Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein: prediction & betting odds 1 October 2026

Odds overview

Azerbaijan are clear favourites at 1.17 to win, while the draw and a Liechtenstein win are quoted at around 6.80 and 16.00 respectively. In the main goals market, the odds favour Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 over Under 2.5 goals at 2.22. Azerbaijan (-1.5) are offered at 1.54, while Liechtenstein (-1.5) are at 2.34.

Why Azerbaijan are favourites

Bookmakers strongly favour the hosts: an Azerbaijan win is available at 1.17, the draw at 6.80 and a Liechtenstein win at 16.00.

• The hosts come into the match after a 1:0 friendly win over Tajikistan and a 1:1 draw with Lithuania in the UEFA Nations League, while Liechtenstein have won none of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.

• The visitors offer very little in attack: after the opening rounds, Liechtenstein rank second from bottom among 54 teams with 0.07 xG.

Form and Line-up Azerbaijan

Head coach Aykhan Abbasov named a squad for all four matches in the international window, relying on a settled group of players. In the first two matches, Azerbaijan's opponents managed seven shots on target in total.

Ahead of the third round of the UEFA Nations League, Azerbaijan's matches stand out for their slow tempo: a combined 18.0 shots per game ranks second from bottom among 54 teams.

• Azerbaijan have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
• There have been no more than 3.5 goals in 8 of Azerbaijan's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
• There have been more than 7.5 corners in 8 of Azerbaijan's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.

Probable Azerbaijan line-up (5-4-1): Emil Balayev, Tellur Mutallimov, Rakhil Mammadov, Badawi Huseynov, Rahman Dashdamirov, Rüfat Abbasov, Mahir Emreli, Abdulakh Khaybulayev, Rufat Abdullazade, Aleksey Isayev, Musa Qurbanly

Form and Line-up Liechtenstein

Visiting head coach Konrad Fünfstück has publicly highlighted the demanding schedule of four matches in two weeks, which requires squad rotation. That unusual schedule comes alongside a passive approach in attack: Liechtenstein have not outshot their opponents in any of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.

• There have been fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of Liechtenstein's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
• Liechtenstein have taken fewer than 3.5 corners in all of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
• Liechtenstein have taken fewer than 11.5 shots, including blocked efforts, in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.

Probable Liechtenstein line-up (5-3-2): Benjamin Büchel, Emanuel Zünd, Maximilian Göppel, Lars Traber, Marcel Büchel, Jonas Weissenhofer, Nicolas Hasler, Aron Sele, Alessio Hasler, Fabio Luque-Notaro, Ferhat Saglam

The teams' chances

Azerbaijan to win is offered at 1.17, with fair odds of 1.25 and an 80.3% probability. The draw is available at 6.80, with fair odds of 7.24 and a 13.8% probability; a Liechtenstein win is at 16.00, with fair odds of 17.03 and a 5.9% probability.

Total goals prediction

At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals is favoured at 1.60 over Under 2.5 goals at 2.22. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals is 1.26 and Under 2 goals is 3.45; at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is quoted at 1.48 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.49.

Handicap prediction

Azerbaijan (-1.5) at 1.54 are considered much more likely than Liechtenstein (-1.5) at 2.34.

Double chance forecast

Bookmaker	1X	12	X2
Bet365	—	7/100	11/2
888sport	1/100	2/25	11/2

Odds are current as of the material publication date

Team goals prediction

Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Azerbaijan — 2.5 goals; Liechtenstein — 0.5 goals.

Azerbaijan team goals

For Azerbaijan's team goals, Over 0.5 goals is quoted at 1.04 against Under 0.5 goals at 7.40. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals is 1.47 and Under 2 goals is 2.55; at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals at 1.78 is slightly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.96. At the 3-goal line, Under 3 goals is 1.45 and Over 3 goals is 2.65.

Liechtenstein team goals

For Liechtenstein's team goals, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 1.52 against Over 0.5 goals at 2.39. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.05 and Over 1.5 goals at 6.90.

Who Will Referee the Match

Christian-Petru Ciochirca (Austria)

Matches — 8 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);

Average fouls per match — 22;

Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.5;

Matches with a red card — 2 of 8;

Matches with a penalty — 0 of 8.