FCSB
5 1 1 3 7:12 4
33
Sturm Graz
5 1 1 3 2:6 4
34
PAOK
5 1 1 3 8:10 4
35
Rangers
5 1 1 3 4:8 4
36
Levski
4 0 4 0 0:0 4
37
NK Celje
4 1 1 2 7:8 4
38
Feyenoord
5 1 0 4 8:11 3
39
FC Basel
5 1 0 4 6:9 3
40
Nice
5 1 0 4 4:9 3
41
BSC Young Boys
5 1 0 4 4:10 3
42
Lech
2 1 0 1 3:6 3
43
Dynamo Kyiv
2 1 0 1 2:3 3
44
Shkendija
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
45
Shelbourne
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
46
Sheriff
4 1 0 3 7:9 3
47
Anderlecht
2 1 0 1 2:2 3
48
Partizan
2 1 0 1 1:1 3
49
Prishtina
2 1 0 1 2:5 3
50
FK Sabah
2 1 0 1 5:5 3
51
Lincoln Red Imps
4 0 2 2 2:10 2
52
Wolfsberger AC
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
53
FC Noah
2 0 2 0 1:1 2
54
Hibernian
2 0 2 0 1:1 2
55
Lugano
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
56
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
57
Brann
5 0 1 4 3:10 1
58
Go Ahead Eagles
5 0 1 4 2:11 1
59
Utrecht
5 0 1 4 5:11 1
60
Aberdeen
2 0 1 1 2:5 1
61
Samsunspor
2 0 1 1 1:2 1
62
Breidablik
2 0 1 1 2:3 1
63
Banik
2 0 1 1 3:4 1
64
Paksi
2 0 1 1 0:3 1
65
Spartak Trnava
2 0 1 1 2:3 1
66
Ilves
2 0 1 1 0:6 1
67
Malmö
5 0 0 5 2:9 0
68
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
5 0 0 5 1:16 0
69
Slovan Bratislava
2 0 0 2 2:4 0
70
Sigma
2 0 0 2 0:5 0
71
Hamrun Spartans
2 0 0 2 2:5 0
72
Drita
2 0 0 2 3:6 0
73
Servette
2 0 0 2 2:5 0
74
Fredrikstad
2 0 0 2 1:5 0
75
RFS
2 0 0 2 1:3 0
76
Beşiktaş JK
2 0 0 2 2:6 0
77
Aktobe
2 0 0 2 0:2 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Braga
10 7 2 1 21:7 23
2
Freiburg
8 7 0 1 17:6 21
3
Aston Villa
7 7 0 0 18:3 21
4
Midtjylland
8 6 1 1 16:4 19
5
Porto
6 5 1 0 13:4 16
6
Nottingham Forest
8 5 0 3 14:6 15
7
Ferencvárosi
6 4 2 0 11:4 14
8
Celta
7 4 1 2 11:9 13
9
Panathinaikos
8 3 4 1 9:7 13
10
Ludogorets Razgrad
6 4 1 1 11:9 13
11
Real Betis
6 4 1 1 14:8 13
12
Lyon
5 4 0 1 10:5 12
13
Stuttgart
6 4 0 2 12:7 12
14
PAOK
7 3 3 1 13:3 12
15
Brann
7 3 1 3 9:10 10
16
Bologna
7 2 4 1 10:8 10
17
FCSB
6 3 1 2 12:10 10
18
Genk
7 3 1 3 7:8 10
19
Lille
6 3 0 3 10:7 9
20
BSC Young Boys
5 3 0 2 8:9 9
21
AEK Larnaca
4 3 0 1 7:6 9
22
Legia
3 3 0 0 5:2 9
23
Crvena Zvezda
5 2 2 1 4:3 8
24
Utrecht
7 2 2 3 8:8 8
25
Fenerbahce
5 2 1 2 4:6 7
26
Plzen
5 1 4 0 5:2 7
27
Roma
5 2 1 2 8:7 7
28
Sturm Graz
4 2 1 1 3:2 7
29
Shakhtar
3 2 1 0 8:0 7
30
Red Bull Salzburg
4 2 0 2 7:5 6
31
Feyenoord
4 2 0 2 7:6 6
32
FC Basel
4 2 0 2 6:4 6
33
Celtic
5 2 0 3 7:12 6
34
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
6 2 0 4 7:17 6
35
Dinamo Zagreb
5 2 0 3 9:11 6
36
Go Ahead Eagles
4 1 1 2 2:6 4
37
Malmö
5 1 1 3 5:5 4
38
Rangers
4 1 1 2 2:4 4
39
CFR
3 1 1 1 4:2 4
40
BK Häcken
3 1 1 1 4:5 4
41
Nice
4 1 0 3 5:7 3
42
Dynamo Kyiv
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
43
Rijeka
2 1 0 1 2:2 3
44
Shkendija
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
45
KuPS
2 1 0 1 1:2 3
46
Sheriff
2 1 0 1 5:3 3
47
Anderlecht
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
48
Partizan
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
49
Prishtina
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
50
Levski
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
51
Lincoln Red Imps
2 0 1 1 1:5 1
52
Aberdeen
1 0 1 0 2:2 1
53
Zrinjski
2 0 1 1 1:3 1
54
Samsunspor
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
55
Wolfsberger AC
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
56
FC Noah
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
57
Hibernian
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
58
Banik
1 0 1 0 2:2 1
59
Lugano
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
60
NK Celje
2 0 1 1 3:4 1
61
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
62
Paksi
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
63
Ilves
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
64
Lech
1 0 0 1 1:5 0
65
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
66
Sigma
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
67
Hamrun Spartans
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
68
Drita
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
69
Servette
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
70
Breidablik
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
71
Fredrikstad
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
72
RFS
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
73
Shelbourne
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
74
Beşiktaş JK
1 0 0 1 2:4 0
75
FK Sabah
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
76
Spartak Trnava
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
77
Aktobe
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Aston Villa
8 6 0 2 13:5 18
2
Braga
10 5 3 2 15:9 18
3
Midtjylland
8 5 2 1 16:8 17
4
Genk
7 5 0 2 16:11 15
5
Bologna
7 4 1 2 11:10 13
6
Nottingham Forest
8 3 3 2 10:10 12
7
Roma
5 3 2 0 9:3 11
8
Celta
7 3 1 3 11:10 10
9
Panathinaikos
8 2 4 2 8:10 10
10
Lyon
5 3 1 1 9:3 10
11
Plzen
5 2 3 0 6:4 9
12
Crvena Zvezda
5 3 0 2 4:4 9
13
Utrecht
7 3 0 4 11:11 9
14
Fenerbahce
5 2 2 1 8:5 8
15
Brann
7 2 2 3 8:5 8
16
Freiburg
7 2 2 3 8:7 8
17
Porto
6 2 2 2 5:6 8
18
Celtic
5 2 2 1 8:7 8
19
Real Betis
6 2 2 2 6:5 8
20
FCSB
6 2 1 3 8:11 7
21
Dinamo Zagreb
5 2 1 2 7:9 7
22
Ferencvárosi
6 2 1 3 6:13 7
23
Stuttgart
6 2 0 4 8:8 6
24
Lille
6 2 0 4 3:6 6
25
BSC Young Boys
5 2 0 3 6:9 6
26
BK Häcken
3 2 0 1 2:1 6
27
PAOK
7 1 2 4 10:15 5
28
Shakhtar
3 1 2 0 4:2 5
29
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
6 1 1 4 3:9 4
30
Zrinjski
2 1 1 0 2:1 4
31
Legia
3 1 1 1 4:6 4
32
Go Ahead Eagles
4 1 0 3 4:8 3
33
Malmö
5 1 0 4 4:10 3
34
Ludogorets Razgrad
6 1 0 5 6:12 3
35
Lech
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
36
Rijeka
2 1 0 1 3:6 3
37
KuPS
2 1 0 1 2:5 3
38
Shelbourne
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
39
NK Celje
2 1 0 1 4:4 3
40
FK Sabah
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
41
CFR
3 0 2 1 0:2 2
42
Levski
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
43
Lincoln Red Imps
2 0 1 1 1:5 1
44
AEK Larnaca
4 0 1 3 3:6 1
45
Breidablik
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
46
Wolfsberger AC
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
47
FC Noah
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
48
Hibernian
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
49
Lugano
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
50
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
51
Spartak Trnava
1 0 1 0 2:2 1
52
Red Bull Salzburg
4 0 0 4 3:10 0
53
Feyenoord
4 0 0 4 4:9 0
54
FC Basel
4 0 0 4 3:9 0
55
Sturm Graz
4 0 0 4 2:9 0
56
Nice
4 0 0 4 2:8 0
57
Rangers
4 0 0 4 3:10 0
58
Aberdeen
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
59
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
60
Dynamo Kyiv
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
61
Shkendija
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
62
Samsunspor
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
63
Sigma
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
64
Hamrun Spartans
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
65
Drita
1 0 0 1 2:3 0
66
Servette
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
67
Fredrikstad
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
68
RFS
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
69
Banik
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
70
Sheriff
2 0 0 2 2:6 0
71
Beşiktaş JK
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
72
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
73
Partizan
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
74
Prishtina
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
75
Paksi
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
76
Ilves
1 0 0 1 0:6 0
77
Aktobe
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Legend
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals
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