Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland: prediction & betting odds 4 September 2025

The Matchday 5 clash in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers between Luxembourg and Northern Ireland will take place on September 4 at Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Northern Ireland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Luxembourg

In the previous qualifiers, the team finished fourth in Group A. Luxembourg won 3 matches and suffered 5 defeats, finishing ahead of only Azerbaijan in the standings. Two of the three victories were against this opponent. However, the team conceded goals in both encounters with Azerbaijan and has only one clean sheet in their last 10 World Cup qualifying matches. The last Nations League campaign was also disappointing for Luxembourg, as they finished at the bottom of Group C.

In August, Jeff Strasser, a former national team player with nearly 100 caps, took over as head coach.

• At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Luxembourg's last 7 World Cup qualifying matches.
• At home, the team has failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches in this tournament (1 draw, 7 losses).
• Luxembourg has scored in 5 of their last 7 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Luxembourg (4-5-1)

Anthony Moris – Laurent Jans, Florian Bonert, Dirk Carlson, Enes Mahmutovic – Danel Sinani, Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Seid Korac, Olivier Thill – Evandro Borges.

Northern Ireland

In the previous qualifiers, the team finished third in Group C, behind Italy and Switzerland. Northern Ireland defeated Lithuania twice (3 draws, 3 losses) and were 7 points behind the second place. Notably, the team scored only 6 goals, failing to find the net in five matches during this period. However, Northern Ireland performed much better in the last Nations League, topping their group and earning promotion to League B.

• At least one opponent failed to score in 9 of Northern Ireland's last 11 World Cup qualifying matches.
• In 5 of their last 6 away matches in this tournament, the team has not scored more than one goal.
• Northern Ireland has failed to win 5 of their last 6 away World Cup qualifying matches (1 draw, 4 losses).

Predicted lineup for Northern Ireland (4-4-2)

Bailey Peacock-Farrell – Paddy McNair, Conor Bradley, Trai Hume, Daniel Ballard – Alistair McCann, Shea Charles, George Saville, Isaac Price – Dion Charles, Callum Marshall.

Referee

Andris Treimanis (Latvia)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 66;

Average yellow cards per match – 6;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 29;

Penalties – 27%.

Match Prediction: Luxembourg vs. Northern Ireland

The teams were opponents in the last Nations League. Northern Ireland secured a 2-0 victory at home, while the match in Luxembourg ended in a 2-2 draw. Both teams displayed an unusual level of scoring in that encounter. In the upcoming match, I do not expect a repeat of such a goal fest.

Luxembourg struggled offensively in the 2024/25 Nations League, even though there were no strong teams in their group. The team managed to score in only two of their six matches. In World Cup qualifiers, Luxembourg has not been prolific, even at home: the team has not scored more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches.

Five of Northern Ireland's six goals in the previous qualifiers were scored against Lithuania. The away match against the Baltic side, which they won 4-1, stands out from their other results. It was the only match in Northern Ireland's last 6 away World Cup qualifying encounters where they managed to score more than once. Moreover, they failed to score in 4 matches during this period.

My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals