Odds Overview
Corinthians Paulista to win at 1.88 looks preferable to the draw at 3.05 and Rosario Central to win at 4.90. In the main goals line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.42 is notably more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.65. In the handicap market, Corinthians Paulista Draw No Bet is priced at 1.30, while Rosario Central Draw No Bet is rated at 3.05.
Why Corinthians SP Are Match Favourites
Corinthians Paulista to win is priced at odds of 1.88, the draw is available at 3.05, and a Rosario Central victory is 4.90.
• In the first leg of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16, Corinthians Paulista held firm defensively away from home and drew 0:0, containing the opposition attack.
• At home, the Brazilian club consistently apply pressure: in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Copa Libertadores, they have not been outdone by their opponents for shots on target.
Form and Line-up Corinthians
Before the second leg in the Copa Libertadores, Corinthians Paulista lost 1:2 at home to Cruzeiro in the Brazilian championship. At the same time, in the pre-match Libertadores sample, the Brazilian side's opponents' xG is 0.64 — the lowest figure in the tournament.
Key numbers:
In 10 of Corinthians Paulista's last 10 home matches in the Libertadores, their opponents have taken no more than 5 corners.
In 10 of Corinthians Paulista's last 10 home matches in the Libertadores, their opponents have been caught offside no more than 2 times.
In 9 of Corinthians Paulista's last 10 home matches in the Libertadores, no more than 23 fouls have been recorded.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Hugo Souza — Matheuzinho — Joao Pedro — Gustavo Henrique — Matheus Bidu — Andre Carrillo — Raniele — Rodrigo Garro — Breno Bidon — Kaio Cesar — Pedro Raul
Absentees: Allan (suspended), Andre, Zakaria Labyad, Yuri Alberto (all injured)
Form and Line-up Rosario Central
The Argentinian club approach the second leg after a 1:0 away win over Barracas Central in the domestic championship. In the pre-match Libertadores sample, Rosario Central concede an average of only 0.14 goals per game to opponents, ranking last among all 32 participants.
Key numbers:
In 10 of Rosario Central's last 10 home matches in the Libertadores, their opponents have scored no more than 1 goal.
In 10 of Rosario Central's last 10 matches in the Libertadores, their opponents have been caught offside no more than 2 times.
In 9 of Rosario Central's last 10 matches in the Libertadores, the teams have received at least 4 yellow cards.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jeremias Ledesma — Emanuel Coronel — Ignacio Ovando — Gaston Avila — Agustin Sandez — Franco Ibarra — Vicente Pizarro — Giovanni Cantizano — Angel Di Maria — Jaminton Campaz — Enzo Copetti
Team Chances
Corinthians Paulista to win is offered at 1.88; the no-margin estimate is 2.00 and 50.0%. The draw is priced at 3.05 with a no-margin estimate of 3.24 and a probability of 30.8%, while Rosario Central to win is 4.90, with 5.21 and 19.2% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
Corinthians SP to win | 1.88 | 2.00 | 50.0% |
Draw | 3.05 | 3.24 | 30.8% |
Rosario Central to win | 4.90 | 5.21 | 19.2% |
Goals Total Prediction
Under 2.5 goals at 1.42 is preferable to Over 2.5 goals at 2.65. On the 2-goal line, Under is 1.65 and Over is 2.10. For 3.5, the odds are 1.09 on Under and 5.70 on Over, which points to a low assessment of a high-scoring scenario.
Line | Under total | Over total |
2.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
2 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
3.5 | 1.09 | 5.70 |
Handicap Prediction
Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) is priced at 4.05, while Rosario Central (+1.5) is 1.18. On the 1-goal line, the odds on Corinthians Paulista (-1) are 3.10, with Rosario Central (+1) at 1.35. In the zero handicap, Corinthians Paulista Draw No Bet at 1.30 is notably lower than Rosario Central Draw No Bet at 3.05.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
4.05 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.18 |
3.10 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 1.35 |
1.30 | 0 | 3.05 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.45 is rated significantly more likely than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.60: the market expects at least one team not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.60 |
No | 1.45 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X at 1.16 is the most likely double chance. The 12 bet is priced at 1.35, while X2 is 1.88, so the option without a home win is rated lower.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.16 | 1.35 | 1.88 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Corinthians SP — 1 goal, Rosario Central — 0.5 goals.
Corinthians SP Team Total
Corinthians SP: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 3.15, while Over 0.5 goals is 1.30. On the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.10 on Under and 1.65 on Over; at 1.5, they are 1.45 on Under and 2.55 on Over.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
2.10 | 1 | 1.65 |
1.45 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
Rosario Central Team Total
Rosario Central: Under 0.5 goals is 1.75, while Over 0.5 goals is 1.95. On the 1-goal line, Under is priced at 1.25 against 3.60 on Over, and at 1.5 it is 1.12 against 5.00, which gives stronger support to a low-scoring output from the visitors.
Under | Team total | Over |
1.75 | 0.5 | 1.95 |
1.25 | 1 | 3.60 |
1.12 | 1.5 | 5.00 |
