Odds overview
Frosinone Calcio have a slight edge in the 1X2 market: a home win is available at around 2.50, an away win at 2.65 and a draw at 3.65. In the main 2.5 goals market, Over is notably shorter than Under — 1.47 against 2.60. Frosinone Calcio (0) Draw No Bet is quoted at 1.85, while Sassuolo (0) Draw No Bet is 1.95.
Why there is no clear favourite
Bookmakers give the hosts only a slight edge: Frosinone Calcio to win is offered at 2.50, a draw at 3.65 and Sassuolo to win at 2.65.
• Sassuolo are 11th in the table with 8 points after six rounds and have failed to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
• Frosinone Calcio are just two places higher, in ninth, and have two more points, having only returned to Serie A after two seasons away.
• Sassuolo’s squad is valued at almost twice as much as Frosinone Calcio’s: €219 million against €114 million.
Form and Line-up Frosinone Calcio
Frosinone Calcio lost a recent Serie A match against Napoli 0:3, conceding a penalty and another goal before half-time, then a third in stoppage time. The hosts also trailed Napoli on xG, 0.79 to 3.53. The defeat dropped Massimiliano Alvini’s side from sixth to ninth in Serie A.
- Frosinone Calcio took more than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Frosinone Calcio received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in the first half of all six of Frosinone Calcio’s matches in the 2026/27 Serie A season.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Lorenzo Palmisani, Anthony Oyono, Gabriele Calvani, Giorgio Cittadini, Gabriele Bracaglia, Romano Schmid, Giacomo Calò, Patrizio Masini, Fares Ghedjemis, Antonio Raimondo, Giorgi Kvernadze
Unavailable: Florian Grillitsch, Daniel Bîrligea (injured)
Form and Line-up Sassuolo
In the previous Serie A round, Sassuolo drew 1:1 at home to AC Milan, equalising from a corner. They have scored four goals from set pieces since the start of the season, joint highest in the league alongside Inter Milan and Lecce. Alberto Aquilani’s side have taken just one point from three away matches in the 2026/27 Serie A season.
- Fewer than 25.5 fouls were recorded in 9 of Sassuolo’s last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- Matches involving Sassuolo feature 12.5 shots on target, the highest figure among all 20 Serie A clubs.
- Sassuolo have not lost the offside count in any of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- More than 3.5 cards were shown in 9 of Sassuolo’s last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Arijanet Muric, Ignace van der Brempt, Duje Ćaleta-Car, Cas Odenthal, Josh Doig, Vasilije Adžić, Nemanja Matić, Darryl Bakola, Domenico Berardi, Sebastiano Esposito, Armand Laurienté
Unavailable: Fedde Leysen, Ismaël Koné, Daniel Boloca, Jay Idzes, Yeferson Paz (injured)
The teams’ chances
The margin-free estimate gives Frosinone Calcio a 38.0% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.50 and fair odds of 2.63. Sassuolo have a 35.9% chance of winning, with corresponding odds of 2.65 and 2.79. A draw is rated at 26.1%, with odds of 3.65 and 3.84 respectively.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 2.50 | 2.63 | 38.0% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.84 | 26.1% |
| Sassuolo win | 2.65 | 2.79 | 35.9% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.60 and Over 2.5 at 1.47, suggesting an expectation of at least three goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under is favoured at 1.72 against 2.13 for Over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.60 | 1.47 |
| 3.5 | 1.72 | 2.13 |
Handicap prediction
Frosinone Calcio (-1.5) and Sassuolo (-1.5) have almost identical odds — 4.20 and 4.15. Frosinone Calcio (+1.5) is offered at 1.17 and Sassuolo (+1.5) at 1.20; Frosinone Calcio (-1) is 3.45 against 3.65 for Sassuolo (-1). Both Frosinone Calcio (+1) and Sassuolo (+1) are 1.25, while at handicap (0), Frosinone Calcio have slightly shorter odds: 1.85 against 1.95 for Sassuolo.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | -1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.45 | -1 | 3.65 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.85 | 0 | 1.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes looks the more likely option at 1.40. Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is offered at 2.70.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.40 |
| No | 2.70 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
29/100
|
1/2
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
3/10
|
1/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Frosinone Calcio — 1.5 goals; Sassuolo — 1.5 goals.
Frosinone Calcio team total goals
Frosinone Calcio team goals: Under 0.5 is 4.20 and Over 0.5 is 1.17; Under 1 is 3.00 and Over 1 is 1.35. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: 1.85 for Under and 1.90 for Over. At the 2-goal line, Under is favoured at 1.40 against 2.70 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Sassuolo team total goals
Sassuolo team goals: Under 0.5 is available at 4.05 and Over 0.5 at 1.18; Under 1 is 2.70 and Over 1 is 1.40. Under 1.5 is offered at 1.75 and Over 1.5 at 2.02; at the 2-goal line, Under is favoured at 1.37 against 2.85 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.05 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.70 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.02 |
| 1.37 | 2 | 2.85 |
