Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, the away win has a slight edge at 2.55, with the home win at 2.75 and the draw at 3.40. In the main total-goals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 1.97, pointing to a slightly more likely high-scoring scenario. In the handicap 0 market, Venezia Draw No Bet at 1.85 is preferred to Frosinone Draw No Bet at 1.97.
Why Venezia are favourites
Bookmakers rate the teams' chances as almost even: a Venezia win is available at 2.55, a favourable result for Frosinone at 2.75, and the draw at 3.40.
Frosinone have already secured a clean-sheet win in Serie A this season, thrashing Fiorentina 3:0 away from home.
Venezia have started with two 0:2 defeats — against Lecce at home and against Milan away.
Form and Line-up Frosinone
Frosinone lost 0:1 to Juventus at home at the start of the Serie A season, but they remain highly active in front of the opposition goal: in nine of their last 10 home matches, they have registered at least four shots on target.
To add more options in attack, the club signed forward Tomas Bobcek and took Daniel Birligea on loan.
Key numbers:
Frosinone have not received more yellow cards than their opponents in their last 10 Serie A home matches
In eight of their last 10 Serie A home matches, Frosinone have taken at least 5 corners
In nine of their last 10 Serie A home matches, Frosinone have committed no more than 13 fouls
Probable Frosinone line-up (4-3-3): Lorenzo Palmisani — Anthony Oyono — Gabriele Calvani — Ilario Monterisi — Gabriele Bracaglia — Patrizio Masini — Giacomo Calo — Romano Schmid — Seydou Fini — Antonio Raimondo — Giorgi Kvernadze.
Form and Line-up Venezia
Venezia regularly come under pressure in Serie A away matches: in nine of their last 10 away games, their opponents have registered at least four shots on target. Over that run, Venezia have not outscored their opponents in any of those 10 away matches.
To strengthen the defensive unit, the club signed centre-back Juan Jesus, brought back Pasquale Mazzocchi and took forward Antonio Fernandez on loan.
Key numbers:
In eight of their last 10 Serie A away matches, Venezia have taken no more than 5 corners
In nine of their last 10 Serie A away matches, Venezia's opponents have received no more than 2 yellow cards
In eight of the last 10 Serie A away matches involving Venezia, at least 3 offsides have been recorded
Probable Venezia line-up (3-5-2): Filip Stankovic — Joel Schingtienne — Armel Bella-Kotchap — Bartol Franjic — Antoine Hainaut — Kike Perez — Gianluca Busio — Toma Basic — Ridgeciano Haps — John Yeboah — Akor Adams.
Team Chances
The away win has a no-margin probability of 37.4% at odds of 2.55 and fair odds of 2.68. The respective figures for the home win are 34.6%, 2.75 and 2.89, while the draw is rated at 28.0%, 3.40 and 3.57.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Frosinone to win | 2.75 | 2.89 | 34.6% |
Draw | 3.40 | 3.57 | 28.0% |
Venezia to win | 2.55 | 2.68 | 37.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 is rated higher than Under 2.5 goals at 1.97. On the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.38 is considerably shorter, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.80.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.97 | 1.83 |
3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap Prediction
In the -1.5 handicap market, Venezia (-1.5) at 4.60 is slightly shorter than Frosinone (-1.5) at 4.90. The odds are almost identical on +1.5: Venezia (+1.5) at 1.13 and Frosinone (+1.5) at 1.14. For the -1 handicap, Venezia (-1) at 3.95 is slightly preferred to Frosinone (-1) at 4.10, while on +1 Venezia (+1) has the shorter odds at 1.18 compared with 1.20 for Frosinone (+1). In the 0 line, Venezia Draw No Bet at 1.85 is also shorter than Frosinone Draw No Bet at 1.97.
Home | Handicap | Away |
4.90 | -1.5 | 4.60 |
1.14 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
4.10 | -1 | 3.95 |
1.20 | 1 | 1.18 |
1.97 | 0 | 1.85 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.65 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.15, so a goal at each end looks more likely. Both teams to score - No means that at least one of the teams will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.65 |
No | 2.15 |
Double Chance Prediction
The shortest odds in the double-chance market are for 12 at 1.35. X2 is available at 1.47 and 1X at 1.53, so the draw appears the less favoured outcome in these combinations.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.53 | 1.35 | 1.47 |
Team Total Goals Prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Frosinone — 1 goal, Venezia — 1.5 goals.
Frosinone Team Total
Frosinone team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.27 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.35. On the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal at 1.60 is preferred to Under 1 goal at 2.30, while on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.35 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Venezia Team Total
Venezia team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.55. On the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal at 1.50 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 2.55; on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.63 is preferred to Over 1.5 goals at 2.20. For the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.23 is considerably shorter than Over 2 goals at 3.75.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.55 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
2.55 | 1 | 1.50 |
1.63 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Mario Perri (Italy)
Matches — 19 (Serie A, Serie B, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 29;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.3;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 19;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 19.
