Odds overview
Finland are favourites to win at 2.05, while a Belarus win and a draw are available at around 3.30 and 3.55. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.97. For the handicap (0) market, Finland Draw No Bet at 1.51 is considerably more likely than Belarus Draw No Bet at 2.41.
Why Finland are favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Finland are offered at 2.05 to win, while the nominal hosts are available at 3.30. A draw is available at 3.55.
- Finland beat Albania 2:1 in the latest round of the UEFA Nations League, strengthening their position in the standings.
- Belarus previously lost 0:2 away to Albania in the competition.
Form and Line-up Belarus
Belarus beat San Marino 4:0 in the third round of the UEFA Nations League, having previously drawn 0:0 away to Finland.
- Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in 9 of Belarus's last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Belarus scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Belarus's opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Belarus line-up (4-2-3-1): Pavel Pavlyuchenko, Roman Begunov, Zakhar Volkov, Kirill Gomanov, Kirill Pechenin, Eugeniy Yablonskiy, Max Ebong, Anton Kontsevoy, Valery Gromyko, Timofey Simanenka, Trofim Melnichenko.
Form and Line-up Finland
Finland thrashed San Marino 7:0 away from home, but after their goalless draw with Belarus, the team acknowledged difficulties getting the ball into the opposition penalty area.
- Finland's opponents scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Finland scored no more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Finland line-up (4-3-3): Lukáš Hrádecký, Adam Ståhl, Tony Miettinen, Samuli Miettinen, Juho Lähteenmäki, Kaan Kairinen, Adam Markhiev, Leo Walta, Adrian Svanbäck, Joel Pohjanpalo, Daniel Håkans.
Robin Lod is injured and has left the national team camp.
Both teams' chances
A Finland win has a margin-free probability of 45.5%: the average odds are 2.05 and the fair odds are 2.20. For a Belarus win, the respective figures are 28.3%, 3.30 and 3.54; for a draw, they are 26.3%, 3.55 and 3.81.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus win | 3.30 | 3.54 | 28.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.81 | 26.3% |
| Finland win | 2.05 | 2.20 | 45.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 1.97. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals at 1.49 is favoured over Under 2 goals at 2.46; at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals at 1.28 is favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 3.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
| 2 | 2.46 | 1.49 |
| 3.5 | 1.28 | 3.30 |
Handicap prediction
Finland Draw No Bet (0) at 1.51 has considerably shorter odds than Belarus Draw No Bet (0) at 2.41, indicating an advantage for the visitors in the handicap (0) market.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.41 | 0 | 1.51 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
1/4
|
1/4
|
| 888sport |
73/100
|
3/10
|
3/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Belarus — 0.5 goals; Finland — 1.5 goals.
Belarus team total goals
Belarus team total goals: Belarus over 0.5 goals at 1.43 is favoured over Belarus under 0.5 goals at 2.63; at the 1.5-goal line, Belarus under 1.5 goals at 1.34 has shorter odds than Belarus over 1.5 goals at 2.98, while at 2.5 goals, Belarus under 2.5 goals is 1.06 against 6.50 for Belarus over 2.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.63 | 0.5 | 1.43 |
| 1.34 | 1.5 | 2.98 |
| 1.06 | 2.5 | 6.50 |
Finland team total goals
Finland team total goals: Finland over 0.5 goals at 1.23 has substantially shorter odds than Finland under 0.5 goals at 3.65; at the 1.5-goal line, Finland under 1.5 goals at 1.66 is shorter than Finland over 1.5 goals at 2.12, while at 2.5 goals, Finland under 2.5 goals is 1.17 against 4.25 for Finland over 2.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 0.5 | 1.23 |
| 1.66 | 1.5 | 2.12 |
| 1.17 | 2.5 | 4.25 |
