Copa Libertadores
Group Stage (3)
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Corinthians
MATCH FINISHED
2
:
0
1 May, 01:00
Peñarol
1
14/25
X
31/5
2
22/1
Odds for upcoming matches
This match has ended, please select an alternative match to bet on
1 X 2
Under Over
10 October
1 11/25
X 4/1
2 7/1
Under 2.5 1/1
2.5
Over 2.5 83/100
10 October
1 11/25
X 17/4
2 6/1
Under 2.5 2/1
2.5
Over 2.5 2/5
10 October
1 7/10
X 333/100
2 15/4
Under 2.5 163/100
2.5
Over 2.5 1/2
10 October
1 2/25
X 11/1
2 25/1
Under 2.5 14/5
2.5
Over 2.5 29/100
10 October
1 71/100
X 333/100
2 7/2
Under 2.5 31/20
2.5
Over 2.5 53/100
Show all
Match stats
Logo
Peñarol Logo Peñarol
78 Ball possession (%) 22
15 Goal attempts 9
4 Shots on Goal 2
11 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked shots 0

Corinthians vs Peñarol: prediction & betting odds 1 May 2026

Published: 21 April 2026 09:24

In the early hours of 1 May in Sao Paulo, Penarol travel looking to improve their position in the group, but they are up against the leaders of Group E. The match will kick off at 1:00 UK time.


Corinthians have already taken six points without conceding a goal. We do not expect a bright, high-scoring game here; most likely the hosts will apply steady pressure, control the ball and, without much sparkle, get the result.


We analyse the match and lead up to a bet.

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This does not look like a bright match with at least four goals. Corinthians have a chance to pull away in the group, while for Penarol it is important not to fall apart completely after five games without a win. The hosts are no longer charging forward without brakes. They strangle the tempo, hold the centre and force the opposition to run for long spells without getting shots away.


Match Prediction

The visitors will have to wait for a mistake, but without Leonardo Fernandez and with Douglas Matias Arezo Martinez not at his best, such a bet on a single moment looks weak. It is better to take the main bet through a Corinthians win combined with total under 3.5 goals. That way we back the favourite and in the combo still get a decent price. Corinthians have kept six clean sheets in a row, lead the group 4:0 on goals and at home have a margin in terms of pressure: against Independiente Santa Fe they had 14 shots, nine of them on target. Penarol will not open up but will try to survive. That kills the tempo and does not increase the chances of a high-scoring scenario. The line offers a strong price for the combo, which is better than a straight home win: the favourite should get the job done with a narrow scoreline.


Prediction: Corinthians to win + Under 3.5 goals


Additional Bet

The bet Both teams to score – No fits the same pattern. Penarol have conceded in five matches in a row and have failed to score in the last two. Their attack is on the wane for now: Leonardo Fernandez is absent, Arezo is travelling after a heavy workload and Togni is also not in ideal condition. If Corinthians are first to break the game open, Diniz will not drive his team forward. Control is more important to him. Therefore a clean-sheet win for the hosts looks an attractive option, and the odds on Both teams to score – No are not high but are fair.


Prediction: Both teams to score – No

Betting prediction
Corinthians to win + Under 3.5 goals
Cf
Odds
19/20
Read more

Team lineups


Fernando Diniz
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Hugo de Souza Nogueira
gk. 3 0
André Luiz Santos Dias
df. 3 0
Gabriel Armando de Abreu
df. 3 0
Gustavo Henrique Vernes
df. 3 2
Matheus França Silva
df. 3 0
Matheus Lima Beltrão Oliveira
df. 3 0
Breno de Souza Bidon
mf. 3 0
Jesse Ellis Lingard
mf. 3 1
Raniele Almeida Melo
mf. 3 1
Rodrigo Garro
mf. 3 0
Yuri Alberto Monteiro da Silva
fw. 3 1
Substitutes
Kauê Vinicius de Souza Camargo
gk. 3 0
André Ramalho Silva
df. 3 0
Fabrizio Germán Angileri
df. 2 0
Pedro Milans Carámbula
df. 2 0
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
mf. 3 0
André Martín Carrillo Díaz
mf. 3 0
Diego da Cruz Lopes
mf. 3 0
Matheus Pereira da Silva
mf. 3 0
Pedro Raul Garay da Silva
fw. 3 0
Victor Vinícius Coelho dos Santos
fw. 3 0
Zakaria Labyad
fw. 3 0
Kaio César Andrade Lima
fw. 1 0
Peñarol

Diego Aguirre
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Washington Omar Aguerre Lima
gk. 1 -2
Matías González Márquez
df. 3 0
Paolo Mauricio Lemos Merladett
df. 3 0
Diego Sebastián Laxalt Suárez
df. 2 0
Facundo Maximiliano Álvez González
df. 2 0
Eric Daian Remedi
mf. 3 0
Jesús Emiliano Trindade Flores
mf. 3 0
Leandro Nicolás Umpiérrez Hernández
mf. 3 0
Roberto Nicolás Fernández Fagúndez
mf. 3 0
Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez
fw. 3 2
Gastón Alberto Togni
fw. 3 0
Substitutes
Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez
3 0
Brian Javier Barboza Chamorra
1 0
Sebastián Javier Britos Rodríguez
gk. 3 -3
Lucas Camilo Hernández Perdomo
df. 2 0
Franco González Fernández
mf. 3 0
Germán Barbas Díaz
mf. 3 0
Deivid Stiven Mülhethaler Méndez
mf. 2 0
Facundo Agustín Batista Ochoa
fw. 3 0
Luis Miguel Angulo Sevillano
fw. 3 0
Abel Mathías Hernández Platero
fw. 2 0
Brandon Emiliano Álvarez Daluz
fw. 1 0

Previous matches in the tournament

Corinthians
16 April, 2026
Copa Libertadores
Corinthians
Independiente Santa Fe
2
0
W
Show more Hide
Peñarol
17 April, 2026
Copa Libertadores
Peñarol
Atletico Platense
1
2
L
Show more Hide

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Corinthians vs Peñarol Odds

Project-Id-Version: 20260910082158 Report-Msgid-Bugs-To: PO-Revision-Date: 2026-09-10 08:21:58 Language-Team: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Last-Translator: Plural-Forms: nplurals=3; plural=(n%10==1 && n%100!=11 ? 0 : n%10>=2 && n%10<=4 && (n%100<10 || n%100>=20) ? 1 : 2); Language: gb
1X2
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BookieFIRST_TEAM_TO_SCORE_YESSECOND_TEAM_TO_SCORE_YES
Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
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