Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia: prediction & betting odds 11 August 2026

Betting Tip

Fluminense have been in crisis for the past month. They have gone a month, or six matches, without beating anyone. This is an excellent chance for Independiente Rivadavia to take advantage of the hosts' poor form.

This are still the same team who climbed to third place in Brazil's Serie A and have one of the best squads not only in their own country but in all of South America. But something has stopped working. One reason is a fairly long injury list. There are currently five players in the treatment room, including Thiago Silva, who only joined in the summer. The loss of Juan Pablo Freytes, who had already nailed down a place in the side, is also being felt: he was ruled out at the end of July. In this run, Fluminense have lost only once when conceding more than one goal — 1:3 to Vasco da Gama at home.

Independiente Rivadavia won Group C early, taking 16 points from a possible 18. Their only draw came in the home match against Flu (1:1), but at the Maracana they proved stronger (2:1). Their main attacking weapon remains captain Alex Arce, who scored a brace in their latest match in the Argentine championship. He also delivered the win over Fluminense. In the spring (autumn in South America), the Paraguayan was scoring hat-tricks in general. It is no surprise that he played at the World Cup. Overall, Alfredo Berti's team are marked out by tactical discipline that can blunt the surge of any giant.

So even in an unfriendly but already somewhat familiar setting, Independiente Rivadavia are capable of another upset, if it can still be called an upset. Let Fluminense at least try to beat them for the first time.