Odds overview
Auxerre are narrow favourites: an Auxerre win is available at 2.10, while the draw and a Le Mans win are around 3.65 and 3.35 respectively. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is considered considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. For handicap (0), Auxerre at 1.55 are favoured over Le Mans at 2.45.
Why Auxerre are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: an Auxerre win is offered at 2.10, a Le Mans win at 3.35 and the draw at 3.65.
- In the previous round, Auxerre convincingly beat Le Havre 3:1 away from home, making good use of their chances.
- Le Mans regularly make defensive mistakes and rank third in Ligue 1 for average goals conceded, at 2.14 per match.
Form and Line-up Auxerre
Auxerre have won three and lost two of their last five league matches. They are 12th in the Ligue 1 table with 9 points and a goals record of 11:17.
- More than 8.5 corners have been taken in 9 of Auxerre's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- Auxerre have had more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- At least one second-half goal has been scored in all 7 of Auxerre's Ligue 1 matches in the 2026/27 season.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Paul Nardi, Christ Makosso, Axel Tuanzebe, Clément Akpa, Lamine Sy, Naouirou Ahamada, Kévin Danois, Fredrik Oppegård, Romain Faivre, Danny Namaso, Cameron Archer.
Form and Line-up Le Mans
Le Mans have been inconsistent recently: in their last five Ligue 1 matches, the visitors have won once, drawn twice and lost twice.
- Le Mans have not lost the foul count in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Le Mans have attempted more than 10.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (3-1-4-2): Nicolas Kocik, Djibril Sidibé, Samuel Yohou, Harold Voyer, Lucas Bretelle, Lucas Buadés, Daouda Traoré, Jean Vercruysse, Yasser Larouci, Louis Mafouta, Dame Gueye.
The teams' chances
Auxerre to win: average odds of 2.10, fair odds of 2.20 and a probability of 45.4%. The draw is offered at 3.65, with fair odds of 3.83 and a probability of 26.1%. Le Mans to win is available at 3.35; the fair odds are 3.51, with a probability of 28.5%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre win | 2.10 | 2.20 | 45.4% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.83 | 26.1% |
| Le Mans win | 3.35 | 3.51 | 28.5% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. At the 3.5-goal line, the reverse is true: Under 3.5 goals is 1.47 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.60.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.47 | 2.60 |
Handicap betting
For the -1.5 handicap line, Auxerre (-1.5) are offered at 3.55 and Le Mans (-1.5) at 5.90. At the +1.5 line, Auxerre (+1.5) have the shorter odds of 1.08, compared with 1.25 for Le Mans (+1.5). Auxerre (-1) at 2.85 have considerably shorter odds than Le Mans (-1) at 5.20; at the +1 line, the odds are 1.11 versus 1.35 in favour of Auxerre (+1). For handicap (0), Auxerre are 1.55 and Le Mans are 2.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | -1.5 | 5.90 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.85 | -1 | 5.20 |
| 1.11 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.55 | 0 | 2.45 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.58 appears more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.30, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.58 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/10
|
29/100
|
73/100
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
3/10
|
67/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Auxerre — 1.5 goals; Le Mans — 1 goal.
Auxerre team total goals
For Auxerre's team total, Under 0.5 goals is 4.60 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.14. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 3.20 for Under 1 goal and 1.30 for Over 1 goal. Under 1.5 goals at 1.82 is slightly shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 1.93. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.40 and Over 2 goals is 2.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.20 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.82 | 1.5 | 1.93 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.75 |
Le Mans team total goals
For Le Mans' team total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 3.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.30. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 2.20 versus 1.65 for Over 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.52 has shorter odds than Over 1.5 goals at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.52 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Willy Delajod (France)
Matches — 22 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) — 3;
Matches with a red card — 4 of 22;
Matches with a penalty — 8 of 22.
