Odds overview
AEK Athens are favourites: a home win is available at 1.75, while the draw and an away win are at 4.00 and 4.30. Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.25. On the 0 handicap, AEK Athens Draw No Bet is available at 1.33, compared with 3.05 for LASK Draw No Bet.
Why AEK Athens are favourites
The bookmakers favour the hosts: AEK Athens to win is available at 1.75, while LASK to win is offered at 4.30. The draw is at 4.00.
- The Greek club have made a confident start to their home campaign this season, thrashing Levski 4:0 in Champions League qualifying and Aris 5:0 in the domestic league.
- Although LASK beat Wolfsberger 3:1 in the Austrian league, they spent most of that match with a numerical advantage after trailing at half-time.
Form and Line-up AEK Athens
At least two goals have been scored in 8 of AEK Athens' last 10 competitive matches.
Meanwhile, the Athens club's opponents have not scored more than one goal in their last 10 competitive matches.
No more than three goals in total have been scored in 7 of AEK Athens' last 10 competitive matches.
Key numbers:
- AEK Athens have scored in 8 of their last 10 competitive matches.
- AEK Athens have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 10 competitive matches.
- Only 1 of AEK Athens' last 10 competitive matches produced five goals; the other nine produced no more than four.
Probable AEK Athens line-up (4-4-2): Thomas Strakosha, Lazaros Rota, Harold Moukoudi, Filipe Relvas, Stavros Pilios, Milan Vitalis, Razvan Marin, Mijat Gacinovic, Lovro Majer, Barnabas Varga, Luka Jovic
Form and Line-up LASK
In the cup match against Deutschlandsberger, Dietmar Kuhbauer made seven changes to the starting line-up from the Wolfsberger game; LASK won 6:1.
In 10 matches this season, LASK have averaged 20.3 shots, 7.1 of them on target; their opponents have averaged 2.1 shots on target per game.
Over the same period, the Austrians have averaged 9.8 fouls and 1.4 yellow cards per match.
Key numbers:
- At least three goals have been scored in 9 of LASK's last 10 matches, including one friendly.
- LASK have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, including one friendly.
- In 10 matches this season, LASK's opponents have averaged 3.0 corners.
Probable LASK line-up (3-4-1-2): Lukas Jungwirth, Xavier Mbuyamba, Joao Victor Tornich, Andres Andrade, Kasper Jorgensen, Melayro Bogarde, Sascha Horvath, Ivan Dibango, Krystof Danek, Moses Usor, Christoph Lang
Team chances
The average market odds are 1.76 for a home win, 3.92 for the draw and 4.29 for an away win. After removing the bookmakers' margin, these odds correspond to probabilities of 53.8%, 24.1% and 22.1%, while the fair odds are 1.86, 4.14 and 4.53 respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens to win | 1.76 | 1.86 | 53.8% |
| Draw | 3.92 | 4.14 | 24.1% |
| LASK to win | 4.29 | 4.53 | 22.1% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is at 2.25 and Over 2.5 at 1.65, so the shorter odds indicate a preference for the higher-scoring outcome. The picture is reversed at 3.5: Under is at 1.50, compared with 2.45 for Over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
On the -1.5 handicap line, AEK Athens (-1.5) is at 2.75, while LASK (-1.5) is at 7.60. For the 1.5 line, AEK Athens (+1.5) is at 1.04 and LASK (+1.5) at 1.40. At -1, the odds are 2.25 for AEK Athens (-1) and 6.60 for LASK (-1); at 1, they are 1.06 and 1.65 respectively. On the 0 handicap line, AEK Athens Draw No Bet at 1.33 is shorter than LASK Draw No Bet at 3.05.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | -1.5 | 7.60 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| 2.25 | -1 | 6.60 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.33 | 0 | 3.05 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.62, lower than the 2.25 for Both teams to score - No; the odds lean more towards both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.62 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance prediction
1X is at 1.25, 12 at 1.27 and X2 at 2.07. The 1X option is the shortest, while X2 is considerably higher.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
1/4
|
27/100
|
107/100
|
Team totals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: AEK Athens — 1.5 goals, LASK — 1 goal.
AEK Athens team total
AEK Athens team total: on the 0.5 line, Under is at 5.60 and Over at 1.09; on 1, they are 4.15 and 1.20. At 1.5, the odds are closer: Under at 2.10 against Over at 1.70. On the 2 line, Under is at 1.60 and Over at 2.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.60 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.15 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.30 |
LASK team total
LASK team total: on the 0.5 line, Under is available at 2.70 and Over at 1.40. At 1, the odds are almost equal — 1.85 for Under and 1.90 for Over. At 1.5, Under at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Over at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.85 | 1 | 1.90 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
Who will referee the match
Luís Godinho (Portugal)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2025/26 - 2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) – 4,8;
Matches with red cards – 0 out of 13;
Matches with penalties – 3 out of 13.
