Odds Overview
Como are slight favourites to win at 2.55, compared with 2.65 for AS Roma, while the draw is available at 3.55. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is considered considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. With a handicap of 0, Como at 1.87 have slightly shorter odds than AS Roma at 1.93.
Why There Is No Clear Favourite
Como are available to win at 2.55, the draw at 3.55 and AS Roma at 2.65. Bookmakers rate the teams' chances as almost equal. The reasons for this assessment are:
- Como have lost only once in five matches, while AS Roma lead the Serie A table with four wins and one draw.
- Como have lost only once in seven home matches, while AS Roma are on a run of five consecutive away wins in Serie A.
- The teams have each won three of their last six meetings.
Form and Line-up Como
Como lost 0:2 away to Frosinone in their latest Serie A match. Before that, however, Cesc Fàbregas's side had gone unbeaten, with one draw and four wins, including a 4:1 victory over Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League.
- All 5 of Como's Serie A matches in the 2026/27 season have finished with Over 1.5 goals.
- Como's opponents have scored Under 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Como have had Over 11.5 shots, including blocked shots, in all 10 of their last home matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jean Butez, Yan Couto, Jacobo Ramón, Trevoh Chalobah, Álex Valle, Máximo Perrone, Lucas Da Cunha, Assane Diao, Nico Paz, Martin Baturina, Anastasios Douvikas.
Absentees: Moise Kean and Ivan Smolcic (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up AS Roma
AS Roma head into this away match after a 2:2 home draw with Inter Milan in the league. It was their first dropped points, following four consecutive wins by an aggregate score of 12:1. Donyell Malen has been the team's standout player, with six league goals already.
- AS Roma have scored Over 1.5 goals in all 10 of their last Serie A matches.
- AS Roma have not lost the offside count in any of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in 9 of AS Roma's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Mile Svilar, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Mario Hermoso, Nahuel Molina, Marten de Roon, Kouadio Koné, Wesley, Paulo Dybala, Matías Soulé, Donyell Malen.
Absentees: Mouhamed Ba (injured), Bryan Cristante (doubtful).
The Teams' Chances
The margin-free estimate gives Como a 37.3% chance, with average odds of 2.55 to win and fair odds of 2.68. AS Roma have a 35.9% chance: a win is offered at 2.65, with fair odds of 2.79. The draw has a 26.8% chance, with odds of 3.55 and fair odds of 3.73.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como to win | 2.55 | 2.68 | 37.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.73 | 26.8% |
| AS Roma to win | 2.65 | 2.79 | 35.9% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At 3.5 goals, the balance is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.55, while Over 3.5 goals is at 2.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.30 | 1.63 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.40 |
Handicap Prediction
The odds suggest caution about comfortable wins: Como (-1.5) are available at 4.20, and AS Roma (-1.5) at 4.30. At +1.5, the odds are almost equal — Como (+1.5) at 1.16 and AS Roma (+1.5) at 1.17. Como (-1) at 3.65 are slightly shorter than AS Roma (-1) at 3.80, while at +1, Como (+1) are 1.22 against 1.25 for AS Roma (+1). With a handicap of 0, Como at 1.87 have a slight edge over AS Roma at 1.93.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | -1.5 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.65 | -1 | 3.80 |
| 1.22 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.87 | 0 | 1.93 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.50 is considered considerably more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.50, which means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
29/100
|
1/2
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
3/10
|
1/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Como — 1.5 goals; AS Roma — 1.5 goals.
Como Team Total Goals
Como team total goals: Over 0.5 at 1.18 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 4.05; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.37 against 2.85 for Under 1. At 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.75 has a slight edge over Over 1.5 at 2.05, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.30 against 3.25 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.05 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.85 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.25 |
AS Roma Team Total Goals
AS Roma team total goals: Over 0.5 at 1.20 is considerably more likely than Under 0.5 at 3.95, while Over 1 at 1.43 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.65. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.68 and Over 1.5 at 2.10; at 2 goals, Under 2 is available at 1.28 against 3.35 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.43 |
| 1.68 | 1.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.35 |
