Odds overview
Como are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.50, while the draw and a Sassuolo win are around 4.70 and 5.80 respectively. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.45, compared with 2.65 for Under 2.5. Como Draw No Bet (0) has much shorter odds than Sassuolo Draw No Bet (0): 1.18 against 4.10.
Why Como are favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: Como are 1.50 to win, the draw is 4.70 and a Sassuolo victory is available at 5.80.
- Como are considerably more reliable defensively: over the first seven rounds of Serie A, the hosts have conceded an average of just 1 goal per game, the third-best record in the league, while Sassuolo have conceded 2 per match.
- Sassuolo's away results remain very poor: they have failed to win any of their last 10 away matches in Serie A and lost 2:4 at Frosinone in the previous round.
Form and Line-up Como
Cesc Fàbregas's side are in excellent form: Como beat Fiorentina 3:1 away in the most recent league round, then secured a convincing 4:1 victory over Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League on 21 October, thanks to a Nico Paz brace and goals from Anastasios Douvikas and Jacobo Ramón. Their prolific scoring reflects a well-organised attack — they have averaged 1.71 goals per league round this season.
Como have applied sustained pressure at home: they have taken more than 11.5 shots in 10 consecutive Serie A home matches and have not been outshot on target during that run.
- Como have allowed their opponents no more than 4 corners in their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Como have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Como have committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Como line-up (4-2-3-1): Jean Butez, Yan Couto, Marc-Oliver Kempf, Jacobo Ramón, Álex Valle, Maximo Perrone, Luis Milla, Lucas Da Cunha, Nico Paz, Martin Baturina, Anastasios Douvikas.
Como will be without Assane Diao and Trevoh Chalobah, while Moise Kean's involvement remains doubtful.
Form and Line-up Sassuolo
The visitors are going through a difficult spell in the league: after a 1:1 home draw with AC Milan, Sassuolo lost 2:4 to Frosinone despite goals from Domenico Berardi and Kristian Thorstvedt. They can respond in attack and average 1.71 goals per round, but repeated defensive lapses prevent them from picking up points consistently.
Sassuolo's matches are among the most open in the league — they average 3.71 goals per game, the third-highest figure in Serie A. Their opponents also regularly threaten the Sassuolo goal, recording more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of Sassuolo's last 10 away matches.
- There have been fewer than 25.5 fouls in Sassuolo's last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Sassuolo have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Sassuolo have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Sassuolo line-up (4-2-3-1): Arijanet Muric, Ignace Van der Brempt, Cas Odenthal, Duje Ćaleta-Car, Josh Doig, Nemanja Matić, Darryl Bakola, Domenico Berardi, Kristian Thorstvedt, Armand Laurienté, Sebastiano Esposito.
Fedde Leysen will miss the match for Sassuolo, the injured Ismaël Koné remains doubtful, and Vasilije Adžić could return to action.
The teams' chances
Como to win is 1.50; the fair odds are 1.58, implying a 63.4% probability. For the draw, the figures are 4.70, 4.94 and 20.2%; for a Sassuolo win, they are 5.80, 6.10 and 16.4% respectively.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como to win | 1.50 | 1.58 | 63.4% |
| Draw | 4.70 | 4.94 | 20.2% |
| Sassuolo to win | 5.80 | 6.10 | 16.4% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 has much shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.65. The 3.5-goal line is more evenly balanced: Under 3.5 goals is 1.73 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
Handicap prediction
Como (-1.5) are quoted at 2.20, while Sassuolo (+1.5) are 1.65. On the 1-goal handicap line, Como (-1) are available at 1.75 and Sassuolo (+1) at 2.10. Como (0) are 1.18, compared with 4.10 for Sassuolo (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.65 | |
| 1.75 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.10 | |
| 1.18 | 0 | 4.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.57 and is considered more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.30; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.57 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
9/50
|
3/2
|
| 888sport |
7/50
|
11/50
|
29/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Como at 2 goals and Sassuolo at 1 goal.
Como team total goals
Como team total goals: Over 0.5 is quoted at 1.05 against 7.40 for Under 0.5; Over 1.5 is 1.45 against 2.65 for Under 1.5. On the 2-goal line, Over is 1.72 and Under is 2.07. On the 2.5-goal line, Under has shorter odds at 1.63, compared with 2.20 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.40 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 2.07 | 2 | 1.72 |
| 1.63 | 2.5 | 2.20 |
Sassuolo team total goals
Sassuolo team total goals: Over 0.5 is available at 1.45 against 2.60 for Under 0.5. On the 1-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.70 and Over at 2.10; on the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.33 against 3.05 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 2.10 |
| 1.33 | 1.5 | 3.05 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Davide Di Marco (Italy)
Matches – 19 (Serie A, Serie B, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 27;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows – 3.6;
Matches with a red card – 1 of 19;
Matches with a penalty – 5 of 19.
