Odds overview
Corinthians are the favourites: a home win is available at around 1.85, while the draw is quoted at 3.30 and an away win at 4.90. In the main total 2 market, Under is shorter than Over — 1.78 versus 1.98 — indicating slightly greater interest in the lower-scoring option. In the handicap market, Corinthians Draw No Bet at 1.32 is significantly shorter than Estudiantes Draw No Bet at 3.10.
Why Corinthians are favourites for the match
The bookmakers favour the home side: a Corinthians win is quoted at 1.85, Estudiantes are available at 4.90 and the draw is at 3.30.
• The home side rarely lose in international competition: Corinthians have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Copa Libertadores matches.
• The Brazilian club's defence has the best record in the tournament: Corinthians' opponents have an xG figure of only 0.67 per game.
Form and Line-up Corinthians
In a Brazilian Serie A match on 13 September, Corinthians SP lost 1:2 to Flamengo, but the team retain a disciplined defensive structure ahead of the second leg in the international cup.
- In their last 10 home Copa Libertadores matches, Corinthians have not been beaten on shots on target.
- In 9 of their last 10 home Copa Libertadores matches, Corinthians have not been beaten on corners.
- In 8 of their last 10 home Copa Libertadores matches, Corinthians committed no more than 12 fouls.
Probable Corinthians line-up (4-4-2): Hugo Souza, Iago Machado, Fabrizio Angileri, Joao Pedro, Pedro Milans, Dieguinho, Raniele, Charles, Jesse Lingard, Gui Negao, Matheus Pereira.
Form and Line-up Estudiantes
On 12 September, Estudiantes beat Platense 2:1 in the Superliga while preserving their key players' energy from the start: the key players strengthened the side in the second half, and Guido Carrillo snatched victory in stoppage time.
Estudiantes' Copa Libertadores opponents have only 8.89 shots per game, while Estudiantes themselves have consistently scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the tournament.
- At least 4 yellow cards have been shown in Estudiantes' last 10 away Copa Libertadores matches.
- In 9 of their last 10 away Copa Libertadores matches, Estudiantes have been caught offside no more than twice.
- At least 8 corners have been taken in 8 of Estudiantes' last 10 away Copa Libertadores matches.
Probable Estudiantes line-up (4-2-3-1): Fabricio Iacovich, Gaston Benedetti, Valente Pierani, Santiago Nunez, Eric Meza, Halil Elias, Gabriel Neves, Edwuin Cetre, Jose Sosa, Fabricio Perez, Adolfo Gaich.
Team chances
A Corinthians win is available at 1.85, with fair odds of 1.94 and a 51.6% probability. The draw is quoted at 3.30, with fair odds of 3.46 and a 28.9% probability; an Estudiantes win is at 4.90, 5.13 and 19.5% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians SP to win | 1.85 | 1.94 | 51.6% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.46 | 28.9% |
| Estudiantes La Plata to win | 4.90 | 5.13 | 19.5% |
Total goals prediction
For total 2.5 goals, Under is at 1.50 and Over at 2.55, so the lower-scoring option is shorter. In the total 2 market, Under is at 1.78 compared with 1.98 for Over. For total 3.5, Under at 1.11 is substantially shorter than Over at 5.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
| 2 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
| 3.5 | 1.11 | 5.10 |
Handicap prediction
Corinthians (-1.5) are quoted at 3.80, while Estudiantes (+1.5) are at 1.22. On the handicap line of 1, Corinthians (-1) are available at 2.90 and Estudiantes (+1) at 1.40. On the zero line, Corinthians Draw No Bet is at 1.32 versus 3.10 for Estudiantes Draw No Bet.
| Home side | Handicap | Away side |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.22 | |
| 2.90 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.40 | |
| 1.32 | 0 | 3.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No is at 1.50 and is shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.50: the market considers it more likely that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.50 |
| No | 1.50 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
2/5
|
7/10
|
| William Hill |
1/5
|
9/25
|
3/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Corinthians — 1 goal; Estudiantes — 0.5 goals.
Corinthians team total
Corinthians team total: Under 0.5 is quoted at 3.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.30. On the line of 1, Under is at 2.30 versus 1.58 for Over; on the 1.5 line, Under is available at 1.55 and Over at 2.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Estudiantes team total
Estudiantes team total: on the 0.5 line, Under is at 1.85 and Over at 1.90. Under 1 is quoted at 1.25 versus 3.45 for Over 1; for the 1.5 line, Under is available at 1.13 and Over at 4.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 0.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 3.45 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 4.90 |
