Odds overview
Bologna are moderate favourites: a Bologna win is available at 2.50, while the draw is at 3.00 and a Cagliari win is around 3.20. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.67 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.20. Bologna Draw No Bet at 1.70 has shorter odds than Cagliari Draw No Bet at 2.17.
Why Bologna are favourites
Bookmakers offer 2.50 for a Bologna win, 3.20 for a Cagliari win and 3.00 for a draw.
- The visitors are favourites because of their opponents' attacking problems: Cagliari have scored just 0.86 goals per match on average in Serie A this season.
- Bologna have not been prolific themselves, averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per match.
Form and Line-up Cagliari
Cagliari lost to Monza in the previous Serie A round, conceding once before half-time and three times in the second half. The Sardinians lack attacking output, but try to stay disciplined at home: they committed no more than 12.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
The hosts' restrained approach is also reflected in the overall statistics: each of Cagliari's last 10 home league matches featured fewer than 4.5 yellow cards.
- Cagliari scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
- Under 3.5 goals landed in 9 of Cagliari's last 10 home Serie A matches.
- Over 8.5 corners were recorded in 8 of Cagliari's last 10 home Serie A matches.
Probable Cagliari line-up (4-3-2-1): Elia Caprile, Zé Pedro, Yerry Mina, Juan Rodriguez, Adam Obert, Ndary Adopo, Harry Winks, Alessandro Romano, Paul Mendy, Daniel Maldini, M'Bala Nzola.
Form and Line-up Bologna
Bologna opened the scoring against Inter Milan in the previous Serie A round but could not hold their lead and lost after half-time. Their matches remain among the lowest-scoring in the competition: with an average of 2.29 goals per game, the visitors rank second-bottom in the league on that measure.
- Bologna took fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away Serie A matches.
- Bologna committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away Serie A matches.
- Over 2.5 offside decisions were recorded in Bologna's last 10 away Serie A matches.
Probable Bologna line-up (3-4-2-1): Łukasz Skorupski, Nicolò Casale, Arthur Theate, Matteo Darmian, Juan Miranda, Tommaso Pobega, Lewis Ferguson, Nadir Zortea, Nicolò Cambiaghi, Federico Bernardeschi, Roberto Piccoli.
The teams' chances
Without the bookmaker's margin, a Cagliari win has a 29.9% probability, with odds of 3.20 and fair odds of 3.35; the draw is rated at 31.9%, with odds of 3.00 and fair odds of 3.14. A Bologna win leads at 38.2%, with odds of 2.50 and fair odds of 2.61.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari win | 3.20 | 3.35 | 29.9% |
| Draw | 3.00 | 3.14 | 31.9% |
| Bologna win | 2.50 | 2.61 | 38.2% |
Total goals betting
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.67, compared with 2.20 for Over 2.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals is favoured at 1.65, while Under 2 goals is offered at 2.15; at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the clear favourite at 1.22, compared with 3.85 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 2 | 2.15 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.22 | 3.85 |
Handicap betting
Cagliari (-1.5) are available at 6.50 and Bologna (-1.5) at 4.80. On the +1.5 handicap, Bologna (+1.5) have shorter odds at 1.07 than Cagliari (+1.5) at 1.13. Cagliari (-1) are offered at 5.50 and Bologna (-1) at 4.15; on the +1 line, the respective odds are 1.20 and 1.10. With a handicap of 0, Bologna Draw No Bet at 1.70 is favoured over Cagliari Draw No Bet at 2.17.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.50 | -1.5 | 4.80 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.50 | -1 | 4.15 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.17 | 0 | 1.70 |
Both teams to score betting
The market is almost evenly matched, but Both teams to score – Yes at 1.85 has slightly shorter odds than Both teams to score – No at 1.90; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
53/100
|
9/25
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
9/25
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Cagliari — 1 goal; Bologna — 1 goal.
Cagliari team total goals
For Cagliari's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.65 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.42. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is offered at 1.75 and Over 1 goal at 2.00; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is 1.35 against 3.00 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.75 | 1 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 3.00 |
Bologna team total goals
For Bologna's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.15 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.30. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.10 for Under 1 goal and 1.70 for Over 1 goal; at 1.5 goals, they are 1.48 for Under 1.5 goals and 2.55 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.10 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.48 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Kevin Bonacina (Italy)
Matches — 23 (Serie A, Serie B, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.7;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 23;
Matches with a penalty — 5 of 23.
