Betting on the match
Al-Faisaly returned to the top flight through more than just a fortunate play-off. Last season, they finished second in the First Division: 73 points, 21 wins, 10 draws and only three defeats in 34 matches. Their goal difference (+44) is an important factor for this handicap: the promoted side were not only able to pick up points but also rarely fell apart.
The squad was significantly strengthened in the summer to meet Pro League standards. Alexandre Mendy, who won the French Ligue 2 Golden Boot with 22 goals, was brought in to lead the line, while goalkeeper Fernando Pacheco also arrived, with the club completing seven foreign transfers in total. Al-Faisaly won three of their four training-camp matches, with Mendy already scoring in the 3:1 win over Beltinci.
Al-Hilal finished last season's league campaign second with 84 points and have far greater individual quality: Karim Benzema, Ruben Neves, Malcom, Kalidou Koulibaly, with Crysencio Summerville joining in the summer. However, they have not approached the opening round in ideal shape. They lost 0:2 to MC Alger and drew 3:3 with Qatar's Al-Ahli in their last two friendlies.
There are absences too. Salem Al-Dawsari is recovering from knee tendon surgery, while Hassan Tambakti and Hamad Al-Yami are also still undergoing rehabilitation. Without Al-Dawsari, the hosts lose one of their key attacking players, while Tambakti's absence limits their defensive options.
For this bet to lose, Al-Hilal need to establish at least a three-goal margin straight away. That is a demanding requirement for the favourites in the opening round: Al-Faisaly arrive after a season with only three defeats and a strong training camp, while the hosts are not yet at full strength. It makes more sense to back the promoted side with a two-goal cushion.