Principles and Methodology Behind Our Predictions

Each prediction on Legalbet is a detailed match analysis that takes into account both sporting and betting-related factors. As a result, readers receive high-quality match analysis that helps them make more informed betting decisions. Below is a detailed overview of our forecasting principles.

Match Analysis Algorithm

Legalbet publishes predictions for football, ice hockey, tennis, esports, MMA, basketball, volleyball, and other sports. We apply a unified standard across all disciplines:

  • working with statistics and measurable criteria;
  • assessing motivation;
  • analysing line-ups;
  • monitoring the latest news;
  • studying the bookmaker odds.

At the final stage, authors combine all the collected information and formulate the final prediction. They support their opinion with specific facts and provide readers with a detailed commentary.

Statistical and Measurable Criteria

Below are the key statistical markers our tipsters focus on when analysing upcoming matches:

⚽Football

  • head-to-head meetings;

  • league table position;

  • referee statistics;

  • xG;

  • xA;

  • results from the last five matches;

  • coaching systems and tactical setups, etc.

🏒 Ice Hockey

  • head-to-head meetings;

  • player plus/minus ratings;

  • results from the last five matches;

  • officiating;

  • league position, etc.

🥎Tennis

  • head-to-head meetings;

  • statistics from recent matches;

  • performance statistics at a specific tournament;

  • serve strength;

  • court preferences, etc.

👊MMA

  • reach (arm and leg length);

  • preferred fighting style;

  • win/loss percentages by method;

  • age;

  • striking accuracy, etc.

🖥️Esports

  • map win percentage;

  • head-to-head matches;

  • results from recent games;

  • effectiveness with different heroes (for Dota 2);

  • draft quality (for Dota 2), etc.

🏀Basketball

  • head-to-head results;

  • statistics from the last five matches;

  • statistics of top players, etc.

General information is sourced from official league and team websites, as well as from trusted statistical platforms, for example:

  • football — Flashscore, Corner-Stats;
  • ice hockey — Elite Prospects;
  • tennis — Tennisabstract, Tennis Explorer, Predict.Tennis;
  • esports — HLTV, Pandascore.

We also use various paid services, as well as niche groups and channels on social media.

News Background

Our tipsters analyse up-to-date news about athletes. This helps draw additional conclusions about line-ups and motivation levels. For example, reports of potential injuries to key players may adjust the final prediction.

Motivation Assessment

After reviewing theoretical and statistical criteria, our tipsters assess athletes’ motivation. This factor cannot be measured precisely, so the analysis is approximate. For instance, many top tennis players focus on Grand Slam tournaments and Masters events (ATP 1000), which is why upsets often occur at lower-tier competitions.

Line-up Analysis

In team sports, authors additionally examine expected line-ups. Information is sourced from league and club websites.

Bookmaker Odds Assessment

After gathering all the information, tipsters calculate the probabilities of various match outcomes. They then convert these probabilities into odds, analyse the bookmaker lines, and compare the results with sportsbook prices. This is how specialists identify mispriced odds and find value bets.

Creating the Prediction

The final stage of the process is the prediction published on the website. Legalbet authors assess probabilities by taking into account the combined impact of all factors. Detailed descriptions help convey the tipster’s reasoning to readers as clearly and thoroughly as possible.

Who Are the Tipsters?

Here are just some of our tipsters (the list may be expanded):

Simon Dalton is a specialist in top football leagues, primarily providing predictions for matches in Europe’s leading domestic championships (England, Spain, Germany, etc.). He also has strong expertise in elite-level tennis tournaments (ATP/WTA).

Adam Williams is a versatile tipster with a broad range of sports coverage. He offers predictions for less mainstream disciplines, from snooker and rugby to horse racing and darts.

Disclaimer

Sport is unpredictable, and even a thorough analysis of matches does not guarantee a winning prediction. Our authors assess probabilities and suggest outcomes they consider optimal. However, even such careful work cannot ensure a successful bet. The published materials are not a call to place bets. They represent the personal opinions of the tipsters, which may be used as additional input when choosing an outcome. The final decision always rests with the reader. Please remember to gamble responsibly and treat betting as a hobby and a way to test your analytical skills.