Copa Libertadores
Group Stage 2
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São Paulo
MATCH FINISHED
2
:
2
11 April 2025, 01:30
Alianza Lima
1
33/100
X
19/5
2
8/1
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São Paulo vs Alianza Lima: prediction & betting odds 11 April 2025

Published: 4 April 2025 07:36
Author: Simon Dalton Simon Dalton
Fact checked by: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
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Even without the experienced Lucas Moura, who remains sidelined due to injury, São Paulo managed to edge past Talleres de Córdoba (1:0) in their opening group stage fixture of the Copa Libertadores. Back on home soil against Alianza Lima, the Brazilian side are expected to take control of the game — with Club Libertad sitting top of the group with a perfect record after two matches, São Paulo cannot afford to drop points.

São Paulo

São Paulo’s focused approach to this season’s campaign was evident during their run in the Campeonato Paulista, where they were eliminated in the semi-finals following a narrow 0:1 defeat to SE Palmeiras. In Córdoba against Talleres de Córdoba, the team showed mental resilience after a disallowed goal by Jonathan Calleri, finding the energy to secure a late winner through Alisson Becker. Over the weekend, São Paulo held Clube Atlético Mineiro to a goalless draw despite being reduced to ten men, with their head coach sent off before half-time.

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima had to battle their way into the Copa Libertadores group stage, narrowly overcoming Deportes Tolima in the qualifying final (3:2 on aggregate), while conceding a cumulative 1.86 from xGA. At home against Club Libertad (0:1), the Peruvian side allowed six shots on target — and their upcoming trip to Brazil could reveal further defensive vulnerabilities. Following the international break, they suffered a heavy 0:3 defeat to AD Tarma in the domestic league.

São Paulo vs Alianza Lima Prediction

São Paulo hold a clear advantage in squad quality, which is expected to show from the opening stages. The hosts are likely to disrupt  Alianza Lima’s attempts to build up play through short passing — the recommended bet is a home win with a handicap.

Betting prediction
São Paulo (-1)
Cf
Odds
7/10
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Forecast author

Simon Dalton
Simon Dalton
Expert
About author:

I have had an interest in sports since I was just a child, football being my main passion. These days I follow all the main sports and most of the minor ones too! I have been betting for a little over 10 years and have taught myself how to analyse the various tournaments, games and teams. I think there is a good chance that I can identify betting value and make my long run performance a positive one.

Interests:
Football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey
5 yrs. 1 mo.
Time on site
55,5 %
Win rate
-6,2 %
ROI
1.70
Avg. Odds
385
Forecasts made
10
Winning streak
Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

São Paulo

Hernán Jorge Crespo
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Henrique Roberto Rafael
gk. 0 0
Alan Franco
df. 0 0
Enzo Diaz
df. 0 0
Nahuel Ferraresi
df. 0 0
Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar
df. 0 0
Alisson Euler de Freitas Castro
mf. 0 0
Ferreira Lucas
mf. 0 0
Marcos Antônio
mf. 0 0
Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira
fw. 0 0
Jonathan Calleri
fw. 0 0
Luciano
fw. 0 0
Alianza Lima

Néstor Raúl Gorosito
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Guillermo Viscarra Bruckner
gk. 0 0
Jhoao Velasquez
df. 0 0
Marco Lenhyn Huamán Asis
df. 0 0
Ricardo César Lagos Puyén
df. 0 0
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
mf. 0 0
Fernando Vicente Gaibor Orellana
mf. 0 0
Jesús Castillo Peña
mf. 0 0
Pablo Damián Lavandeira Hernández
mf. 0 0
Erick Castillo
fw. 0 0
Hernan Barcos
fw. 0 0
Kevin Martín Quevedo Mathey
fw. 0 0

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São Paulo vs Alianza Lima Odds

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