The Champions League 2024/25 Group Stage Matchday 4 between Liverpool (England) and Bayer Leverkusen (Germany) will take place on November 5 at Anfield Stadium. Liverpool vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and betting odds, statistics. Referee: Danny Makkelie (Netherlands) Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25); Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 44; Average yellow cards per match – 4; Red cards shown – 1; Average fouls per match – 21; Penalty kick percentage – 18%. Probable line-ups for the match Liverpool vs Bayer Leverkusen Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Kostas Tsimikas, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk – Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister – Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Mohamed Salah – Darwin Nunez. Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-3): Lukas Hradecky – Jonathan Tah, Edmond Tapsoba, Piero Hincapie – Jeremie Frimpong, Granit Xhaka, Robert Andrich, Alejandro Grimaldo – Florian Wirtz, Marten Thorsby, Patrik Schick. Liverpool Liverpool, alongside Aston Villa, top the Champions League group stage table with a maximum of 9 points after three rounds. Their opponents included top-5 European league representatives: from Serie A – Milan (3:1) and Bologna (2:0), and from the Bundesliga – RB Leipzig (1:0). Arne Slot's charges managed to score before the 30-minute mark in all three starting rounds. Notably, in their last 10 Champions League matches, Liverpool secured 8 victories, suffering only two defeats (both times against Real Madrid from Madrid). Goalkeeper Alisson Becker, forwards Diogo Jota and Federico Chiesa, as well as midfielder Harvey Elliott will miss the match due to injuries. In 7 out of the last 10 Champions League games involving the club, a maximum of three goals were scored. One of the teams failed to score in 5 out of the last 7 Liverpool matches in this tournament. A draw was recorded in the first 45 minutes in 7 out of the previous 9 home matches for Liverpool in the Champions League. Bayer Leverkusen Leverkusen can also be pleased with the start of the Champions League group stage. After three rounds, the team has 7 points and a high sixth place in the table. In the last round, Xabi Alonso's men dropped their first points and conceded their first goal, drawing away with Brest (1:1). Prior to that, Bayer had clean-sheet victories over Milan (1:0) and Feyenoord (4:0). The Germans' unbeaten streak in this tournament now stands at five matches (2 wins and 3 draws). Defenders Nordi Mukiele, Janyuel Belosian and forward Amin Adli will not play due to injuries. In 14 out of the previous 17 Bayer Champions League games, more than three goals were not scored. At least one team failed to score in 9 out of the last 11 matches involving the club in this tournament. Leverkusen failed to score more than one goal in 10 out of the last 13 away matches in this European competition. Liverpool vs Bayer Leverkusen: Match Prediction Since 2019, the Merseysiders have only lost in the Champions League to teams from Serie A and La Liga. However, Liverpool has a good record against Bundesliga clubs – over the last 22 years, the team has played nine encounters with German clubs in the UCL and secured 8 wins with one draw. I believe that the English side will overcome Leverkusen with some difficulty, who in this century have faced Premier League clubs 12 times in this European tournament, suffering 7 defeats (2 wins and 3 draws). I would also note the current form of both clubs in the Champions League. Liverpool won 5 out of the last 6 home matches, only losing to Real Madrid. Bayer Leverkusen's away performance in this European cup is less impressive – in the last 18 games, the Germans have only 3 wins in regular time (7 draws and 8 defeats), and they tend to score fewer goals in away Champions League encounters. My prediction is a "Liverpool Victory" with odds of 1.67(ru); 1.67(kk); 1.67(by); 1.67(tj). Author: Oleksandr Oleksenko
The standout fixture of the first matchday of the Champions League this week will take place at Anfield, where Liverpool host Bayer Leverkusen. It's clear that Xabi Alonso aims to make his mark on familiar ground, especially as both teams have hit decent form in the early rounds of the competition. However, it is crucial for these top sides not to drop points.
Liverpool
Following their impressive away performance at the San Siro against AC Milan (3:1), Liverpool played more restrained matches against Bologna (2:0) and RB Leipzig (1:0). In Leipzig, the Merseyside team generated 2.38 xG and hit eight shots on target, resulting in just one goal from Darwin Núñez—reflecting conversion issues on the international stage. Nevertheless, Liverpool have shown solid defensive capabilities, conceding only 1.44 xGA over their last 180 minutes in the Champions League.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
The late September visit to Bayern Munich (1:1) showcased a transformed Bayer Leverkusen. Xabi Alonso's new season approach has shifted from high pressing to a more results-driven strategy, with the team preferring to drop back. Against AC Milan (1:0) and Stade Brestois (1:1), the Leverkusen side created 4.21 xG but similarly struggled to capitalise on most of their chances.
Liverpool vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
Last week, both Liverpool and Bayer Leverkusen had two domestic matches each, leaving both slightly fatigued ahead of their encounter. Given the quality of opposition, neither side is likely to take frequent risks, and the combined total is expected to stay under 3.5.
