The Matchday 5 clash in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between San Marino and Bosnia and Herzegovina will take place on September 6 at the San Marino Stadium in Serravalle. San Marino vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
San Marino
Roberto Cevoli's side suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat at home to Austria in the last round. This loss marked San Marino's 57th consecutive defeat in World Cup qualifiers. Moreover, the team has scored just one goal in their last nine European qualifiers. In the standings, the team has no points and sits at the bottom.
- The team has conceded at least three goals in regular time in 10 of their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers.
- San Marino has failed to score in 11 of their last 13 home European qualifiers in regular time.
Predicted lineup for San Marino (4-5-1)
Edoardo Colombo – Tommaso Benvenuti, Michele Cevoli, Dante Carlos Rossi, Filippo Fabbri – Alessandro Golinucci, Marcello Mularoni, Nico Sensoli, Valli Casadei, Samuele Zannoni – Nicola Nanni.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia has played three matches in the current World Cup qualifiers and won each of them. Starting with a victory over Romania (1-0), the team then defeated Cyprus (2-1) and San Marino (1-0). With nine points, the team confidently leads the group, but Austria, which has played one less match, also has a perfect record. Notably, Bosnia and Herzegovina have kept a clean sheet in only three of their last 13 European qualifiers.
- No more than three goals have been scored in regular time in 5 of Bosnia's last 6 away World Cup qualifiers.
- The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 90 minutes in their last six away European qualifiers.
- Bosnia has conceded in regular time in 7 of their last 10 away World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for Bosnia and Herzegovina (4-5-1)
Nikola Vasilj – Tarik Muharemovic, Adrian Leon Barisic, Stjepan Radeljic, Arijan Malic – Amar Dedic, Armin Gigovic, Ivan Sunjic, Benjamin Tahirovic, Ermedin Demirovic – Edin Dzeko.
Referee
Enea Jorgji (Albania)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 43%.
San Marino vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Match Prediction
San Marino is the weakest team in Europe and has long been unable to even earn points in World Cup qualifiers. However, at home, the team occasionally shows that they can hold off opponents' attacks enough to avoid conceding too many. In their last seven home European qualifiers, San Marino has conceded more than four goals only against England, Poland, and Romania. Meanwhile, the team itself rarely scores, with just two goals in their last 13 home World Cup qualifying matches.
Bosnia regularly scores away but cannot boast very high scoring. In their last 12 World Cup qualifiers, the team has scored more than two goals only once, in a match against Gibraltar. Additionally, in the current European qualifier at home, Bosnia and Herzegovina managed to score only once against San Marino.
I expect the hosts to put up a respectable fight and not concede more than four goals. My prediction: Bosnia and Herzegovina individual total under 4.5