Odds overview
Crystal Palace are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.40, while the draw is quoted at 4.80 and an away win at 7.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. In the handicap markets, Lech Poznan (+1.5) at 1.73 looks more likely than Crystal Palace (-1.5) at 2.10; for the 1-goal line, the odds are 1.60 for Crystal Palace (-1) and 2.25 for Lech Poznan (+1), while the Draw No Bet market is much more supportive of the hosts: Crystal Palace at 1.11 versus Lech Poznan at 5.10.
Why Crystal Palace are favourites for the match
The bookmakers favour the London club: Crystal Palace to win is available at 1.40 (around a 67.6% probability excluding margin), the draw is at 4.80 and a Lech win is at 7.50.
- Crystal Palace play in the more competitive Premier League and showed strong attacking potential in their away match against Fulham, winning 3:2.
- Lech have had difficulties away from home in European competition, drawing 2:2 with Thun in the Europa League.
Form and Line-up Crystal Palace
In the Premier League, Crystal Palace lost 2:3 at home to Ipswich Town, playing most of the match with 10 men after a sending-off in the 34th minute. Before that, the London side thrashed Middlesbrough 3:0 at home in the League Cup after making eight changes to the starting line-up, and lost 1:4 against Manchester City.
- Crystal Palace have had no more than 10 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Crystal Palace players have been caught offside three times or fewer in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Crystal Palace's opponents have committed at least 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable Crystal Palace line-up (3-4-2-1): Walter Benitez, Honest Ahanor, Chris Richards, Axel Disasi, Anan Khalaili, Quinten Timber, Adam Wharton, Tyrick Mitchell, Yeremy Pino, Daichi Kamada, Jorgen Strand Larsen
Form and Line-up Lech Poznan
In the domestic league, Lech have recorded a number of positive results, beating Rakow 1:0 and Jagiellonia 2:1 at home, as well as winning 3:2 away to Widzew.
- In 8 of Lech's last 10 away Europa League matches, they and their opponents have scored at least 3 goals.
- In 8 of Lech's last 10 away Europa League matches, they have taken no more than 5 corners.
- In 9 of Lech's last 10 away Europa League matches, they have committed no more than 12 fouls.
Probable Lech Poznan line-up (4-3-3): Mateusz Lis, Joel Pereira, Wojciech Monka, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Michal Gurgul, Gustaf Berggren, Radoslaw Murawski, Pablo Rodriguez, Allahyar Sayyadmanesh, Mikael Ishak, Patrik Walemark
Team chances
A home win is quoted at 1.40; the fair odds are 1.48, corresponding to a 67.6% probability. The figures for the draw are 4.80, 5.07 and 19.7%, while for an away win they are 7.50, 7.92 and 12.6%: the market rates a Crystal Palace victory considerably more highly.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace win | 1.40 | 1.48 | 67.6% |
| Draw | 4.80 | 5.07 | 19.7% |
| Lech Poznan win | 7.50 | 7.92 | 12.6% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.25, while Over 2.5 goals is at 1.65, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring match. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.50 is preferred to Over 3.5 at 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap prediction
Crystal Palace (-1.5) is available at 2.10, while Lech Poznan (+1.5) is at 1.73. For the 1-goal line, the odds are 1.60 for Crystal Palace (-1) and 2.25 for Lech Poznan (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, Crystal Palace are at 1.11 versus 5.10 for Lech Poznan, underlining the hosts' advantage.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.73 | |
| 1.60 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.25 | |
| 1.11 | 0 | 5.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
The odds are almost even: Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.85, while Both teams to score - No is at 1.90. There is a slight preference for both teams to score; the No option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/10
|
9/50
|
7/4
|
| William Hill |
2/25
|
9/50
|
19/10
|
| 888sport |
2/25
|
9/50
|
19/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Crystal Palace — 2 goals, Lech Poznan — 0.5 goals.
Crystal Palace team total goals
Crystal Palace team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 7.90 versus Over 0.5 goals at 1.04; at the 1.5-goal line, Under is at 2.65 and Over at 1.45. The odds for a total of 2 are close: Under 2 is at 1.90 and Over 2 at 1.85. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.48 is preferred to Over 2.5 at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.90 | 2 | 1.85 |
| 1.48 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Lech Poznan team total goals
Lech Poznan team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.07, while Over 0.5 goals is at 1.72. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.38 is clearly preferred to Over 1 at 2.80; the gap is even wider at 1.5 — Under 1.5 at 1.18 versus Over 1.5 at 4.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 0.5 | 1.72 |
| 1.38 | 1 | 2.80 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 4.10 |
