Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, Le Mans FC to win at 2.50 holds a slight edge over Stade Brestois to win at 2.80, while the draw is priced at 3.50. On the main 2.5-goal total, Over at 1.80 looks preferable to Under at 2.00. On the handicap line at 0, Le Mans FC Draw No Bet is 1.80 against 2.00 for Stade Brestois Draw No Bet.
Why Le Mans FC Are Favourites for the Match
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.50 on Le Mans FC to win.
Le Mans FC go into the start of the season with no changes to their coaching staff: the club extended Patrick Videira's contract after two successive promotions to higher divisions.
Stade Brestois are going through a change of head coach: Julien Lachuer has taken charge of the team, and Brest have failed to win in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
Form and Line-up Le Mans FC
In summer friendlies, Le Mans FC recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat.
The team's defensive numbers at home remain restrained: in 9 of Le Mans FC's last 10 home games in all competitions, their opponents had fewer than 10.5 shots.
Key numbers:
Le Mans FC's opponents scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
In 8 of Le Mans FC's last 10 matches in all competitions, the two teams combined for fewer than 22.5 shots.
In 8 of Le Mans FC's last 10 games in all competitions, no more than nine corners were taken.
Probable Le Mans FC line-up (3-5-2): Nicolas Kocik — Djibril Sidibe — Noa Boisse — Samuel Yohou — Lucas Buades — Bilal Brahimi — Rossignol — Milan Robin — Yasser Larouci — Dame Gueye — Louis Mafouta
Voyer will miss the match through suspension.
Form and Line-up Stade Brestois
In pre-season friendlies, Stade Brestois recorded one win, two draws and two defeats. The team are pursuing a policy of rejuvenating the squad while reshaping the defensive line.
In Ligue 1 away games, Brest are modest in attack, taking fewer than 13.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Key numbers:
Stade Brestois scored a maximum of one goal in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
In 9 of their last 10 away games in Ligue 1, Stade Brestois had no more than four shots on target.
Over 1.5 goals landed in 9 of Stade Brestois' last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Stade Brestois line-up (4-2-3-1): Egil Selvik — Kenny Lala — Raphael Le Guen — Gautier Lloris — Bradley Locko — Joris Chotard — Mario Stroeykens Nnonge — Romain Del Castillo — Kamory Doumbia — Pathe Mboup — Ludovic Ajorque
Brendan Chardonnet is injured; Hugo Magnetti and Mama Balde are doubts.
Teams' Chances
Le Mans FC to win is offered at 2.50; the no-margin estimate is 2.61 and the probability is 38.4%. Stade Brestois to win has odds of 2.80, a no-margin estimate of 2.92 and a probability of 34.2%. The draw at 3.50 has a no-margin estimate of 3.65 and a probability of 27.4%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | No-margin probability |
Le Mans FC to win | 2.50 | 2.61 | 38.4% |
Draw | 3.50 | 3.65 | 27.4% |
Stade Brestois to win | 2.80 | 2.92 | 34.2% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under is priced at 2.00 and Over at 1.80, which slightly highlights the higher-scoring option. On 3.5, Under at 1.38 is noticeably shorter than Over at 2.80.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap Prediction
Odds of 4.50 are set for Le Mans FC handicap (-1.5), and 4.90 for Stade Brestois handicap (-1.5). Le Mans FC handicap (+1.5) is priced at 1.12 against 1.15 for Stade Brestois handicap (+1.5). Le Mans FC handicap (-1) is rated at 3.85, Stade Brestois handicap (-1) at 4.15; on the +1 line, the odds are 1.18 on Le Mans FC handicap (+1) and 1.22 on Stade Brestois handicap (+1). On the zero handicap, Le Mans FC Draw No Bet at 1.80 is shorter than Stade Brestois Draw No Bet at 2.00.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
4.50 | -1.5 | 4.90 |
1.12 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
3.85 | -1 | 4.15 |
1.18 | 1 | 1.22 |
1.80 | 0 | 2.00 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is priced at 1.65, while Both teams to score - No is 2.15: the market rates an exchange of goals higher than a scenario in which at least one team fail to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.65 |
No | 2.15 |
Double Chance Prediction
In the double chance market, 12 at 1.33 is priced lower than 1X at 1.45 and X2 at 1.55; X2 remains the most expensive option.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.45 | 1.33 | 1.55 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Le Mans FC — 1.5 goals, Stade Brestois — 1 goal.
Le Mans FC Team Total
Le Mans FC: under 0.5 goals is priced at 3.65, over 0.5 goals at 1.25. On the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.60 on Under and 1.45 on Over; on 1.5, they are 1.65 and 2.17 respectively. For the 2-goal line, Under is rated at 1.25 and Over at 3.65.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.65 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
2.60 | 1 | 1.45 |
1.65 | 1.5 | 2.17 |
1.25 | 2 | 3.65 |
Stade Brestois Team Total
Stade Brestois: under 0.5 goals is priced at 3.30, over 0.5 goals at 1.28. On the 1-goal line, Under is 2.20 against 1.63 for Over, while on 1.5 it is 1.53 on Under and 2.40 on Over.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.30 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
2.20 | 1 | 1.63 |
1.53 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Aurelien Petit (France)
Matches – 17 (Ligue 2, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match – 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.9;
Matches with red cards – 4 of 17;
Matches with penalties – 2 of 17.
