Odds overview
Juventus are clear favourites: a Juventus win is available at 1.57, compared with 3.95 for a draw and 6.40 for a Cagliari win. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is a slight favourite over Over 2.5 goals at 2.00. At a handicap of 0, Juventus Draw No Bet at 1.17 is much shorter than Cagliari Draw No Bet at 4.20.
Why Juventus are favourites
A Juventus win is offered at 1.57, while Cagliari are available at 6.40 and the draw at 3.95.
• Juventus create considerably more attacking opportunities (3.0 goalscoring chances per match) and have averaged 1.6 goals per game in the current Serie A season.
• Cagliari are noticeably weaker in attack, averaging 1.0 goals per game from 1.4 goalscoring chances. Their finishing has been effective, but they create few chances.
Form and Line-up Cagliari
Cagliari have taken maximum points from their last three Serie A matches: Fabio Pisacane's side beat Lecce (1:0), Atalanta (2:1) and Udinese (1:0) in succession. They now sit above Juventus — fourth rather than seventh. By the start of preparations, Liteta and Alieu Fadera had resumed full training, while Daniel Maldini and Alessandro Romano had undergone recovery work after international call-ups.
- Each of Cagliari's last 10 home Serie A matches has featured fewer than 4.5 cards.
- Cagliari and their opponents took more than 8.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home league matches.
- Cagliari players received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
Probable Cagliari line-up (4-3-3): Elia Caprile, Adam Obert, Yerry Mina, Juan Rodriguez, Zé Pedro, Michel Adopo, Harry Winks, Jacopo Fazzini, Alessandro Romano, Daniel Maldini, Paul Mendy
Absentees: Alessandro Deiola, Mattia Felici, Kevin Carlos (injured)
Form and Line-up Juventus
Juventus lost 0:1 to Cremonese in a friendly during the international break, conceding the only goal early on. Before that, they had kept clean sheets in two matches across all competitions, beating NEC (5:0) in the UEFA Europa League and Atalanta (2:0) in Serie A. Juventus have conceded more than once in just one of their six competitive matches in the 2026/27 season.
- Fewer than 25.5 fouls were recorded in 8 of Juventus's last 10 away Serie A matches.
- The two teams combined for more than 23.5 shots in 8 of Juventus's last 10 away league matches.
- Referees showed fewer than 4.5 cards in 8 of Juventus's last 10 away Serie A matches.
Probable Juventus line-up (4-3-3): Guglielmo Vicario, Pierre Kalulu, Bremer, Lloyd Kelly, Andrea Cambiaso, Douglas Luiz, Pape Sarr, Weston McKennie, Edon Zhegrova, Nicolás González, Randal Kolo Muani
Absentees: Manuel Locatelli, Jérémie Boga, Kamil Grabara, Jeff Ekhator, Kenan Yıldız, Khéphren Thuram, Juan Cabal (injured)
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Cagliari a 14.9% chance of winning, with average odds of 6.40 and fair odds of 6.70; the draw has a 24.2% chance, with odds of 3.95 and 4.13 respectively; and Juventus have a 60.9% chance, with odds of 1.57 and 1.64 respectively.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari win | 6.40 | 6.70 | 14.9% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.13 | 24.2% |
| Juventus win | 1.57 | 1.64 | 60.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.00. The difference is even more pronounced at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 goals is 1.30, while Over 3.5 goals is 3.15.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.15 |
Handicap prediction
Juventus (-1.5) are offered at 2.55, while Cagliari (+1.5) are available at 1.50. At a handicap line of -1 for Juventus, Juventus (-1) are 1.95, compared with 1.85 for Cagliari (+1). At a handicap of 0, Juventus Draw No Bet at 1.17 are considerably shorter than Cagliari Draw No Bet at 4.20.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.55 | |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.95 | |
| 1.85 | 1 | |
| 4.20 | 0 | 1.17 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No at 1.75 is shorter than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.00, suggesting that at least one team failing to score is considered more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.00 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 0.5 goals for Cagliari and 1.5 goals for Juventus.
Cagliari team total goals
For Cagliari's team total, Under 0.5 goals is 2.02 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.75; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.35 is much shorter than Over 1 goal at 3.00; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.16 and Over 1.5 goals at 4.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.02 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
Juventus team total goals
For Juventus's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.11 is much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.30, while Over 1 goal is 1.22 compared with 3.80 for Under 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is 1.75 and Under 1.5 goals is 2.05; at 2 goals, Under 2 goals at 1.52 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.30 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.80 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.52 | 2 | 2.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
Matches — 14 (Serie A, 2025/26, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with a red card — 1 in 14;
Matches with a penalty — 2 in 14.
