Odds overview
Lens are clear 1X2 favourites: an away win is 1.65, compared with 4.90 for a home win and 4.15 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.67 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.20. In the handicap market, Le Mans (+1.5) is 1.45, against 2.65 for Lens (-1.5).
Why Lens are favourites
The bookmakers make the visitors firm favourites: a Lens win is available at 1.65, while Le Mans are 4.90 and the draw is 4.15.
• The visitors have maintained a high scoring rate at the start of the season: with 2.0 goals per game, Lens are joint-third in Ligue 1.
• Le Mans' defensive problems make the favourites' task easier: the hosts are among the league's three worst sides for expected goals conceded (2.33 opposition xG per match), and have collected only 2 points without a win after three rounds.
Form and Line-up Le Mans
On 5 September, Le Mans drew 1:1 away to Nice after an encouraging display: they took the lead following an interception in the opposition half and retained their chances of victory until the closing minutes. The match ended with two goals.
At home, Le Mans consistently focus on finishing: in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, they have recorded at least 4 shots on target. The club's attacking potential has also been strengthened by the signing of forward Habib Diallo, who has already made his debut as a substitute.
- Le Mans have committed at least 13 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- At least two goals have been scored in all 3 of Le Mans' Ligue 1 matches.
- Le Mans have had more shots on target than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable Le Mans line-up (3-5-2): Erwan Atfou, Noah Boissier, Martin Torrente, Harold Voyer, Rayan Bamba, Adil Bourabaa, Alexandre Lauret, Jean Vercruysse, Luca Caloda, Dame Gueye, Louis Mafouta
Form and Line-up Lens
On 10 September, Lens played a high-scoring away match against Slavia Prague in the Champions League, turning the game around after half-time to win 3:2. The schedule remains tight: Dino Toppmoller's side had only three days to prepare between the match in Prague and the trip to Le Mans.
The team's high-intensity away matches are regularly fiercely contested: across Lens' last 10 Ligue 1 away matches, referees have shown the two sides at least 3 yellow cards.
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of Lens' last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- Lens have received at least 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- Lens have not lost the corners count in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Probable Lens line-up (4-3-3): Robin Risser, Souleymane Sagnan, Ismaelo Ganiou, Kyllian Antonio, Matthieu Udol, Amadou Haidara, Andrija Bulatovic, Michal Skoras, Abdallah Sima, Florian Thauvin, Franjo Ivanovic
Yacine Titraoui is a doubt with an injury, and his status for the match has not been officially updated.
Team chances
Lens to win is 1.65, with fair odds of 1.73 and a 57.7% probability. Le Mans to win is offered at 4.90, with fair odds of 5.15 and a 19.4% probability; the draw is 4.15, 4.36 and 22.9% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans to win | 4.90 | 5.15 | 19.4% |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.36 | 22.9% |
| Lens to win | 1.65 | 1.73 | 57.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 is 1.67 compared with 2.20 for Under 2.5. At the 3.5 line, the odds are reversed: Under 3.5 is 1.50 and Over 3.5 is 2.55.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
Handicap prediction
Lens (-1.5) is available at 2.65, while Le Mans (+1.5) is 1.45. At the -1 line, Lens (-1) is 2.08; at the +1 line, Le Mans (+1) is 1.75. In the Draw No Bet market, Le Mans is 3.50 against 1.25 for Lens.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.65 | |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.08 | |
| 1.75 | 1 | |
| 3.50 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is 1.65, while Both teams to score - No is 2.15; the latter option requires at least one team not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance prediction
X2 is the most likely double-chance outcome at 1.20, 12 is 1.25 and 1X is 2.25.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
5/4
|
1/4
|
1/5
|
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Le Mans — 1 goal; Lens — 1.5 goals.
Le Mans team total
Le Mans team total: Over 0.5 is 1.47 compared with 2.60 for Under 0.5; Under 1 is 1.70 and Over 1 is 2.10; Under 1.5 is 1.30 and Over 1.5 is 3.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.47 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 2.10 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.25 |
Lens team total
Lens team total: Over 0.5 is 1.08 compared with 6.00 for Under 0.5; Over 1 is 1.17 compared with 4.20 for Under 1; Over 1.5 is 1.65 compared with 2.18 for Under 1.5; Under 2 is 1.65 and Over 2 is 2.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 4.20 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.18 | 1.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.65 | 2 | 2.20 |
