Odds overview
Bologna are favourites: a home win is available at 1.75, compared with 3.85 for a draw and 4.70 for a Monza win. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.83 is slightly more likely than Under 2.5 at 1.97. For the -1.5 handicap, Bologna (-1.5) are offered at 2.85, compared with 8.50 for Monza (-1.5).
Why Bologna are favourites
Bookmakers make Bologna favourites: a home win is offered at 1.75, a draw at 3.85 and a Monza win at 4.70.
- The hosts have a strong head-to-head record: Bologna have avoided defeat against Monza in six of their seven meetings.
- The visitors have struggled away from home: Monza have lost eight of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Form and Line-up Bologna
Bologna come into this match after a high-scoring win, having beaten AC Milan 4:2 away on 28 October 2026.
Earlier, on 11 October, Bologna secured another away league win — 2:1 against Lecce.
- Bologna have failed to win nine of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Bologna have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in nine of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable Bologna line-up: Lukasz Skorupski, Matteo Darmian, Nicolò Casale, Arthur Theate, Nadir Zortea, Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Rahim Alhassane, Federico Bernardeschi, Samuel Mbangula, Jens Odgaard.
Emil Holm, Riccardo Orsolini and Roberto Piccoli will miss the match for Bologna through injury.
Form and Line-up Monza
Monza's last match ended in a heavy home defeat: they lost 1:4 to Napoli on 28 October 2026.
On 19 October, Monza themselves recorded a commanding home win, beating Cagliari 4:0.
- Monza have failed to win seven of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- In nine of Monza's last 10 away matches in Serie A, both teams took fewer than 10.5 corners.
Probable Monza line-up: Noel Törnqvist, Samuele Birindelli, Saba Goglichidze, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Adam Bakoune, Michel Foe Ondoa, Leonardo Colombo, Ricardo Mangas, Cyril Ngonge, Jay Robinson, Gustavo Varela.
Jan Ziółkowski (foot injury) and Ivan Majé (physical discomfort) will miss the match for Monza.
The teams' chances
A Bologna win is offered at 1.75; the fair odds are 1.83, implying a 54.7% probability. A draw is available at 3.85, with fair odds of 4.02 and a 24.9% probability. A Monza win is quoted at 4.70; the fair odds are 4.91, implying a 20.4% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna to win | 1.75 | 1.83 | 54.7% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.02 | 24.9% |
| Monza to win | 4.70 | 4.91 | 20.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.97 and Over 2.5 at 1.83, giving the over a slight edge. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.38 is a much stronger favourite than Over 3.5 at 2.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.97 | 1.83 |
| 3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Bologna (-1.5) are quoted at 2.85 and Monza (-1.5) at 8.50. At the 1.5 line, the odds are 1.04 for Bologna (+1.5) and 1.37 for Monza (+1.5). For the -1 handicap, Bologna (-1) are offered at 2.30 and Monza (-1) at 7.30; for the +1 handicap, the respective odds are 1.05 and 1.62. At the 0 line, Bologna (0) are available at 1.30 and Monza (0) at 3.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.37 |
| 2.30 | -1 | 7.30 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.30 | 0 | 3.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.78, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is available at 1.98.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 1.98 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
29/100
|
23/20
|
| 888sport |
1/5
|
1/4
|
1/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Bologna — 1.5 goals; Monza — 1 goal.
Bologna team goals
For Bologna, Under 0.5 goals is available at 5.10 and Over 0.5 at 1.12. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 3.60 for Under 1 and 1.25 for Over 1; at 1.5 goals, they are 1.98 and 1.78 respectively. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.48 and Over 2 at 2.55.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.10 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.60 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.98 | 1.5 | 1.78 |
| 1.48 | 2 | 2.55 |
Monza team goals
For Monza, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.53. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.65 and Over 1 at 2.18. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is available at 1.30 and Over 1.5 at 3.25.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.65 | 1 | 2.18 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.25 |
