Odds Overview
Crystal Palace are clear favourites: the home win is available at 1.40, while the draw is quoted at 4.80 and the away win at 7.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. In the handicap markets, Lech Poznan (+1.5) at 1.73 appears more likely than Crystal Palace (-1.5) at 2.10; on the handicap line of 1, Crystal Palace (-1) is at 1.60 and Lech Poznan (+1) at 2.25, while the Draw No Bet market is much more strongly in favour of the hosts: Crystal Palace at 1.11 against Lech Poznan at 5.10.
Why Crystal Palace Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers favour the London club: Crystal Palace to win is available at 1.40 (around a 67.6% probability without margin), the draw is at 4.80, and a Lech win is at 7.50.
- Crystal Palace compete in the more competitive Premier League and showed considerable attacking potential in their away match against Fulham, winning 3:2.
- Lech have had difficulties away from home in European competition, drawing 2:2 with Thun in the Europa League.
Form and Line-up Crystal Palace
In the Premier League, Crystal Palace lost 2:3 at home to Ipswich Town after playing most of the match with 10 men following a 34th-minute dismissal. Before that, the London side thrashed Middlesbrough 3:0 at home in the League Cup after making eight changes to the starting line-up, and lost 1:4 to Manchester City.
- There have been no more than 10 corners in 8 of Crystal Palace's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Crystal Palace players have been caught offside three times or fewer in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Crystal Palace's opponents have committed at least 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable Crystal Palace line-up (3-4-2-1): Walter Benitez, Honest Ahanor, Chris Richards, Axel Disasi, Anan Khalaili, Quinten Timber, Adam Wharton, Tyrick Mitchell, Yeremy Pino, Daichi Kamada, Jorgen Strand Larsen
Form and Line-up Lech Poznan
In the domestic league, Lech have recorded a series of positive results, beating Rakow 1:0 and Jagiellonia 2:1 at home, as well as winning 3:2 away to Widzew.
- In 8 of Lech's last 10 away Europa League matches, they and their opponents have scored at least 3 goals.
- In 8 of their last 10 away Europa League matches, Lech have taken no more than 5 corners.
- In 9 of their last 10 away Europa League matches, Lech have committed no more than 12 fouls.
Probable Lech Poznan line-up (4-3-3): Mateusz Lis, Joel Pereira, Wojciech Monka, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Michal Gurgul, Gustav Berggren, Radoslaw Murawski, Pablo Rodriguez, Allahyar Sayyadmanesh, Mikael Ishak, Patrik Walemark
Team Chances
The home win is quoted at 1.40; fair odds are 1.48, corresponding to a probability of 67.6%. The figures for the draw are 4.80, 5.07 and 19.7%, while the away win is at 7.50, 7.92 and 12.6%: the market rates a Crystal Palace victory considerably more highly.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace to win | 1.40 | 1.48 | 67.6% |
| Draw | 4.80 | 5.07 | 19.7% |
| Lech Poznan to win | 7.50 | 7.92 | 12.6% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.25 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.65, which points towards expectations of a high-scoring match. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.50 is favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap Prediction
Crystal Palace (-1.5) is available at 2.10, while Lech Poznan (+1.5) is at 1.73. On the handicap line of 1, the odds are 1.60 for Crystal Palace (-1) and 2.25 for Lech Poznan (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, Crystal Palace are at 1.11 against 5.10 for Lech Poznan, underlining the hosts' advantage.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.73 | |
| 1.60 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.25 | |
| 1.11 | 0 | 5.10 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
The odds are almost level: Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.85, while Both teams to score - No is at 1.90. There is a slight preference for the scenario in which both teams score; the No option implies that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
17/100
|
163/100
|
| William Hill |
1/10
|
9/50
|
47/25
|
| 888sport |
3/25
|
9/50
|
7/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Crystal Palace — 2 goals, Lech Poznan — 0.5 goals.
Crystal Palace Team Total Goals
Crystal Palace team total: Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 7.90 against Over 0.5 goals at 1.04; at the 1.5-goal line, Under is at 2.65 and Over at 1.45. The odds for a total of 2 are close: Under 2 is at 1.90 and Over 2 at 1.85. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.48 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.90 | 2 | 1.85 |
| 1.48 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Lech Poznan Team Total Goals
Lech Poznan team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.07 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.72. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.38 is clearly favoured over Over 1 at 2.80; at 1.5, the gap is even greater — Under 1.5 goals at 1.18 against Over 1.5 goals at 4.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 0.5 | 1.72 |
| 1.38 | 1 | 2.80 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 4.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Michal Ocenas (Slovakia)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2024/25–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.9;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 9;
Matches with penalties — 1 of 9.
