The Matchday 5 World Cup 2026 qualifying clash between Latvia and Serbia will take place on September 6 at the Daugava Stadium in Riga. Latvia vs. Serbia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Latvia
Paolo Nicolato's team is having a predictable qualifying campaign so far. They lost away to England (0-3), won away against Andorra (1-0), and drew at home with Albania (1-1) in the last round. Notably, Latvia has only managed 2 wins in their last 9 World Cup qualifiers (3 draws and 4 losses). They are currently 4th in the group, just one point behind second place.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 8 of Latvia's last 9 World Cup qualifying matches.
- The team has not scored more than 1 goal in their last 9 matches in this tournament.
- At home, Latvia has failed to win in their last 4 World Cup qualifying games (1 draw and 3 losses).
Predicted lineup for Latvia (3-5-2)
Rihards Matrevics – Antonijs Cernomordijs, Daniels Balodis, Vitalijs Jagodinskis – Dmitrijs Zelenkovs, Eduards Daskevics, Aleksejs Saveļjevs, Kristers Penkevics, Deniss Melnik – Marko Regza, Vladislavs Gutkovskis.
Serbia
The Balkans have played only two matches in this qualifier, earning 4 points and currently sit 3rd in Group K. Serbia drew away with Albania (0-0), with whom they are likely to compete for the second spot in the group, and defeated Andorra 3-0 at home. Serbia's unbeaten run in World Cup qualifiers now stands at 11 matches, with 8 wins and 3 draws.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in 7 of Serbia's last 10 World Cup qualifying games.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Serbia's last 10 matches in this tournament.
- Serbia has avoided defeat in 10 of their last 11 away World Cup qualifying matches (7 wins and 3 draws).
Predicted lineup for Serbia (4-3-3)
Djorde Petrovic – Aleksa Terzic, Strahinja Pavlovic, Strahinja Erakovic, Nikola Milenkovic – Lazar Samardzic, Nemanja Maksimovic, Sasa Lukic – Aleksandar Mitrovic, Andrija Zivkovic, Dusan Vlahovic.
Referee
Julian Weinberger (Austria)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 38%.
Latvia vs. Serbia: Match Prediction
In Group K, the top spot seems destined for England. The real battle will be for the second place, with Serbia having a better chance, although they have yet to face the group's favorite. The Balkans will aim to perform well against competitors Albania and Latvia. They are unlikely to lose this match, but it probably won't be high-scoring.
In all 3 of Latvia's matches and 2 of Serbia's in this qualifying round, more than 3 goals were not scored. This was also the case in 9 of Latvia's last 11 home matches in this tournament, as well as in 13 of Serbia's last 15 away games in World Cup qualifying. Therefore, an interesting betting choice for the upcoming match is Total under 3.