Bundesliga
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Wolfsburg
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21 May, 19:30
Paderborn-07
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1 X 2
Under Over
19:45
1 11/50
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Under 2.5 51/20
2.5
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7 October
1 1/100
X 22/1
2 66/1
Under 2.5 8/1
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Over 2.5 7/100
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Under 2.5 43/25
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Over 2.5 23/50
15:00
1 3/2
X 2/1
2 23/10
Under 2.5 1/2
2.5
Over 2.5 43/25
19:45
1 3/100
X 25/1
2 90/1
Under 2.5 3/1
2.5
Over 2.5 27/100
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Wolfsburg vs Paderborn-07: prediction & betting odds 21 May 2026

Published: 19 May 2026 11:01

On Thursday, 21 May, the first leg of the Bundesliga relegation play-off between Wolfsburg and Paderborn will take place. Kick-off at the Volkswagen Arena is at 14:30 EDT / 11:30 PDT.

Wolfsburg improved sharply in the closing rounds, but Paderborn were consistent all season in the 2. Bundesliga. We can expect a spectacular German-style battle, with plenty of chances and a high tempo.

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The missed direct ticket to the top division is probably still haunting the players at Paderborn, coached by Ralf Kettemann. Paderborn could already have been celebrating a return to the elite, but they relaxed too early. Their biggest mistake came away to their main rival, when they suffered a heavy 1:5 defeat to Elversberg.

Wolfsburg, by contrast, have used the schedule smartly, spreading the workload across the key fixtures. The team are used to having a long injury list, so the coaching staff have switched to a back three. Yes, they will be without first-choice holding midfielder Vini Souza in the first leg because of suspension, but he will return for the away second leg – and at home there should be enough depth in midfield.

The straightforward attacking approach of Wolfsburg, with powerful forwards Dzenan Pejcinovic and Adam Daghim, has also started to pay off. They battle for every ball in the box, especially in the air. Paderborn, with a back three, will find it difficult to contain them: the away side are used to playing vertically, while their experienced opponents will slow the game down.

It is obvious that the home leg will be the best chance for Wolfsburg. Hecking is likely to set the task of scoring before half-time; after the break they can switch to counter-attacks. It was through counter-attacking that Wolfsburg stung St Pauli on Saturday, sending their rivals down to the 2. Bundesliga.

We are backing Wolfsburg, the more experienced and more resilient side, because Paderborn fell away sharply just when they needed to kick on. It is quite possible that the visitors will simply burn out away to Wolfsburg, having already had the chance to avoid the play-off altogether.

Betting prediction
Wolfsburg to win
Cf
Odds
3/4
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Previous matches in the tournament

Wolfsburg
16 May, 2026
Bundesliga
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
1
3
W
Show more Hide
Paderborn-07
The team hasn't played a game yet this season

H2H: Wolfsburg — Paderborn-07

Bundesliga 2019-2020
2 February, 2020
Paderborn-07
Wolfsburg
2
4
31 August, 2019
Wolfsburg
Paderborn-07
1
1
Bundesliga 2014-2015
10 May, 2015
Paderborn-07
Wolfsburg
1
3
14 December, 2014
Wolfsburg
Paderborn-07
1
1

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Bayern Munich
34 28 5 1 122:36 89
2
Borussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 70:34 73
3
RB Leipzig
34 20 5 9 66:47 65
4
Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 71:49 62
5
Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 65:52 61
6
Bayer 04
34 17 8 9 68:47 59
7
Freiburg
34 13 8 13 51:57 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 61:65 44
9
Augsburg
34 12 7 15 45:61 43
10
Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 44:53 40
11
Union Berlin
34 10 9 15 44:58 39
12
Borussia M
34 9 11 14 42:53 38
13
Hamburger
34 9 11 14 40:54 38
14
Köln
34 7 11 16 49:63 32
15
Werder
34 8 8 18 37:60 32
16
Wolfsburg
36 7 10 19 46:70 31
17
Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 41:72 26
18
St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 29:60 26
19
Paderborn-07
2 0 2 0 1:1 2
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Bayern Munich
5 4 1 0 17:9 13
2
Augsburg
5 3 1 1 9:8 10
3
Hoffenheim
5 3 1 1 8:9 10
4
Borussia Dortmund
5 3 0 2 10:5 9
5
RB Leipzig
5 3 0 2 10:11 9
6
Borussia M
5 2 2 1 7:4 8
7
Union Berlin
5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8
Bayer 04
5 2 1 2 9:8 7
9
Heidenheim
5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10
Mainz 05
5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11
Freiburg
5 2 1 2 9:10 7
12
Hamburger
5 2 1 2 8:9 7
13
Wolfsburg
5 1 3 1 5:4 6
14
Stuttgart
5 1 3 1 11:11 6
15
Werder
5 1 1 3 5:8 4
16
Paderborn-07
2 0 2 0 1:1 2
17
Eintracht Frankfurt
5 0 2 3 7:11 2
18
Köln
5 0 2 3 6:13 2
19
St. Pauli
5 0 1 4 4:10 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Bayern Munich
17 14 2 1 68:19 44
2
Borussia Dortmund
17 13 2 2 40:16 41
3
Stuttgart
17 12 3 2 30:16 39
4
RB Leipzig
17 12 2 3 40:20 38
5
Hoffenheim
17 10 2 5 35:21 32
6
Freiburg
17 9 5 3 33:22 32
7
Bayer 04
17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8
Augsburg
17 7 5 5 25:28 26
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
17 7 4 6 29:27 25
10
Hamburger
17 6 6 5 25:22 24
11
Borussia M
17 6 6 5 24:24 24
12
Union Berlin
17 5 7 5 26:26 22
13
Köln
17 5 4 8 30:30 19
14
Werder
17 5 4 8 19:31 19
15
Mainz 05
17 4 5 8 21:25 17
16
Heidenheim
17 4 5 8 23:37 17
17
St. Pauli
17 4 5 8 17:31 17
18
Wolfsburg
18 2 5 11 21:32 11
19
Paderborn-07
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Bayern Munich
17 14 3 0 54:17 45
2
Borussia Dortmund
17 9 5 3 30:18 32
3
Hoffenheim
17 8 5 4 30:31 29
4
Bayer 04
17 8 4 5 30:28 28
5
RB Leipzig
17 8 3 6 26:27 27
6
Stuttgart
17 6 5 6 41:33 23
7
Mainz 05
17 6 5 6 23:28 23
8
Wolfsburg
18 5 5 8 25:38 20
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
17 4 7 6 32:38 19
10
Augsburg
17 5 2 10 20:33 17
11
Union Berlin
17 5 2 10 18:32 17
12
Freiburg
17 4 3 10 18:35 15
13
Borussia M
17 3 5 9 18:29 14
14
Hamburger
17 3 5 9 15:32 14
15
Werder
17 3 4 10 18:29 13
16
Köln
17 2 7 8 19:33 13
17
Heidenheim
17 2 3 12 18:35 9
18
St. Pauli
17 2 3 12 12:29 9
19
Paderborn-07
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
Legend
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals
Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
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