The Matchday 3 La Liga encounter between Alaves and Atletico Madrid is set for August 30 at the Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Alaves
The Basque side started the season without any surprises. In the first round, Eduardo Coudet's team secured a predictable home victory over Levante (2-1), followed by a narrow 0-1 away defeat to Betis. Notably, the loss to the Seville side ended the club's four-match unbeaten streak in La Liga (3 wins and 1 draw).
- No more than two goals were scored in 11 of Alaves' last 12 La Liga matches.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of the club's last 8 league encounters.
- The Basques are on a five-match unbeaten run at home in La Liga (3 wins and 2 draws).
Predicted lineup for Alaves (4-4-2)
Antonio Sivera – Facundo Garces, Jonny, Nahuel Tenaglia, Victor Parada – Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Pablo Ibanez, Carles Alena – Toni Martinez, Carlos Vicente.
Forward Lucas Boye is sidelined due to injury.
Atletico Madrid
The capital club has been the biggest disappointment at the start of the season. Diego Simeone's men have yet to face strong opponents, yet they have only managed to collect 1 point. Initially, the team suffered a 1-2 away defeat to Espanyol, followed by a surprising 1-1 draw at home against Elche. Interestingly, Atletico opened the scoring in both instances. It is also worth noting that this is the first time since Simeone took charge in 2011 that Atletico has accumulated so few points after the first two La Liga matches.
- At least two goals have been scored in Atletico's last six league games.
- In their last five away La Liga matches, Atletico has secured only 1 win (1 draw and 3 losses).
- The club has not scored more than 1 goal in 6 of their last 8 away league games.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-3-3)
Jan Oblak – David Ganzko, Robin Le Normand, Matteo Ruggeri, Marcos Llorente – Joao Cardoso, Pablo Barrios, Thiago Almada – Giuliano Simeone, Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth.
Due to injuries, defender Jose Maria Gimenez and midfielder Alex Baena are unavailable.
Match Prediction: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
Atletico has had a rough start to the season, despite facing a newly-promoted La Liga side and last season's 14th-placed team. In the upcoming match, they will face another team from the lower half of last season's table, which conceded only 17 goals at home (3rd best in La Liga 2024/25). Considering Atletico's attacking struggles at the start of the tournament, I expect Diego Simeone's side to find it difficult to secure 3 points this time as well.
The Basques are unbeaten in their last five home league games, conceding just 2 goals during this run. Additionally, Alaves has not lost to Atletico in their last three home meetings in La Liga (2 wins and 1 draw). Intriguingly, Atletico failed to score in all three of these visits.
My prediction – "Alaves to win or draw"
