The Matchday 6 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Poland and Finland will take place on September 7 at the Silesian Stadium in Chorzów. Poland vs. Finland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Poland
In Group G, there is currently a three-way tie. Three teams have accumulated 7 points each, but the Netherlands lead due to having played one less match, while Poland holds the second spot, ahead of Finland on goal difference. Poland has failed to win their last two qualifying matches, both of which were away games. In June, they lost 1-2 in Finland and unexpectedly drew 1-1 with the Netherlands in the last round.
- Poland has suffered only 2 defeats in their last 12 World Cup qualifiers (8 wins and 2 draws).
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 5 of Poland's last 6 matches in this tournament.
- The team has won 11 of their last 13 home World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for Poland (4-5-1)
Łukasz Skorupski – Matty Cash, Jakub Kiwior, Jan Bednarek, Przemysław Wiśniewski – Sebastian Szymański, Jakub Kamiński, Bartosz Slisz, Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zieliński – Robert Lewandowski.
Finland
Jakob Friis's team did not play in the 5th round but had a friendly match against Norway, which they lost 0-1. In the group stage, they are third, having the same number of points as Poland and the Netherlands. Notably, Finland remains unbeaten away in this qualifying cycle, with a victory over Malta (1-0) and a draw with Lithuania (2-2).
- Finland has not lost in 12 of their last 16 World Cup qualifiers (7 wins and 5 draws).
- The team has scored in 14 of their last 17 qualifying matches.
- Finland is on a four-match unbeaten run away in this tournament (3 wins and 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Finland (4-4-2)
Lukas Hradecky – Jere Uronen, Matti Peltola, Miro Tenho, Arttu Hoskonen – Kaan Kairinen, Robin Lod, Glen Kamara, Fredrik Jensen – Joel Pohjanpalo, Oliver Antman.
Referee
Rade Obrenović (Slovenia)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 17%.
Match Prediction: Poland vs. Finland
If Poland aims to compete for the top spot in their group, they must avoid dropping points against lower-ranked opponents. In their first encounter, Finland emerged victorious (2-1), so Jan Urban's team has the chance to take revenge on their rival and increase their lead over Finland in the battle for at least the second spot in the standings.
Poland is very strong at home. In their last 13 home World Cup qualifying matches, the team has recorded 11 wins, drawing with England and losing to Hungary. Moreover, in this series, Poland has scored at least two goals on 10 occasions. Therefore, I believe the hosts will come out on top in the upcoming match.
My prediction: Poland to win
* For each team, the starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is indicated.
