Odds overview
Olympique de Marseille are favourites to win at 2.10, while an Angers win is around 3.30 and a draw is 3.75. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, Over is clearly favoured over Under, at 1.62 versus 2.30. With a handicap line of 0, Olympique de Marseille are available at 1.55, compared with 2.40 for Angers.
Why Olympique de Marseille are favourites
An Olympique de Marseille win is offered at 2.10, an Angers win at 3.30 and a draw at 3.75.
• Olympique de Marseille have traditionally had the edge in head-to-head meetings: they have avoided defeat in 18 of their last 20 matches against Angers since 2015. Angers' last win came in 2020.
• Angers produced their worst performance of the season in the previous round, losing heavily away to Brest, 1:5.
• In the previous head-to-head meeting, Angers were thrashed 2:5 at home by Olympique de Marseille.
Form and Line-up Angers
In the last league round, Angers lost 1:5 away to Brest. Jordan Lefort was sent off in the 59th minute, although the final score had already been reached. Stéphane Gilli's side had previously looked more solid, beating Troyes 2:0 and keeping a goalless draw against Le Havre. Angers are now 12th in Ligue 1.
- Angers have had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- Angers have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- More than 23.5 fouls have been recorded in 8 of Angers' last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
Probable Angers line-up (4-2-3-1): Anthony Lopes, Marius Louër, Ousmane Camara, Emmanuel Biumla, Joseph Kalulu, Haris Belkebla, Branco van den Boomen, Jim Allevinah, Yassin Belkhdim, Amine Sbaï, Prosper Peter
Unavailable: Ousmane Mamadou-Simbakoli (injured), Jordan Lefort (suspended)
Form and Line-up Olympique de Marseille
In the last Ligue 1 round, Olympique de Marseille beat Troyes 2:0, ending a run of four consecutive defeats in all competitions. Those losses included a 1:2 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 and a defeat to Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League. Their most recent opponents were Olympiacos, to whom they lost 0:1 at the Stade Vélodrome this Thursday. Bruno Genesio's side have yet to emerge from their slump.
- Olympique de Marseille have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of Olympique de Marseille's last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- Olympique de Marseille's opponents have been caught offside more than 1.5 times in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Probable Olympique de Marseille line-up (4-2-3-1): Jeffrey de Lange, Kelyann Bezahaf, Conrad Egan-Riley, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Noham Kamissoko, Himad Abdelli, Amine Harit, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixão, Amine Gouiri
Unavailable: Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Derek Cornelius (both injured)
The teams' chances
The average odds are 2.10 for Olympique de Marseille to win, 3.75 for a draw and 3.30 for Angers to win. The margin-free assessment gives Olympique de Marseille a 45.5% chance and fair odds of 2.20, Angers 29.0% and 3.45, and the draw 25.5% and 3.92.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers to win | 3.30 | 3.45 | 29.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.92 | 25.5% |
| Olympique de Marseille to win | 2.10 | 2.20 | 45.5% |
Total goals prediction
In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over at 1.62 has much shorter odds than Under at 2.30. At the 3.5-goal line, Under becomes the favourite at 1.55, compared with 2.40 for Over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.40 |
Handicap prediction
Angers (-1.5) are offered at 5.70 and Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) at 3.50. At the +1.5 handicap line, Olympique de Marseille (+1.5) are 1.09, compared with 1.25 for Angers (+1.5); at the -1 line, Olympique de Marseille (-1) are 2.85 and Angers (-1) are 5.00. For a +1 handicap, the odds are 1.12 for Olympique de Marseille (+1) and 1.37 for Angers (+1), while at the 0 line they are 1.55 for Olympique de Marseille (0) versus 2.40 for Angers (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.70 | -1.5 | 3.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.09 |
| 5.00 | -1 | 2.85 |
| 1.37 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 2.40 | 0 | 1.55 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.55 and is favoured over Both teams to score — No at 2.40, which means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.40 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Angers — 1.5 goals; Olympique de Marseille — 1.5 goals.
Angers team total
Angers team total: Over 0.5 is available at 1.27 versus 3.40 for Under 0.5; at the 1-goal line, Over is 1.55 and Under is 2.35. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is offered at 1.57 and Over at 2.35; at the 2-goal line, Under is 1.17 versus 4.20 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.35 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.57 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
| 1.17 | 2 | 4.20 |
Olympique de Marseille team total
Olympique de Marseille team total: Over 0.5 is available at 1.14 versus 4.70 for Under 0.5, while at the 1-goal line Over is 1.27 and Under is 3.40. At 1.5 goals, the odds are close: Over is 1.83 and Under is 1.92. At the 2-goal line, Under is 1.45 and Over is 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.70 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.92 | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| 1.45 | 2 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jérémie Pignard (France)
Matches — 20 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4;
Matches with a red card — 4 out of 20;
Matches with a penalty — 6 out of 20.
