Lille vs Sturm Graz: betting odds 11 Dec 2024

The Matchday 6 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Lille (France) and Sturm Graz (Austria) will take place on December 11 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium. Lille vs. Sturm Graz: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee: Georgi Kabakov (Bulgaria)

Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 44;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.5;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 0%.

Predicted lineups for Lille vs. Sturm Graz

Lille (4-5-1): Lucas Chevalier – Thomas Meunier, Bafodé Diakité, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Benjamin André, Angel Gomes, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Edon Zhegrova, Usame Sahraoui – Jonathan David.

Sturm Graz (4-3-1-2): Daniil Khudyakov – Dimitri Lavalée, Gregory Wüthrich, Emanuel Aiwu, Niklas Geyrhofer – Otar Kiteishvili, Lovro Zvonarek, Tomi Horvat – William Böving – Sidi Yatta, Mika Biereth.

Lille

Bruno Génésio's team secured a 2-1 away victory against Bologna in the last round. As a result, Lille extended their unbeaten run in the Champions League to four matches (3 wins, 1 draw). Moreover, the team has scored more than one goal only twice in their last six matches in this European competition. In the standings, the French side has climbed to 12th position with ten points.

Defenders Tiago Santos and Samuel Umtiti, midfielders Angel Gomes, Ethan Mbappe, and Nabil Bentaleb will miss the match due to injuries.

• The club has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 8 home matches in the Champions League (4 wins, 3 draws).
• The team has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 7 of their last 8 home games in this European competition.
• The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 5 of Lille's last 6 home matches in the Champions League.

Sturm Graz

In the last round, Jürgen Säumel's side defeated Girona 1-0 at home. As a result, Sturm Graz ended their six-match losing streak in the Champions League and earned their first points in the group stage, placing 29th with three points. Notably, the Austrians have scored only two goals in the current Champions League campaign – only Bologna has a lower tally. In terms of goals conceded (6), Sturm Graz ranks better than only eight clubs.

Goalkeeper Kjell Scherpen and defender Aleksandar Borkovic will miss the match due to injuries. Defender Jusuf Gazibegovic is suspended.

• The team has not won in regular time in their last ten away matches in the Champions League (2 draws, 8 losses).
• The club has not scored more than once in 90 minutes in seven previous away games in the Champions League.
• The Austrians have conceded exactly one or two goals in regular time in 6 of their last 7 away matches in this European competition.

Lille vs. Sturm Graz: Match Prediction

Even in European home games, Lille prioritizes reliable defense. This approach has been successful: in 7 of their last 8 home matches in the Champions League, the club has not conceded more than one goal, achieving five clean sheets in this span. However, in attack, the French side struggles to shine: in their last 19 home matches in this European competition, Lille has scored at least two goals in only two instances.

Sturm Graz employs a similar strategy, favoring a counter-attacking style and lacking high scoring output. In their last seven away matches in the Champions League, the club has only once allowed their opponents to score more than two goals, conceding just one goal in four of those games. During the same period, the Austrians have not scored more than once in any away game.

I believe defense will prevail over attack in this encounter. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals