Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: betting odds 9 Mar 2025

The Matchday 27 La Liga fixture between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano will take place on March 9 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Real Madrid

Madrid suffered another defeat, this time in an away match against Real Betis (1-2). In their last five league matches, the club has managed only one victory, alongside two draws and two losses. Due to this poor run in La Liga, Carlo Ancelotti's team has dropped to third place in the standings, trailing Barcelona by three points. Atletico Madrid is also two points ahead.

  • A maximum of three goals have been scored in Real Madrid's last six La Liga matches.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Real Madrid's last 10 league matches.
  • The club has won 5 of their last 6 home matches in La Liga (1 draw).

Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)

Thibaut Courtois – David Alaba, Ferland Mendy, Antonio Rüdiger, Lucas Vazquez – Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Brahim Diaz – Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappe.

Defenders Jesus Vallejo, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal, along with midfielder Dani Ceballos, are sidelined due to injuries.

Rayo Vallecano

The team has not tasted victory in three consecutive league matches. During this stretch, they suffered 0-1 defeats to Barcelona and Villarreal and drew 1-1 with Sevilla. Interestingly, before this, the club had a nine-match unbeaten run in La Liga (5 wins and 4 draws). Under Inigo Perez, they are currently in seventh place, just two points away from the European competition spots.

  • No more than two goals were scored in 8 of Rayo Vallecano's last 10 league matches.
  • The club conceded exactly one goal in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
  • The first half ended in a draw in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 league matches.

Predicted lineup for Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)

Augusto Batalla – Florian Lejeune, Andrei Ratiu, Pep Chavarria, Abdul Mumin – Pathé Ciss, Pedro Diaz – Oscar Trejo, Alvaro Garcia, Randy Nteka – Adrian Embarba.

Midfielder Jorge de Frutos will miss the match due to suspension, while midfielder Isi Palazon and defender Abdul Mumin are out with injuries.

Prediction for Real Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano

Carlo Ancelotti's side will be coming off a tough Champions League round of 16 match, where they defeated Atletico Madrid at home in the first leg. However, the club is in poor form in the domestic league, having only beaten Girona (2-0) in their last five matches.

Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano has only lost to Barcelona and Villarreal in their last 12 La Liga matches, both by a narrow 0-1 margin. Defeating this team is incredibly challenging, and in the current La Liga season, only Las Palmas managed to beat them by more than one goal. Additionally, Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano have drawn in their last three league encounters, with Real unable to beat their local rivals by two or more goals in their last 10 La Liga meetings.

Therefore, with a safety net, I suggest the prediction – Rayo Vallecano with a handicap (+2)

* The starting lineup for each team reflects their last match in this tournament.

Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano betting tips 9 Mar 2025

Fresh off a Champions League victory over Atlético Madrid (2:1), Real Madrid are riding a wave of confidence and will be eager to bounce back from their recent La Liga setback. Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, have gone three matches without a win and have historically struggled at the Santiago Bernabéu.

Real Madrid suffered a disappointing 2:1 defeat to Real Betis in their last league outing, where they were outshot (18-9) and outperformed in xG (2.39-1.13). However, at home, Real Madrid have been dominant, winning 10 of their 12 La Liga matches at the Bernabéu, scoring 31 goals—just two fewer than Barcelona. The hosts have netted at least twice in every home league match except for clashes against Barcelona (0:4) and Atlético Madrid (1:1). The in-form Kylian Mbappé has been a goal machine, scoring 14 times in his last 14 matches since 12 January.

Rayo Vallecano are struggling for form, failing to win any of their last three matches and scoring just once in that stretch. Their defensive issues persist, having conceded in 9 of their last 11 La Liga matches. Goalkeeper Augusto Batalla has kept just five clean sheets in 21 league appearances, and Rayo Vallecano have taken only two points from four matches against top-six opposition this season. Their poor record at the Santiago Bernabéu is another major concern—they haven’t won there in their last 14 visits.

With Real Madrid highly motivated to close the gap on Barcelona, and Mbappé in red-hot form, Rayo Vallecano's leaky defence will likely struggle to contain them. Given Real Madrid's strong home record and Rayo's attacking struggles, a combination bet is the way to go.

Betting prediction
Real Madrid to win + Real Madrid Total Over 1.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
12/25
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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

Current season

Logo Real Madrid Logo Rayo Vallecano
16 Wins 9
4 Lost 8
6 Draws 9
2.12 GF per game 1.08
0.96 GA per game 1.04
5.62 Corners per game 5.08
1.54 Yellow cards per game 2.5

La Liga: previous matches in the tournament

Real Madrid
01.03.25
Real Betis
Real Madrid
L
23.02.25
Real Madrid
Girona
W
15.02.25
Osasuna
Real Madrid
D
08.02.25
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
D
01.02.25
Espanyol
Real Madrid
L
25.01.25
Valladolid
Real Madrid
W
19.01.25
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
W
03.01.25
Valencia
Real Madrid
W
22.12.24
Real Madrid
Sevilla
W
14.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
D
07.12.24
Girona
Real Madrid
W
04.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
L
01.12.24
Real Madrid
Getafe
W
24.11.24
Leganés
Real Madrid
W
09.11.24
Real Madrid
Osasuna
W
26.10.24
Real Madrid
Barcelona
L
19.10.24
Celta
Real Madrid
W
05.10.24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
W
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
24.09.24
Real Madrid
Alavés
W
21.09.24
Real Madrid
Espanyol
W
14.09.24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
W
01.09.24
Real Madrid
Real Betis
W
29.08.24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
D
25.08.24
Real Madrid
Valladolid
W
18.08.24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
D
More matches
Rayo Vallecano
01.03.25
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
D
22.02.25
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
L
17.02.25
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
L
07.02.25
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid
W
31.01.25
Leganés
Rayo Vallecano
W
26.01.25
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
W
19.01.25
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
D
10.01.25
Rayo Vallecano
Celta
W
22.12.24
Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano
D
18.12.24
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
D
14.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
D
07.12.24
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
W
01.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao
L
24.11.24
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
L
08.11.24
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas
L
26.10.24
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés
W
20.10.24
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
L
05.10.24
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano
W
28.09.24
Rayo Vallecano
Leganés
D
25.09.24
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
D
22.09.24
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
D
16.09.24
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
W
31.08.24
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
L
27.08.24
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
L
24.08.24
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
D
18.08.24
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
W
More matches

H2H: Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano

La Liga 2024-2025
14.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
La Liga 2023-2024
18.02.24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
05.11.23
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2022-2023
24.05.23
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
07.11.22
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
La Liga 2021-2022
26.02.22
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
06.11.21
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2018-2019
28.04.19
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
15.12.18
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2015-2016
23.04.16
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
20.12.15
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2014-2015
08.04.15
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
08.11.14
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga 2013-2014
28.03.14
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
5
:
0
01.11.13
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
2
:
3
La Liga 2012-2013
16.02.13
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
:
0
23.09.12
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
:
2
La Liga 2011-2012
25.02.12
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
:
1
23.09.11
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
6
:
2
La Liga 2002-2003
05.04.03
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
3
:
1
09.11.02
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
2
:
3
La Liga 2001-2002
06.04.02
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
3
:
1
25.11.01
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
:
3
La Liga 2000-2001
20.05.01
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
:
1
19.12.00
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
3
:
1
La Liga 1999-2000
25.03.00
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
:
0
06.11.99
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
2
:
3
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
26 18 3 5 71:25 57
2
Atlético Madrid
26 16 8 2 43:16 56
3
Real Madrid
26 16 6 4 55:25 54
4
Athletic Bilbao
26 13 9 4 44:23 48
5
Villarreal
26 12 8 6 48:36 44
6
Real Betis
26 10 8 8 34:33 38
7
Rayo Vallecano
26 9 9 8 28:27 36
8
Celta
27 10 6 11 40:41 36
9
Mallorca
26 10 6 10 25:32 36
10
Real Sociedad
26 10 4 12 23:27 34
11
Osasuna
26 7 12 7 32:37 33
12
Sevilla
26 8 9 9 31:36 33
13
Girona
26 9 5 12 34:39 32
14
Getafe
26 7 9 10 21:21 30
15
Espanyol
25 7 6 12 24:36 27
16
Valencia
27 6 9 12 30:45 27
17
Leganés
27 6 9 12 24:40 27
18
Alavés
27 6 8 13 30:40 26
19
Las Palmas
26 6 6 14 30:44 24
20
Valladolid
27 4 4 19 18:62 16
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Atlético Madrid
14 10 4 0 25:8 34
2
Real Madrid
12 10 1 1 31:11 31
3
Celta
14 9 2 3 24:14 29
4
Athletic Bilbao
13 8 4 1 26:8 28
5
Barcelona
12 9 0 3 33:9 27
6
Osasuna
14 6 6 2 25:20 24
7
Real Betis
13 6 5 2 21:15 23
8
Espanyol
13 6 4 3 17:14 22
9
Valencia
14 6 3 5 20:18 21
10
Villarreal
12 5 5 2 28:19 20
11
Girona
13 6 2 5 24:20 20
12
Real Sociedad
13 6 2 5 15:13 20
13
Mallorca
14 5 5 4 14:15 20
14
Rayo Vallecano
13 5 4 4 18:17 19
15
Sevilla
13 5 4 4 12:15 19
16
Leganés
13 5 2 6 13:19 17
17
Getafe
13 3 7 3 10:8 16
18
Alavés
13 4 4 5 11:13 16
19
Las Palmas
13 3 4 6 15:19 13
20
Valladolid
13 3 4 6 8:20 13
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
14 9 3 2 38:16 30
2
Villarreal
14 7 3 4 20:17 24
3
Real Madrid
14 6 5 3 24:14 23
4
Atlético Madrid
12 6 4 2 18:8 22
5
Athletic Bilbao
13 5 5 3 18:15 20
6
Rayo Vallecano
13 4 5 4 10:10 17
7
Mallorca
12 5 1 6 11:17 16
8
Real Betis
13 4 3 6 13:18 15
9
Sevilla
13 3 5 5 19:21 14
10
Getafe
13 4 2 7 11:13 14
11
Real Sociedad
13 4 2 7 8:14 14
12
Girona
13 3 3 7 10:19 12
13
Las Palmas
13 3 2 8 15:25 11
14
Alavés
14 2 4 8 19:27 10
15
Leganés
14 1 7 6 11:21 10
16
Osasuna
12 1 6 5 7:17 9
17
Celta
13 1 4 8 16:27 7
18
Valencia
13 0 6 7 10:27 6
19
Espanyol
12 1 2 9 7:22 5
20
Valladolid
14 1 0 13 10:42 3

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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