The second leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025 Round of 16 between Racing (Argentina) and Peñarol (Uruguay) will take place on August 20 at the Presidente Juan Domingo Perón Stadium in Avellaneda. The first match ended 1-0 in favor of Peñarol. Racing vs. Peñarol: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Racing
In the first match, Gustavo Costas' team suffered a 0-1 away defeat. This was Racing's first loss in five Copa Libertadores matches (3 wins, 1 draw), ending their three-match clean sheet streak in this tournament. Additionally, the club failed to score for the first time in the current Copa Libertadores campaign. To advance to the next playoff round, the team must win by a two-goal margin in regular time. Notably, in the 21st century, the Argentines have reached the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals only three times.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 8 home matches in the Copa Libertadores (5 wins, 2 draws).
- At least three goals were scored in 90 minutes in 7 of the club's last 10 home games in this tournament.
- The Argentines have kept a clean sheet in regular time in 5 of their last 6 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.
Predicted lineup for Racing (4-3-3)
Gabriel Arias – Gaston Martirena, Gabriel Rojas, Nazareno Colombo, Marco Di Cesare – Juan Nardoni, Agustin Almendra, Santiago Sosa – Santiago Solari Ferreira, Duvan Vergara, Adrian Martinez.
Forward Adrian Martinez will miss the match due to suspension.
Peñarol
In the first encounter, the Uruguayans were stronger and extended their unbeaten run in the Copa Libertadores to six matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Moreover, Peñarol kept a clean sheet in five of these matches. To advance to the next playoff round, the team only needs to avoid losing in regular time, and if they lose by a one-goal margin, extra time will be played. It's worth noting that the Uruguayans could reach the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals for only the second time since the 2011/12 season.
- The club has not won in regular time in 13 of their last 16 away matches in the Copa Libertadores (1 draw, 12 losses).
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament.
- The Uruguayans have scored no more than one goal in regular time in 7 of their last 8 away matches in the Copa Libertadores.
Predicted lineup for Peñarol (4-4-2)
Brian Cortes – Javier Mendez, Emanuel Gularte, Nahuel Herrera, Maximiliano Olivera – Eric Remedi, Ignacio Sosa, Javier Cabrera, Emiliano Trindade – Leonardo Fernandez, Maximiliano Silvera.
Referee
Wilmar Roldan (Colombia)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 0%.
Racing vs. Peñarol: Match Prediction
In the first match, the teams did not deliver a spectacular game, and in the second leg, I expect the opponents to play in a similar style. Racing, even at home, aims to achieve results without taking risks, preferring a solid defense. In 3 of their last 4 home matches in the Copa Libertadores, they have not scored more than one goal. Meanwhile, the Argentines effectively neutralize opponents' attacks: in their last six home matches in this tournament, the club has kept a clean sheet five times.
Peñarol will likely try to maintain the advantage gained in the first match and play cautiously. Additionally, the team has not been highly productive away: in 20 of their last 22 away matches in the Copa Libertadores, the Uruguayans have scored no more than once, and in ten of those matches, they failed to score at all. At the same time, they can be solid defensively: in 5 of their last 7 away matches, Peñarol has conceded no more than one goal, keeping a clean sheet in four of those encounters.
I expect a low-scoring match, so my prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
