San Marino vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: prediction & betting odds 6 September 2025

The Matchday 5 clash in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between San Marino and Bosnia and Herzegovina will take place on September 6 at the San Marino Stadium in Serravalle. San Marino vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

San Marino

Roberto Cevoli's side suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat at home to Austria in the last round. This loss marked San Marino's 57th consecutive defeat in World Cup qualifiers. Moreover, the team has scored just one goal in their last nine European qualifiers. In the standings, the team has no points and sits at the bottom.

  • The team has conceded at least three goals in regular time in 10 of their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers.
  • San Marino has failed to score in 11 of their last 13 home European qualifiers in regular time.

Predicted lineup for San Marino (4-5-1)

Edoardo Colombo – Tommaso Benvenuti, Michele Cevoli, Dante Carlos Rossi, Filippo Fabbri – Alessandro Golinucci, Marcello Mularoni, Nico Sensoli, Valli Casadei, Samuele Zannoni – Nicola Nanni.

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia has played three matches in the current World Cup qualifiers and won each of them. Starting with a victory over Romania (1-0), the team then defeated Cyprus (2-1) and San Marino (1-0). With nine points, the team confidently leads the group, but Austria, which has played one less match, also has a perfect record. Notably, Bosnia and Herzegovina have kept a clean sheet in only three of their last 13 European qualifiers.

  • No more than three goals have been scored in regular time in 5 of Bosnia's last 6 away World Cup qualifiers.
  • The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 90 minutes in their last six away European qualifiers.
  • Bosnia has conceded in regular time in 7 of their last 10 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Bosnia and Herzegovina (4-5-1)

Nikola Vasilj – Tarik Muharemovic, Adrian Leon Barisic, Stjepan Radeljic, Arijan Malic – Amar Dedic, Armin Gigovic, Ivan Sunjic, Benjamin Tahirovic, Ermedin Demirovic – Edin Dzeko.

Referee

Enea Jorgji (Albania)

Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;

Average yellow cards per match – 4;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 43%.

San Marino vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Match Prediction

San Marino is the weakest team in Europe and has long been unable to even earn points in World Cup qualifiers. However, at home, the team occasionally shows that they can hold off opponents' attacks enough to avoid conceding too many. In their last seven home European qualifiers, San Marino has conceded more than four goals only against England, Poland, and Romania. Meanwhile, the team itself rarely scores, with just two goals in their last 13 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Bosnia regularly scores away but cannot boast very high scoring. In their last 12 World Cup qualifiers, the team has scored more than two goals only once, in a match against Gibraltar. Additionally, in the current European qualifier at home, Bosnia and Herzegovina managed to score only once against San Marino.

I expect the hosts to put up a respectable fight and not concede more than four goals. My prediction: Bosnia and Herzegovina individual total under 4.5

San Marino — Bosnia and Herzegovina betting tips 6 September 2025

In the first half of this year, San Marino faced a higher level of competition. In June, the team lost narrowly to Bosnia and Herzegovina (0:1), but the second leg could be different; the favourites need to boost their goal difference.

Last autumn, San Marino performed respectably in the UEFA Nations League, winning their League D group featuring Liechtenstein and Gibraltar to earn promotion. At the start of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, Nicola Nanni and his team-mates suffered four defeats on the spin with a 1:12 aggregate — the heaviest losses came against Romania (1:5) and Austria (0:4). A month ago, San Marino were beaten 1:4 in a friendly against Modena 2018.

It appears Bosnia and Herzegovina were not expected to start this strongly, yet by the start of the autumn stretch of qualifying they lead the five-team group without dropping points. Ermedin Demirović and his team-mates still have Austria ahead, but they have already dealt with another direct rival, Romania (1:0). In June against San Marino, Bosnia and Herzegovina were propelled by the bench, as Amar Dedić and Edin Džeko combined off the bench for the only goal, even though the underlying statistics were lopsided (2.70-0.19 in xG).

For San Marino, the brief remains the same: minimise errors. Bosnia and Herzegovina, by contrast, are likely to commit fully to attacking, and the extra aggression should translate into a comfortable win.

Betting prediction
Total Over 3.5
Cf
Odds
18/25
Bet now

San Marino vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds

World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

San Marino
10.06.25
San Marino
Austria
L
07.06.25
Bosnia and Herzegovina
San Marino
L
24.03.25
San Marino
Romania
L
21.03.25
Cyprus
San Marino
L
More matches
Bosnia and Herzegovina
07.06.25
Bosnia and Herzegovina
San Marino
W
24.03.25
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Cyprus
W
21.03.25
Romania
Bosnia and Herzegovina
W
More matches

H2H: San Marino — Bosnia and Herzegovina

World Cup
07.06.25
Bosnia and Herzegovina
San Marino

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group H
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
  -:- -:- 2:1 1:0 3 3 0 0
4:1
9
2
Austria
-:-   2:1 -:- -:- 2 2 0 0
6:1
6
3
Romania
0:1 -:-   2:0 -:- 4 2 0 2
8:4
6
4
Cyprus
-:- -:- -:-   2:0 3 1 0 2
3:4
3
5
San Marino
-:- 0:4 1:5 -:-   4 0 0 4
1:12
0

Team lineups

San Marino

Roberto Cevoli
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Edoardo Colombo
gk. 13 -24
Matteo Zavoli
gk. 2 -3
Pietro Amici
gk. 1 -5
Dante Carlos Rossi
df. 36 0
Filippo Fabbri
df. 32 1
Michele Cevoli
df. 31 0
Giacomo Benvenuti
df. 9 0
Tommaso Benvenuti
df. 9 0
Giacomo Valentini
df. 5 0
Alberto Riccardi
df. 3 0
Marco Pasolini
df. 3 0
Giacomo Matteoni
df. 0 0
Alessandro Golinucci
mf. 60 2
Marcello Mularoni
mf. 50 0
Lorenzo Capicchioni
mf. 18 0
Lorenzo Lazzari
mf. 18 2
Andrea Contadini
mf. 14 0
Nicko Sensoli
mf. 13 1
Matteo Casadei
mf. 10 0
Samuele Zannoni
mf. 10 1
Nicola Nanni
fw. 47 3
Nicolas Giacopetti
fw. 9 0
Gabriel Capicchioni
fw. 1 0
Bosnia and Herzegovina

Sergej Barbarez
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Nikola Vasilj
gk. 18 -34
Martin Zlomislic
gk. 1 -1
Osman Hadžikić
gk. 0 0
Amar Dedić
df. 20 1
Adrian Leon Barišić
df. 13 0
Nikola Katić
df. 9 0
Nihad Mujakić
df. 6 0
Tarik Muharemović
df. 6 1
Arjan Malić
df. 4 0
Nail Omerović
df. 3 0
Stjepan Radeljic
df. 3 0
Benjamin Tahirović
mf. 18 0
Haris Hajradinovic
mf. 15 2
Armin Gigovic
mf. 12 1
Dženis Burnić
mf. 12 0
Ivan Bašić
mf. 8 0
Ivan Šunjić
mf. 5 0
Ifet Đakovac
mf. 1 0
Edin Džeko
fw. 141 68
Ermedin Demirović
fw. 34 4
Samed Baždar
fw. 6 0
Amar Memić
fw. 3 0
Luka Kulenovic
fw. 3 0
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
fw. 0 0
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