The Matchday 6 fixture of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between Lithuania and the Netherlands will take place on September 7 at the Darius and Girėnas Stadium in Kaunas. Lithuania vs. Netherlands: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lithuania
After four matches in the current World Cup qualifying campaign, the team is in fourth place, trailing the top three by four points. Lithuania has yet to secure a victory, with one loss and three draws. In the last round, Edgaras Jankauskas's side drew 1-1 at home against Malta.
- The team has lost 14 of their last 19 World Cup qualifiers (1 win, 4 draws).
- A maximum of two goals have been scored in 4 of Lithuania's last 5 matches in this tournament.
- Lithuania has won only 1 of their last 9 home World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for Lithuania (5-4-1)
Edvinas Gertmonas – Edgaras Utkus, Justas Lasickas, Artemijus Tutyshkinas, Edvinas Girdvainis, Klaudijus Upstas – Artur Dolzhnikov, Gvidas Gineitis, Gratas Sirgedas, Modestas Vorobjovas – Gytis Paulauskas.
Defender Edgaras Utkus will miss the match due to suspension.
Netherlands
Ronald Koeman's side tops the Group G standings. They have the same number of points as Poland and Finland (7 each) but have played one fewer game. In the last round, the Netherlands hosted Poland and surprisingly drew 1-1. The team's unbeaten streak in World Cup qualifiers has now extended to 12 matches, with 9 wins and 3 draws.
- The Netherlands has kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 7 World Cup qualifiers.
- The team is unbeaten in 5 away matches in this tournament – 3 wins and 2 draws.
- They have not scored more than 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 away World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for the Netherlands (4-4-2)
Bart Verbruggen – Virgil van Dijk, Denzel Dumfries, Micky van de Ven, Jan Paul van Hecke – Ryan Gravenberch, Tijjani Reijnders, Frenkie de Jong, Xavi Simons – Cody Gakpo, Memphis Depay.
Referee
Elchin Masiyev (Azerbaijan)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 20%.
Lithuania vs. Netherlands: Match Prediction
The visitors are clear favorites for the upcoming match. However, the hosts have a decent chance of at least avoiding a heavy defeat. In the current qualifying cycle, Lithuania has only lost once in four matches, and that was by a 0-1 scoreline. Additionally, Lithuania has avoided a heavy defeat in 13 of their last 16 home World Cup qualifying matches.
The Netherlands does not often win by a large margin, and when they do, it's usually against the weaker sides of the European continent. In their last 14 away matches in World Cup qualifying, the team has only one emphatic victory, and that was against Gibraltar. Considering the recent performances of both teams, it's worth considering a bet on the hosts, where they might lose by a small margin if they lose at all.
My prediction – Lithuania with a handicap (+2.5)
