Netherlands vs Poland: prediction & betting odds 4 September 2025

The Matchday 5 clash in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between the Netherlands and Poland will take place on September 4 at the Feyenoord Stadium in Rotterdam. Netherlands vs. Poland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Netherlands

The team kicked off their qualification campaign in June. The Dutch comfortably defeated Finland (2-0) and Malta (8-0) in their two matches. Despite having played fewer games, the team is currently second in Group G, trailing leaders Finland by just one point, who have played two more matches. Notably, Ronald Koeman's side has won 9 of their last 11 World Cup qualifiers, drawing the other two.

• The team has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
• The Netherlands have a 9-match winning streak at home in this qualification campaign.
• The Dutch have scored at least 2 goals in their last 9 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for the Netherlands (4-4-2)

Mark Flekken – Denzel Dumfries, Jurriën Timber, Virgil van Dijk, Nathan Aké – Tijjani Reijnders, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Jan Paul van Hecke – Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo.

Poland

Poland currently sits third in the group with 6 points from 3 matches. The team easily overcame the underdogs at the start of the qualifiers, defeating Lithuania (1-0) and Malta (2-0) at home. However, they traveled to Finland in the last round and suffered a 1-2 defeat. Following this match, Michal Probierz was sacked. It's also worth noting that Poland's 3-match winning streak in World Cup qualifiers was broken, during which they did not concede a goal.

Forward Robert Lewandowski has returned to the national team after the Polish federation decided to replace the head coach with Jan Urban.

• A maximum of 3 goals have been scored in Poland's last 5 World Cup qualifying matches.
• Poland has not lost in 9 of their last 11 World Cup qualifiers (8 wins and 1 draw).
• Both teams have scored in 6 of Poland's last 7 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Poland (4-4-2)

Kamil Grabara – Jakub Kiwior, Jan Bednarek, Przemysław Wiśniewski, Matty Cash – Kamil Grosicki, Nicola Zalewski, Sebastian Szymański, Bartosz Slisz – Robert Lewandowski, Adam Buksa.

Referee

Simone Sozza (Italy)

Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 47%.

Netherlands vs. Poland: Match Prediction

Historically, Poland has struggled against this opponent. In the 21st century, the teams have met in 5 official matches, with Poland securing just 1 draw, while the Dutch have won the other 4 encounters. The Polish team is evidently weak compared to Europe's top teams and even struggles against the continent's underdogs, as seen in the current qualification campaign.

I expect the hosts to secure a confident victory, allowing them to lead the group. I anticipate at least two goals from the Netherlands. The team has scored two or more goals in their last 9 home World Cup qualifying matches, conceding only 2 goals in this streak. Poland managed to concede two goals even against modest Finland in June.

My prediction: Netherlands to Win and Individual Total Over 1.5