The second leg of the Champions League 2025/26 qualifying playoff between Qarabag (Azerbaijan) and Ferencvaros (Hungary) will take place on August 27 at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku. The score of the first match was 3-1 in favor of Qarabag. Qarabag vs. Ferencvaros: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Qarabag
Gurban Gurbanov's side defeated the Hungarians 3-1 in the previous match. The Azerbaijanis conceded first, but three goals in the second half secured the team's fifth consecutive victory in the Champions League. Qarabag's scoring prowess in this tournament is noteworthy, with 13 goals to their name. In the return leg, the club can even afford to lose by a narrow margin to progress to the main stage.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Qarabag's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The team has remained unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 home games in the Champions League (8 wins, 4 draws).
- In 7 of their last 9 home games in this tournament, Qarabag has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Qarabag (4-5-1)
Mateusz Kochalski – Behlul Mustafazade, Kevin Medina, Mateus Silva, Elvin Jafarguliyev – Abdellah Zoubir, Kady, Leandro Andrade, Pedro Bicalho, Marko Jankovic – Nariman Akhundzade.
Ferencvaros
The defeat in the last match ended the Hungarians' five-match unbeaten run in the Champions League (3 wins, 2 draws). However, during this stretch, the team had already conceded three goals. Moreover, Ferencvaros has kept a clean sheet in only two of their last 8 Champions League matches. To advance to the main draw, Robbie Keane's side needs to win by at least three goals. If the club beats the Azerbaijanis by exactly two goals, extra time will be required.
- The team has remained unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 away games in the Champions League (3 wins, 4 draws).
- In 5 of their last 7 away games in the Champions League, the Hungarians have conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.
- At least one goal has been scored in both halves in 8 of Ferencvaros's last 9 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Ferencvaros (3-5-2)
Denes Dibusz – Gabor Szalai, Stefan Gartenmann, Thun Raaemekers – Callum O'Dowda, Chebrail Makreckis, Bence Etvos, Alex Toth, Gavriel Kanikovski – Barnabas Varga, Lenny Joseph.
Referee
Clement Turpin (France)
Matches – 19 (International matches, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 47%.
Match Prediction: Qarabag vs. Ferencvaros
The first match was a thrilling display of scoring. I anticipate that the return leg will also feature plenty of goals. The Hungarians will be forced to attack, and Robbie Keane's side has no issues creating and converting chances. Ferencvaros has scored 10 times in this Champions League campaign, but they have also conceded 7 goals. Away from home, the team has conceded in 20 of their last 23 Champions League games.
Qarabag has been even more prolific in the 2025/26 Champions League, with 13 goals. In the upcoming match, Gurban Gurbanov's side doesn't need to push forward aggressively. They have a comfortable lead, which they can extend by catching the Hungarians on counterattacks. At home, Qarabag has scored in 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches, netting 4-5 goals during this period.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
