The Matchday 3 clash in Ligue 1 between Paris and Metz will take place on August 31 at the Charlety Stadium. Paris vs. Metz: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Paris
The debutant of the current season is positioned in the relegation zone of the French Championship standings, having lost both matches. First, Paris lost to Angers (0-1), and in the last round, they suffered a heavy defeat against Marseille away with a score of 2-5. After two matches, the capital club has conceded the most goals in the tournament – 6. In the recently concluded Ligue 2 season, Paris was second in defensive reliability with 33 goals conceded, behind only the champion Lorient (31).
- The team has scored in 8 of their last 9 matches in Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.
- Paris has a 9-match home winning streak in the second tier of French football.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 6 of the club's last 8 matches in Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.
Predicted lineup for Paris (5-4-1)
Obe Nkambadio – Samir Chergui, Mustapha Mbow, Vincent Marchetti, Otavio, Noah Sanjui – Ilan Kebbal, Julien Lopez, Adama Camara, Moises Simon – Willem Geubbels.
Midfielder Pierre Le-Melou has joined the team.
Metz
Worse than Paris, only Metz started the current championship, having also lost both matches without scoring a single goal. The team lost both matches to Strasbourg (0-1) and Lyon (0-3) and is at the bottom of the Ligue 1 standings, trailing Paris on additional indicators. Stéphane Le Mignan's side is one of only two teams this season, along with Nantes, that have not managed to score. It's worth noting that the upcoming opponents met in last season's Ligue 2, with Metz winning both encounters (2-1, 3-1).
- The team has not won in 4 matches (2 draws, 2 losses) considering Ligue 1 and playoff matches.
- In these 4 matches, Metz failed to keep a clean sheet.
- Away, the club has not lost in 12 of their last 14 matches in Ligue 1, playoff matches, and Ligue 2 (6 wins, 6 draws).
Predicted lineup for Metz (5-3-2)
Jonathan Fischer – Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Yuri-Michel Mbula, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Sadibou Sane, Koffi Kouao – Boubacar Traore, Benjamin Stambouli, Gauthier Hein – Giorgi Abuashvili, Bryan Mbeumo.
Referee
Gael Angoula (France)
Matches – 8 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 38%.
Paris vs. Metz: Match Prediction
The newcomers of the current Ligue 1 season have both started poorly, losing twice. Paris has returned to the top division after nearly half a century, while Metz made a comeback immediately after their relegation. However, the losses of the upcoming opponents were entirely different. Paris showed themselves as an attacking team, looking lively in both matches of the current championship. Certainly, the capital club made a mistake by engaging in an open game with Marseille at the Velodrome, for which they were punished with five goals by the renowned opponent. However, Paris also scored twice against Marseille, and against Metz, who have a weak attack, the hosts are unlikely to face such a fiasco.
Moreover, both matches of the current Ligue 1 season were played away, and they are especially strong at home, where they ended the previous Ligue 2 season with a 9-match winning streak. Notably, in 6 of the 9 won matches, they scored at least 2 goals. Metz, on the other hand, lacks not only a productive attack but also a reliable defense, conceding in 8 consecutive away matches, including Ligue 1, playoff matches, and Ligue 2, with at least 2 goals conceded in 5 of them. The 4 goals conceded in 2 matches of the current championship also indicate defensive problems for the visitors.
I believe the hosts will score at least 2 goals against Metz, my prediction is Paris Individual Total Over 1.5
