Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Fiorentina are the favourites: a home win is available at 1.90, compared with 3.25 for a draw and 4.70 for an away win. In the main total-goals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. In the handicaps, Fiorentina Draw No Bet at 1.33 is considerably shorter than Torino Draw No Bet at 3.05; similarly, Fiorentina (-1) at 2.75 is longer than Torino (+1) at 1.45, while Fiorentina (-1.5) at 3.45 is longer than Torino (+1.5) at 1.27.
Why Fiorentina are favourites for the match
Bookmakers favour the home side: Fiorentina to win is available at 1.90, while Torino are quoted at 4.70 and the draw at 3.25.
Torino regularly allow chances at their own end away from home: in 9 of their last 10 away matches, their opponents have registered at least 4 shots on target.
Fiorentina are at home, while Torino are yet to win in the new season — with two league defeats and elimination from the Coppa Italia. The team are in crisis and are unlikely to turn things around in Florence.
Fiorentina thrashed Benevento 4:1 in the Coppa Italia, which shows that they are capable of scoring and winning.
Form and Line-up Fiorentina
Fiorentina have had an extremely difficult start to Serie A: Fabio Grosso's side have suffered two successive defeats without scoring, losing 0:4 away to Roma and 0:3 at home to Frosinone. Their only positive spell at the start of the season came in the Coppa Italia, where Fiorentina thrashed Benevento 4:1. After their league setbacks, Fiorentina's coaching staff are considering rotating the squad, with competition for several positions under review.
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 home Serie A matches, Fiorentina have scored no more than one goal.
Fiorentina have registered no more than 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
In 8 of their last 10 home Serie A matches, Fiorentina have received at least two yellow cards.
Probable Fiorentina line-up (4-3-3): David de Gea — Alex Jimenez — Radu Dragusin — Vieri — Victor Valdepenas — Cher Ndour — Crist Inao Ulai — Arthur Atta — Franco Mastantuono — Mateo Pellegrino — Mateo Pellegrino.
Absentees: Fabiano Parisi, Riccardo Sottil (both injured).
Form and Line-up Torino
Torino are also yet to win in the new Italian league season, having lost 1:2 to both Milan and Sassuolo. Their poor run continued in the Coppa Italia, where they lost 0:1 to Monza after conceding the only goal late in the first half. Despite these results, head coach Ignazio Abate hopes to keep Che Adams in the main attacking unit.
Key numbers:
In 8 of their last 10 away Serie A matches, Torino have scored no more than one goal.
In 9 of their last 10 away Serie A matches, Torino have taken no more than 4 corners.
In 9 of Torino's last 10 away Serie A matches, there have been no more than 4 yellow cards.
Probable Torino line-up (3-4-2-1): Lucas Perri — Pietro Comuzzo — Saul Coco — Eray Comert — Massimo Luongo — Gvidas Gineitis — Kian Fitz-Jim — Alessio Cacciamani — Nikola Vlasic — Che Adams — Giovanni Simeone.
Absentees: Rafik Belghali. Franco Israel, Pietro Pellegri and Cesare Casadei (all injured).
Team chances
A Fiorentina win is available at 1.90; the fair odds are 1.99 and 50.3%. The draw is at 3.25, with fair odds of 3.40 and a 29.4% probability, while a Torino win is at 4.70, 4.92 and 20.3% respectively: Fiorentina are clear favourites.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Fiorentina to win | 1.90 | 1.99 | 50.3% |
Draw | 3.25 | 3.40 | 29.4% |
Torino to win | 4.70 | 4.92 | 20.3% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals at 1.53 is considerably shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.40, while for 3.5, Under 3.5 goals is shorter at 1.27 compared with 3.40 for Over 3.5 goals.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
2 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap prediction
Fiorentina (-1.5) at 3.45 is substantially longer than Torino (+1.5) at 1.27, while Fiorentina (-1) at 2.75 is longer than Torino (+1) at 1.45. In the Draw No Bet market, Fiorentina at 1.33 is shorter than Torino at 3.05.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.45 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.27 |
2.75 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 1.45 |
1.33 | 0 | 3.05 |
Both teams to score prediction
The market barely separates the options: Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.87, and Both teams to score - No at 1.88. The latter bet means that at least one of the teams will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.87 |
No | 1.88 |
Double chance prediction
1X has the shortest odds at 1.20. The 12 bet is available at 1.35 and X2 at 1.92, reflecting the higher assessment of Fiorentina's chances of avoiding defeat.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.20 | 1.35 | 1.92 |
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Fiorentina — 1.5 goals, Torino — 0.5 goals.
Fiorentina team total
Fiorentina team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.17 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.15. For the 1-goal line, Over 1 goals is at 1.35 compared with 2.95 for Under 1 goal; for 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.00. For the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.30 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 3.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.15 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
1.30 | 2 | 3.20 |
Torino team total
Torino team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.57 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.35. For the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1 goal at 2.35, while for 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.25 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.50.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.35 | 0.5 | 1.57 |
1.55 | 1 | 2.35 |
1.25 | 1.5 | 3.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches — 17 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.8;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 17;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 17.
