Odds overview
Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.27, while the draw is 6.20 and the home win 10.00. In the totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.40 is considerably favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.75. In the handicap market, Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5) is available at around 1.72 and Brest (+1.5) at 2.12.
Why Paris Saint-Germain are favourites for the match
Bookmakers give the Parisians a clear edge: a Paris Saint-Germain win is available at 1.27, the draw at 6.20 and a Brest victory at 10.00.
• In 16 of their last 17 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint-Germain have not been outshot by Brest, and in 15 of those matches they had at least 13 attempts, regularly maintaining territorial superiority.
• Brest have failed to win nine of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, underlining the difference in consistency ahead of their meeting with the favourites.
• In nine of Paris Saint-Germain's last 10 matches, the combined total number of both teams' shot attempts exceeded 23.5, confirming the Parisians' consistently high attacking tempo.
Form and Line-up Brest
After three Ligue 1 matchdays, Brest have five points and sit seventh in the table. In their previous match, the Bretons beat Le Havre 2:1, scoring twice away from home, although their opponents were reduced to 10 men before half-time and both teams converted a penalty.
- In eight of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches, Brest have had at least four shots on target.
- In eight of Brest's last 10 home Ligue 1 matches, the combined number of both teams' shot attempts exceeded 24.5.
- In nine of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, Brest have received no more than two yellow cards.
Probable Brest line-up (4-2-3-1): Egil Selvik, Kenny Lala, Raphael Le Guen, Gautier Lloris, Bradley Locko, Joris Chotard, Hugo Magnetti, Mama Balde, Kamory Doumbia, Pathe Mboup, Ludovic Ajorque.
Form and Line-up Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain come into this matchday after a 6:0 Champions League win over Slovan, in which Ferran Torres scored a hat-trick, Ousmane Dembele a brace and Fabian Ruiz added another goal. The Parisians have a short recovery period before travelling to Brest, while in the domestic league their opponents' expected-goals figure (xG 0.87) remains the second-lowest in the league.
- In Paris Saint-Germain's last 10 away Ligue 1 matches, there have been at least eight shots on target.
- In 10 away Ligue 1 matches, Paris Saint-Germain have committed no more than 12 fouls.
- In nine of their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches, Paris Saint-Germain and their opponents have been caught offside at least three times.
Probable Paris Saint-Germain line-up (4-3-3): Matvey Safonov, Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Pedro Fernandez Dro, Vitinha, Fabian Ruiz, Ferran Torres, Ousmane Dembele, Maghnes Akliouche.
Longoni missed the previous match after being left out of the squad.
Team chances
The home win is available at 10.00, with fair odds of 10.49 and a 9.5% probability. The draw is 6.20, with fair odds of 6.50 and a 15.4% probability. The away win is 1.27, with fair odds of 1.33 and a 75.1% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest win | 10.00 | 10.49 | 9.5% |
| Draw | 6.20 | 6.50 | 15.4% |
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 1.27 | 1.33 | 75.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.75. At the 3.5 line, the odds are closer: Under 3.5 is 1.80 and Over 3.5 is 2.02.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 1.80 | 2.02 |
Handicap prediction
Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5) is available at 1.72, while Brest (+1.5) is 2.12. Paris Saint-Germain (-1) is 1.35, compared with 2.90 for Brest (+1). At the 0 line, Paris Saint-Germain Draw No Bet is 1.06 and Brest Draw No Bet is 6.50.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.72 | |
| 2.12 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.35 | |
| 2.90 | 1 | |
| 6.50 | 0 | 1.06 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is 1.80, while Both teams to score - No, meaning at least one team will not score, is 1.95. The option with both teams scoring has a slight advantage in the odds.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Brest — 0.5 goals; Paris Saint-Germain — 2.5 goals.
Brest team total
Brest team total: Over 0.5 is 1.72, compared with 2.05 for Under 0.5. At the 1 line, Under 1 is 1.35 and Over 1 is 2.90; at the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is 1.17 and Over 1.5 is 4.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 0.5 | 1.72 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 2.90 |
| 1.17 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
Paris Saint-Germain team total
Paris Saint-Germain team total: Over 2 is 1.45, compared with 2.65 for Under 2. At the 2.5 line, the odds are almost even: Over 2.5 is 1.85 and Under 2.5 is 1.90. Under 3 is 1.50, while Over 3 is 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 2 | 1.45 |
| 1.90 | 2.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.50 | 3 | 2.50 |
