Odds overview
Bologna are favourites: a home win is available at 2.00, while the draw and an away win are priced at around 3.40 and 3.90. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.78 is preferred to Over 2.5 goals at 2.03. In the handicap market, Bologna Draw No Bet at 1.45 is considerably more likely than Sassuolo Draw No Bet at 2.70.
Why Bologna are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Bologna to win is available at 2.00, the draw is at 3.40, and Sassuolo to win can be backed at 3.90.
At home, Bologna consistently take the initiative in possession and shots: they have not been outshot in their last 10 Serie A home matches.
Sassuolo are undergoing a rebuild under Alberto Aquilani and are regularly contained away from home, scoring no more than once in 8 of their last 10 matches.
Form and Line-up Bologna
Domenico Tedesco's side are yet to score in the league, sitting bottom of the division for this metric with no goals. The head coach has publicly highlighted the issue of finishing chances and urged his players to be more decisive in the opposition penalty area. In addition, Bologna's home matches tend to be low-key: across their last 10 Serie A home games, the two teams have produced no more than nine shots on target combined.
Key numbers:
No more than three goals were scored in 9 of Bologna's last 10 Serie A home matches
In 9 of Bologna's last 10 home matches, the two teams attempted no more than 24 shots
Bologna's opponents committed at least 12 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches
Probable Bologna line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukasz Skorupski — Emil Holm — Eivind Helland — Torbjorn Heggem — Rahim Alhassane — Tommaso Pobega — Lewis Ferguson — Federico Bernardeschi — Jens Odgaard — Nicolo Cambiaghi — Roberto Piccoli.
Form and Line-up Sassuolo
Sassuolo began their league campaign with an away defeat to Atalanta (1:2), then beat Torino 2:1 at home thanks to Domenico Berardi's decisive goal after coming off the bench. In the league's pre-match data, the team rank among the top three for expected goals (2.31 xG), underlining their ability to create dangerous attacking situations regularly.
Key numbers:
Sassuolo's opponents committed no more than 13 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Serie A away matches
Sassuolo received at least two yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 Serie A away games
Sassuolo have not won the corner count in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches
Probable Sassuolo line-up (4-3-3): Arijanet Muric — Simone Cinquegrano — Jay Idzes — Fedde Leysen — Josh Doig — Vasilije Adzic — Nemanja Matic — Darryl Bakola — Cristian Volpato — Kieron Bowie — Armand Lauriente.
Team chances
A Bologna win is available at 2.00; the fair odds are 2.10, with a 47.6% probability. The draw is at 3.40, with fair odds of 3.57 and a probability of 28.0%, while a Sassuolo win is at 3.90, 4.10 and 24.4% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Bologna to win | 2.00 | 2.10 | 47.6% |
Draw | 3.40 | 3.57 | 28.0% |
Sassuolo to win | 3.90 | 4.10 | 24.4% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.78 is preferred to Over 2.5 goals at 2.03. For the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals at 1.53 is shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.45, while for 3.5 goals there is a clear advantage for Under 3.5 goals — 1.28 versus 3.30 for Over 3.5 goals.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.78 | 2.03 |
2 | 2.45 | 1.53 |
3.5 | 1.28 | 3.30 |
Handicap prediction
Bologna (-1.5) are available at 3.75, while Sassuolo (-1.5) are at 7.30. For the +1.5 handicap, Bologna (+1.5) are shorter at 1.05 versus 1.23 for Sassuolo (+1.5). Bologna (-1) are at 2.90 and Sassuolo (-1) at 6.40; for the +1 handicap, the odds are 1.07 and 1.35 respectively. In the Draw No Bet market, Bologna at 1.45 are preferred to Sassuolo at 2.70.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.75 | -1.5 | 7.30 |
1.05 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
2.90 | -1 | 6.40 |
1.07 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.45 | 0 | 2.70 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.83 and is slightly shorter than Both teams to score - No at 1.92; the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.83 |
No | 1.92 |
Double chance prediction
Among the double-chance options, 1X is the shortest at 1.28. The 12 option is available at 1.35, and X2 at 1.80.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.28 | 1.35 | 1.80 |
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Bologna — 1.5 goals, Sassuolo — 1 goal.
Bologna team total
Bologna team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is considerably preferred to Under 0.5 goals at 3.90; for the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is at 1.42 versus Under 1 goal at 2.65. Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.65, while Over 1.5 goals is at 2.15. For the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is shorter at 1.28 versus 3.30 for Over 2 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.90 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
1.65 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
1.28 | 2 | 3.30 |
Sassuolo team total
Sassuolo team total: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.50, while Under 0.5 goals is at 2.55. For the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.68 is shorter than Over 1 goal at 2.12, while for 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is preferred at 1.30 versus 3.20 for Over 1.5 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.55 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
1.68 | 1 | 2.12 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Marco Di Bello (Italy)
Matches — 14 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 2.4;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 14;
Matches with penalties — 3 out of 14.
